Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#80
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.2#226
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#97
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 2.8% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 18.1% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.0% 17.6% 5.8%
Average Seed 8.6 8.6 9.1
.500 or above 47.9% 51.9% 23.0%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 31.4% 14.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.5% 13.0% 23.9%
First Four4.1% 4.4% 2.1%
First Round14.2% 15.7% 4.8%
Second Round6.7% 7.4% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 2.0% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 86.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 9
Quad 24 - 67 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 184   Youngstown St. W 77-66 86%    
  Nov 07, 2025 202   Longwood W 79-67 88%    
  Nov 10, 2025 292   Eastern Michigan W 80-63 94%    
  Nov 13, 2025 58   @ West Virginia L 63-69 30%    
  Nov 17, 2025 286   Bucknell W 78-61 93%    
  Nov 20, 2025 74   Central Florida L 75-76 47%    
  Nov 23, 2025 221   Quinnipiac W 81-68 88%    
  Nov 28, 2025 27   Ohio St. L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 02, 2025 36   Texas A&M L 68-72 38%    
  Dec 07, 2025 182   Hofstra W 70-59 83%    
  Dec 13, 2025 39   @ Villanova L 62-71 22%    
  Dec 17, 2025 334   Binghamton W 78-58 96%    
  Dec 21, 2025 90   Penn St. W 74-73 54%    
  Dec 30, 2025 55   @ Miami (FL) L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 03, 2026 42   Clemson L 65-68 42%    
  Jan 10, 2026 64   Syracuse W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 14, 2026 79   @ Georgia Tech L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 17, 2026 10   Louisville L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 21, 2026 96   @ Boston College L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 24, 2026 31   North Carolina St. L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 27, 2026 67   Wake Forest W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 31, 2026 42   @ Clemson L 62-71 23%    
  Feb 03, 2026 44   @ Virginia L 60-68 25%    
  Feb 07, 2026 46   SMU L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 10, 2026 3   Duke L 63-76 15%    
  Feb 14, 2026 23   @ North Carolina L 70-81 18%    
  Feb 21, 2026 63   Notre Dame W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 25, 2026 99   @ Stanford L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 28, 2026 91   @ California L 71-73 43%    
  Mar 04, 2026 75   Florida St. W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 07, 2026 64   @ Syracuse L 71-76 33%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.3 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.5 2.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 2.8 0.6 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.8 1.5 0.1 6.3 10th
11th 0.3 3.0 3.0 0.4 6.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 4.1 1.0 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 7.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.9 0.7 0.0 7.8 14th
15th 0.2 2.0 4.4 1.7 0.1 8.4 15th
16th 0.2 1.4 4.2 2.7 0.4 8.9 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.8 17th
18th 0.8 2.3 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 18th
Total 0.8 2.5 5.0 6.9 9.8 11.5 12.2 11.5 10.6 9.0 7.2 5.3 3.3 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 92.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 84.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 47.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
14-4 8.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 15.3% 84.7% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 6.0% 94.0% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.2% 97.7% 8.8% 88.8% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
13-5 2.3% 90.4% 3.8% 86.6% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 90.0%
12-6 3.3% 80.6% 2.7% 77.9% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 80.1%
11-7 5.3% 65.3% 1.3% 63.9% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.8 64.8%
10-8 7.2% 39.1% 0.7% 38.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.0 4.4 38.7%
9-9 9.0% 25.7% 0.2% 25.5% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.0 6.7 25.5%
8-10 10.6% 7.9% 0.1% 7.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 9.8 7.8%
7-11 11.5% 1.6% 1.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.3 1.6%
6-12 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 12.1 0.1%
5-13 11.5% 11.5
4-14 9.8% 9.8
3-15 6.9% 6.9
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 16.4% 0.5% 15.9% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.1 4.1 2.6 0.1 83.6 16.0%