IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Texas
Southeastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+13.3	#38
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.2	#178
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.3	#35

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.0	#39

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.7%	0.1%
#1 Seed	1.4%	3.5%	0.9%
Top 2 Seed	3.7%	8.6%	2.5%
Top 4 Seed	11.7%	23.0%	8.9%
Top 6 Seed	23.5%	40.0%	19.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	51.7%	72.9%	46.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	50.2%	71.6%	45.0%
Average Seed	6.7	6.0	7.0

.500 or above	75.7%	91.9%	71.7%
.500 or above in Conference	51.4%	66.2%	47.8%
Conference Champion	3.9%	7.0%	3.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.4%	2.9%	7.3%

First Four	5.5%	4.8%	5.7%
First Round	49.1%	70.7%	43.8%
Second Round	33.2%	50.9%	28.8%
Sweet Sixteen	13.8%	23.1%	11.5%
Elite Eight	5.5%	10.1%	4.3%
Final Four	2.2%	4.5%	1.7%
Championship Game	0.8%	1.3%	0.7%
National Champion	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%

Next Game: Duke (Neutral) - 19.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	5 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 2	9 - 12
Quad 3	2 - 0	11 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 0	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	3	Duke	L	66-75	20%
Nov 08, 2025	308	Lafayette	W	81-56	99%
Nov 12, 2025	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	87-58	99.5%
Nov 15, 2025	300	UMKC	W	78-54	98%
Nov 18, 2025	309	Rider	W	81-56	99%
Nov 24, 2025	69	Arizona St.	W	76-71	67%
Dec 03, 2025	44	Virginia	W	67-63	64%
Dec 08, 2025	189	Southern	W	80-62	94%
Dec 12, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	63-75	15%
Dec 16, 2025	344	Le Moyne	W	89-61	99%
Dec 22, 2025	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	85-53	99.6%
Jan 03, 2026	32	Mississippi St.	W	75-72	59%
Jan 06, 2026	16	@ Tennessee	L	63-70	27%
Jan 10, 2026	19	@ Alabama	L	79-85	30%
Jan 14, 2026	41	Vanderbilt	W	77-73	62%
Jan 17, 2026	36	Texas A&M	W	72-69	59%
Jan 21, 2026	7	@ Kentucky	L	72-81	22%
Jan 24, 2026	52	Georgia	W	74-68	68%
Jan 28, 2026	22	@ Auburn	L	70-76	32%
Jan 31, 2026	47	@ Oklahoma	L	73-74	46%
Feb 03, 2026	71	South Carolina	W	73-65	75%
Feb 07, 2026	30	Mississippi	W	73-71	57%
Feb 14, 2026	37	@ Missouri	L	74-77	40%
Feb 17, 2026	53	LSU	W	76-70	68%
Feb 21, 2026	52	@ Georgia	L	70-71	50%
Feb 25, 2026	5	Florida	L	73-78	33%
Feb 28, 2026	36	@ Texas A&M	L	69-72	40%
Mar 04, 2026	17	@ Arkansas	L	70-77	29%
Mar 07, 2026	47	Oklahoma	W	76-71	65%
Projected Record						17 - 12	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.1		3.9	1st
2nd												0.1	0.8	1.8	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0			5.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.6	2.2	0.7	0.0	0.0				6.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.2	3.0	1.0	0.1	0.0					6.8	4th
5th										0.1	2.0	3.2	1.2	0.1	0.0						6.6	5th
6th									0.0	1.3	4.0	2.1	0.2	0.0							7.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	3.3	3.0	0.5	0.0								7.2	7th
8th								0.1	1.9	4.2	1.1	0.0									7.4	8th
9th							0.0	1.0	3.9	2.2	0.2	0.0									7.3	9th
10th						0.0	0.3	3.1	3.2	0.5											7.1	10th
11th						0.1	1.7	4.2	1.3	0.0											7.3	11th
12th					0.1	0.8	3.4	2.0	0.2												6.5	12th
13th				0.0	0.7	2.5	2.7	0.5	0.0												6.4	13th
14th			0.0	0.5	2.0	2.7	0.9	0.1													6.1	14th
15th		0.0	0.5	1.5	2.0	0.8	0.1														4.9	15th
16th	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.0	0.5	0.1															3.4	16th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.6	3.0	5.2	7.0	9.1	10.9	11.0	11.7	10.7	8.7	7.9	5.5	3.5	2.0	0.9	0.4	0.1			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	94.7%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	84.1%	0.8		0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	64.3%	1.3		0.6	0.6	0.1
14-4	28.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-5	5.9%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.1		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.9%	3.9		2.0	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	25.7%	74.3%	1.4		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.4%		100.0%	23.2%	76.8%	1.6		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.9%		100.0%	22.6%	77.4%	1.9		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-3	2.0%		100.0%	18.9%	81.1%	2.6		0.4	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0													100.0%
14-4	3.5%		100.0%	15.7%	84.3%	3.4		0.3	0.7	0.9	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
13-5	5.5%		100.0%	10.5%	89.5%	4.6		0.1	0.3	1.1	1.1	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0										100.0%
12-6	7.9%		99.3%	6.5%	92.8%	5.6		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	1.8	1.8	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1							0.1		99.2%
11-7	8.7%		95.1%	3.5%	91.6%	6.8			0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.6	2.0	1.4	1.0	0.4	0.1						0.4		94.9%
10-8	10.7%		88.4%	1.6%	86.8%	7.9				0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.9	2.2	1.9	1.3	0.3	0.0					1.2		88.2%
9-9	11.7%		69.6%	1.2%	68.4%	8.8					0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.7	1.8	2.0	1.0						3.6		69.2%
8-10	11.0%		36.9%	0.3%	36.7%	9.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.4	1.3	0.1					6.9		36.7%
7-11	10.9%		12.5%	0.4%	12.1%	10.3								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.1					9.5		12.2%
6-12	9.1%		1.7%	0.1%	1.6%	10.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					9.0		1.6%
5-13	7.0%		0.3%	0.1%	0.2%	11.3											0.0	0.0		0.0				6.9		0.2%
4-14	5.2%																							5.2
3-15	3.0%																							3.0
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		51.7%	3.0%	48.7%	6.7		1.4	2.3	3.5	4.5	5.8	6.0	6.6	6.6	5.8	5.6	3.4	0.2	0.0				48.3		50.2%