IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.2	#63
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.0	#315
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.7	#60

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.6	#61

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.2%	2.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	6.0%	6.2%	1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	28.0%	28.6%	7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	26.7%	27.3%	7.1%
Average Seed	8.2	8.2	8.8

.500 or above	69.8%	70.9%	34.0%
.500 or above in Conference	51.6%	52.3%	28.4%
Conference Champion	2.2%	2.3%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	5.4%	16.0%

First Four	6.1%	6.2%	2.1%
First Round	24.7%	25.3%	5.7%
Second Round	13.1%	13.4%	4.3%
Sweet Sixteen	3.9%	4.0%	0.2%
Elite Eight	1.4%	1.4%	0.0%
Final Four	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 8
Quad 2	5 - 4	7 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	297	LIU Brooklyn	W	73-53	97%
Nov 07, 2025	310	Detroit Mercy	W	78-57	97%
Nov 11, 2025	321	Eastern Illinois	W	76-54	98%
Nov 16, 2025	27	@ Ohio St.	L	65-74	22%
Nov 19, 2025	319	Bellarmine	W	80-59	97%
Nov 24, 2025	14	Kansas	L	65-73	23%
Nov 25, 2025	82	Rutgers	W	70-67	60%
Dec 02, 2025	37	Missouri	L	71-72	47%
Dec 05, 2025	56	@ TCU	L	65-68	39%
Dec 10, 2025	239	Idaho	W	77-61	93%
Dec 13, 2025	231	Evansville	W	74-58	91%
Dec 21, 2025	193	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	78-64	89%
Dec 30, 2025	99	@ Stanford	W	67-66	53%
Jan 02, 2026	91	@ California	W	70-69	52%
Jan 10, 2026	42	Clemson	L	64-65	50%
Jan 13, 2026	55	Miami (FL)	W	71-69	58%
Jan 17, 2026	76	@ Virginia Tech	L	66-67	46%
Jan 21, 2026	23	@ North Carolina	L	68-77	23%
Jan 24, 2026	96	Boston College	W	72-65	72%
Jan 27, 2026	44	Virginia	W	63-62	50%
Jan 31, 2026	64	@ Syracuse	L	69-72	41%
Feb 04, 2026	10	@ Louisville	L	65-77	16%
Feb 07, 2026	75	Florida St.	W	73-68	67%
Feb 10, 2026	46	@ SMU	L	68-74	32%
Feb 14, 2026	79	Georgia Tech	W	72-67	68%
Feb 21, 2026	80	@ Pittsburgh	L	67-68	48%
Feb 24, 2026	3	Duke	L	63-73	20%
Feb 28, 2026	31	North Carolina St.	L	66-68	44%
Mar 04, 2026	99	Stanford	W	70-63	72%
Mar 07, 2026	96	@ Boston College	W	69-68	53%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1		2.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.1	1.6	1.0	0.2				4.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.5	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.0				5.5	3rd
4th											0.1	1.4	2.9	1.4	0.1	0.0					6.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.7	3.1	2.2	0.3							6.3	5th
6th										0.4	2.7	3.1	0.8	0.0							7.0	6th
7th									0.1	1.8	3.8	1.3	0.1								7.2	7th
8th									0.7	3.7	2.5	0.2									7.1	8th
9th								0.1	2.2	3.9	0.8	0.0									6.9	9th
10th							0.0	0.9	3.9	2.0	0.1										6.9	10th
11th							0.3	2.7	3.4	0.4											6.7	11th
12th						0.0	1.3	4.1	1.2	0.0											6.7	12th
13th					0.0	0.5	3.1	2.5	0.2												6.4	13th
14th					0.1	1.5	2.9	0.6													5.2	14th
15th				0.0	1.0	2.7	1.1	0.1													5.0	15th
16th			0.0	0.5	1.9	1.4	0.2														4.1	16th
17th	0.0	0.0	0.5	1.5	1.4	0.4	0.0														3.8	17th
18th	0.2	0.5	1.1	0.9	0.4	0.0															3.2	18th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.6	3.0	4.8	6.7	9.0	11.0	11.6	12.1	10.7	9.3	7.6	5.5	3.2	1.9	0.9	0.2	0.1			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	73.4%	0.6		0.4	0.2
15-3	40.5%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	13.1%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%		100.0%	2.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-1	0.2%		100.0%	23.5%	76.5%	2.7		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0													100.0%
16-2	0.9%		100.0%	20.2%	79.8%	3.9		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-3	1.9%		98.9%	15.2%	83.7%	5.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.0		98.7%
14-4	3.2%		94.8%	8.5%	86.4%	6.6			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0						0.2		94.3%
13-5	5.5%		88.2%	4.6%	83.7%	7.7			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.7	0.1						0.6		87.7%
12-6	7.6%		73.2%	3.5%	69.6%	8.6					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.5	1.3	0.5						2.0		72.2%
11-7	9.3%		54.7%	1.7%	52.9%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.9	0.8	0.0					4.2		53.9%
10-8	10.7%		33.8%	1.2%	32.6%	9.8							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.5	1.0	0.0					7.1		33.0%
9-9	12.1%		17.4%	0.6%	16.8%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.8	0.0					10.0		16.9%
8-10	11.6%		4.4%	0.1%	4.3%	10.6										0.0	0.2	0.3	0.0					11.1		4.3%
7-11	11.0%		0.8%	0.1%	0.8%	10.6											0.0	0.1						10.9		0.8%
6-12	9.0%																							9.0
5-13	6.7%																							6.7
4-14	4.8%																							4.8
3-15	3.0%																							3.0
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		28.0%	1.7%	26.3%	8.2		0.1	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.6	2.2	2.8	3.9	5.0	6.7	3.5	0.1					72.0		26.7%