IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma
Southeastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.5	#47
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#113
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.1	#38

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.5	#62

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.7%	1.7%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	6.4%	6.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	14.9%	14.9%	1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	40.8%	41.0%	7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	39.8%	40.0%	7.1%
Average Seed	7.2	7.2	8.0

.500 or above	66.4%	66.7%	15.5%
.500 or above in Conference	36.2%	36.4%	7.1%
Conference Champion	1.9%	1.9%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	13.0%	12.8%	42.3%

First Four	4.5%	4.5%	2.4%
First Round	38.5%	38.7%	4.8%
Second Round	24.1%	24.2%	4.8%
Sweet Sixteen	8.9%	9.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	3.4%	3.5%	0.1%
Final Four	1.3%	1.3%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	3 - 4	5 - 11
Quad 2	5 - 3	10 - 14
Quad 3	1 - 0	11 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	85-59	99%
Nov 08, 2025	18	@ Gonzaga	L	75-83	23%
Nov 11, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	97-59	100.0%
Nov 15, 2025	59	Nebraska	W	75-73	57%
Nov 20, 2025	318	Oral Roberts	W	87-63	98%
Nov 23, 2025	323	Alcorn St.	W	82-58	98%
Nov 28, 2025	43	Marquette	L	72-73	49%
Dec 02, 2025	67	@ Wake Forest	L	72-73	49%
Dec 06, 2025	69	Arizona St.	W	76-73	61%
Dec 13, 2025	73	Oklahoma St.	W	80-76	62%
Dec 16, 2025	300	UMKC	W	79-57	97%
Dec 22, 2025	348	Stetson	W	88-61	99%
Dec 29, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	88-49	100.0%
Jan 03, 2026	30	Mississippi	W	74-73	51%
Jan 07, 2026	32	@ Mississippi St.	L	72-77	34%
Jan 10, 2026	36	@ Texas A&M	L	70-75	34%
Jan 13, 2026	5	Florida	L	74-81	28%
Jan 17, 2026	19	Alabama	L	83-85	43%
Jan 20, 2026	71	@ South Carolina	W	71-70	50%
Jan 24, 2026	37	@ Missouri	L	74-79	34%
Jan 27, 2026	17	Arkansas	L	74-76	42%
Jan 31, 2026	38	Texas	W	74-73	54%
Feb 04, 2026	7	@ Kentucky	L	73-84	19%
Feb 07, 2026	41	@ Vanderbilt	L	75-79	37%
Feb 14, 2026	52	Georgia	W	75-71	64%
Feb 18, 2026	16	@ Tennessee	L	63-72	23%
Feb 21, 2026	36	Texas A&M	W	73-72	54%
Feb 24, 2026	22	Auburn	L	74-75	45%
Feb 28, 2026	53	@ LSU	L	73-75	44%
Mar 03, 2026	37	Missouri	W	77-76	54%
Mar 07, 2026	38	@ Texas	L	71-76	35%
Projected Record						17 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.9	1st
2nd												0.1	0.5	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1				3.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	1.6	1.4	0.3	0.0					3.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.0	1.9	0.4	0.0						4.7	4th
5th										0.1	1.5	2.4	0.9	0.1							5.1	5th
6th									0.0	1.0	3.1	1.3	0.1								5.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.5	2.2	0.4	0.0								5.5	7th
8th								0.2	2.0	3.6	0.9	0.0									6.7	8th
9th							0.0	1.2	3.8	1.8	0.1										7.0	9th
10th						0.0	0.3	3.2	3.4	0.4											7.4	10th
11th						0.2	2.2	4.1	1.3	0.0											7.8	11th
12th					0.1	1.1	4.3	2.4	0.2												8.1	12th
13th				0.0	0.9	3.3	3.2	0.5	0.0												8.0	13th
14th			0.1	0.8	3.2	3.4	1.1	0.0													8.6	14th
15th		0.1	1.1	2.8	3.3	1.3	0.2														8.8	15th
16th	0.5	1.5	2.6	2.2	0.8	0.1	0.0														7.8	16th

Total	0.5	1.6	3.8	5.9	8.4	9.5	11.3	11.6	11.3	9.5	8.4	6.7	5.1	3.2	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	80.0%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	63.3%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-4	32.5%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.1
13-5	6.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.9%	1.9		0.9	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	32.6%	67.4%	1.7		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	24.8%	75.2%	1.3		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.4%		100.0%	21.7%	78.3%	2.1		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0													100.0%
15-3	1.0%		100.0%	12.9%	87.1%	2.7		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
14-4	1.7%		100.0%	13.4%	86.6%	3.6		0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
13-5	3.2%		99.8%	9.8%	90.0%	4.5		0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1		0.0							0.0		99.8%
12-6	5.1%		98.9%	5.2%	93.7%	5.7		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.3	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0							0.1		98.8%
11-7	6.7%		95.6%	3.0%	92.5%	6.6		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.4	1.5	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0						0.3		95.4%
10-8	8.4%		90.6%	2.2%	88.4%	7.7				0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.7	2.0	1.5	0.8	0.1						0.8		90.4%
9-9	9.5%		77.2%	0.9%	76.3%	8.5						0.1	0.5	1.2	1.7	1.8	1.5	0.6						2.2		77.0%
8-10	11.3%		47.6%	0.6%	47.0%	9.4						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.3	1.8	1.1	0.0					5.9		47.3%
7-11	11.6%		17.4%	0.1%	17.3%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	0.6	0.0					9.6		17.3%
6-12	11.3%		4.1%	0.2%	3.9%	10.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					10.8		3.9%
5-13	9.5%		0.2%		0.2%	10.7											0.0	0.0						9.5		0.2%
4-14	8.4%																							8.4
3-15	5.9%																							5.9
2-16	3.8%																							3.8
1-17	1.6%																							1.6
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		40.8%	1.6%	39.1%	7.2		0.6	1.1	1.9	2.7	3.7	4.8	6.0	6.4	5.5	5.3	2.6	0.1					59.2		39.8%