IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.2	#195
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.6	#248
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.7	#188

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#217

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.0%	11.9%	5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.6	13.0	13.6

.500 or above	40.8%	63.5%	33.4%
.500 or above in Conference	63.4%	76.4%	59.2%
Conference Champion	8.2%	13.6%	6.4%
Last Place in Conference	3.4%	1.6%	4.0%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
First Round	7.1%	12.0%	5.5%
Second Round	0.6%	1.5%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 24.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 4	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	125	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-76	25%
Nov 11, 2025	260	Norfolk St.	W	72-66	72%
Nov 15, 2025	85	@ George Washington	L	65-77	15%
Nov 18, 2025	50	@ Xavier	L	64-80	8%
Nov 21, 2025	358	Morgan St.	W	81-66	91%
Nov 23, 2025	225	@ Drexel	L	63-65	45%
Nov 25, 2025	39	@ Villanova	L	57-75	6%
Nov 30, 2025	226	@ William & Mary	L	75-77	45%
Dec 06, 2025	131	@ Richmond	L	63-70	27%
Dec 13, 2025	101	@ George Mason	L	61-71	19%
Dec 17, 2025	132	James Madison	L	68-69	46%
Dec 20, 2025	274	Coastal Carolina	W	70-63	73%
Dec 28, 2025	40	@ Maryland	L	62-80	6%
Dec 31, 2025	204	Appalachian St.	W	64-61	61%
Jan 03, 2026	243	Georgia Southern	W	75-70	67%
Jan 08, 2026	274	@ Coastal Carolina	W	67-66	54%
Jan 10, 2026	132	@ James Madison	L	65-72	28%
Jan 15, 2026	243	@ Georgia Southern	L	72-73	48%
Jan 17, 2026	204	@ Appalachian St.	L	61-64	41%
Jan 21, 2026	130	Troy	L	67-68	46%
Jan 24, 2026	233	Louisiana	W	71-66	65%
Jan 28, 2026	137	@ Arkansas St.	L	69-76	29%
Jan 31, 2026	197	@ Texas St.	L	67-70	41%
Feb 04, 2026	347	Louisiana Monroe	W	76-63	86%
Feb 11, 2026	185	Marshall	W	72-69	58%
Feb 14, 2026	283	Georgia St.	W	77-69	74%
Feb 21, 2026	276	@ Southern Miss	W	73-72	54%
Feb 24, 2026	185	@ Marshall	L	69-72	39%
Feb 27, 2026	283	@ Georgia St.	W	74-72	56%
Projected Record						13 - 16	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.8	2.1	2.4	1.7	0.9	0.2		8.2	1st
2nd												0.1	1.5	3.2	2.7	1.1	0.3	0.0			9.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.4	3.6	3.0	1.0	0.1	0.0				9.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	3.9	3.4	0.8	0.1						9.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	3.5	4.1	0.8	0.0							9.0	5th
6th									0.3	3.1	4.1	1.5	0.0								9.1	6th
7th								0.1	1.9	4.7	2.0	0.1									8.8	7th
8th							0.0	1.0	4.2	2.6	0.3										8.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	3.1	3.4	0.4	0.0										7.5	9th
10th					0.0	0.4	2.1	3.0	0.9	0.0											6.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.5	2.6	1.1	0.1												5.5	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.2	1.3	0.2													4.9	12th
13th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0													3.5	13th
14th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.1															1.7	14th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.7	3.0	4.9	6.7	8.5	10.8	11.5	10.9	11.2	9.5	7.9	5.8	3.6	2.0	0.9	0.2			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	99.2%	0.9		0.8	0.0
16-2	86.0%	1.7		1.3	0.4
15-3	67.4%	2.4		1.4	0.9	0.1	0.0
14-4	35.6%	2.1		0.8	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.6%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.2%	8.2		4.6	2.5	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		74.6%	71.1%	3.6%	10.8				0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		12.3%
17-1	0.9%		43.2%	43.2%		11.7										0.0		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5
16-2	2.0%		40.4%	40.1%	0.4%	12.2											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.0			1.2		0.6%
15-3	3.6%		31.0%	31.0%		12.6												0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2			2.5
14-4	5.8%		23.0%	23.0%		13.0												0.0	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0		4.5
13-5	7.9%		18.5%	18.5%		14.1													0.2	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.0	6.4
12-6	9.5%		8.6%	8.6%		14.8													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.1	8.7
11-7	11.2%		4.6%	4.6%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.7
10-8	10.9%		1.6%	1.6%		18.9															0.0	0.1	0.1	10.7
9-9	11.5%		1.6%	1.6%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	11.3
8-10	10.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	10.8
7-11	8.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
6-12	6.7%																							6.7
5-13	4.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
4-14	3.0%																							3.0
3-15	1.7%																							1.7
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.0%	7.0%	0.0%	13.6				0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.5	1.6	1.9	1.6	1.1	0.4	93.0		0.0%