IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.0	#143
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.5	#39
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.7	#145

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#157

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	2.4%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.2	11.2	12.0

.500 or above	49.6%	51.7%	19.1%
.500 or above in Conference	27.9%	29.0%	12.3%
Conference Champion	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	15.3%	14.4%	29.0%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	2.2%	2.3%	0.6%
Second Round	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 93.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 1	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	348	Stetson	W	84-68	93%
Nov 07, 2025	150	Tulsa	W	74-73	52%
Nov 11, 2025	339	Stonehill	W	78-63	92%
Nov 14, 2025	296	Albany	W	81-70	85%
Nov 18, 2025	97	@ Yale	L	72-79	25%
Dec 02, 2025	169	Brown	W	73-68	66%
Dec 06, 2025	61	@ Providence	L	69-80	16%
Dec 09, 2025	93	McNeese St.	L	70-72	44%
Dec 16, 2025	352	Canisius	W	81-64	92%
Dec 31, 2025	94	Loyola Chicago	L	72-74	45%
Jan 03, 2026	101	@ George Mason	L	66-73	28%
Jan 07, 2026	187	La Salle	W	79-73	69%
Jan 10, 2026	145	@ Davidson	L	71-74	41%
Jan 14, 2026	60	Virginia Commonwealth	L	69-74	32%
Jan 21, 2026	131	@ Richmond	L	68-72	37%
Jan 24, 2026	101	George Mason	L	69-70	46%
Jan 27, 2026	65	@ Dayton	L	67-78	18%
Feb 01, 2026	116	@ Duquesne	L	68-73	33%
Feb 10, 2026	85	@ George Washington	L	71-80	24%
Feb 14, 2026	163	Fordham	W	81-76	65%
Feb 17, 2026	70	Saint Louis	L	73-77	36%
Feb 21, 2026	187	@ La Salle	L	75-76	50%
Feb 28, 2026	110	Saint Joseph's	L	73-74	50%
Mar 04, 2026	116	Duquesne	W	71-70	53%
Mar 07, 2026	163	@ Fordham	L	78-79	46%
Projected Record						12 - 13	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1				0.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.1					2.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.3	1.4	0.5	0.0	0.0					3.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.8	2.2	0.8	0.1							5.1	4th
5th									0.2	1.6	3.0	1.0	0.1								5.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.1	3.6	2.0	0.3	0.0								7.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	3.8	3.1	0.4	0.0									8.1	7th
8th							0.3	3.0	4.0	0.9	0.0										8.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	2.2	4.9	2.0	0.1											9.3	9th
10th					0.1	1.5	5.0	3.1	0.2												9.8	10th
11th				0.1	1.3	4.2	3.9	0.6	0.0												10.1	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	1.2	3.9	4.0	1.1	0.0													10.4	12th
13th		0.2	1.5	3.3	3.7	1.3	0.1														10.1	13th
14th	0.6	2.1	3.1	2.4	0.8	0.1	0.0														9.1	14th

Total	0.6	2.3	4.7	7.0	9.8	11.4	12.6	12.4	11.3	9.6	7.5	5.1	3.1	1.7	0.6	0.3	0.1					Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-3	76.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	44.5%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.1%		45.5%	27.3%	18.2%	7.2						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0							0.0		25.0%
15-3	0.3%		62.0%	38.3%	23.6%	8.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0						0.1		38.4%
14-4	0.6%		32.5%	25.9%	6.6%	10.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1						0.4		8.9%
13-5	1.7%		20.3%	14.4%	5.9%	10.8								0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					1.3		6.9%
12-6	3.1%		13.4%	12.1%	1.3%	11.1											0.0	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.7		1.5%
11-7	5.1%		6.8%	6.7%	0.1%	11.5												0.2	0.1	0.0				4.7		0.1%
10-8	7.5%		4.3%	4.3%		11.8											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			7.1
9-9	9.6%		1.7%	1.7%		12.0												0.1	0.1	0.0				9.4
8-10	11.3%		1.1%	1.1%		12.3												0.0	0.1	0.0				11.2
7-11	12.4%		0.7%	0.7%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		12.4
6-12	12.6%		0.2%	0.2%		13.8													0.0		0.0	0.0		12.6
5-13	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		14.8														0.0		0.0	0.0	11.3
4-14	9.8%																							9.8
3-15	7.0%																							7.0
2-16	4.7%																							4.7
1-17	2.3%																							2.3
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		2.3%	2.0%	0.3%	11.2					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	97.7		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%