Mid-Eastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
203 Norfolk St. 62.3%   16   11 - 7 5 - 2 17 - 9 10 - 4 -1.7      +2.1 113 -3.8 290 64.9 271 -1.1 192 -4.6 3
254 NC Central 16.7%   6 - 11 3 - 4 11 - 13 8 - 6 -4.8      -3.3 278 -1.5 231 69.0 155 -6.5 285 -10.5 6
269 Howard 11.2%   11 - 10 6 - 1 15 - 13 10 - 4 -5.6      -2.7 258 -2.9 258 73.4 54 -2.3 215 +2.0 2
292 Maryland Eastern Shore 5.8%   10 - 8 6 - 1 14 - 11 10 - 4 -6.9      -7.0 344 +0.1 172 69.2 145 +0.9 149 +3.6 1
300 Morgan St. 3.9%   7 - 11 4 - 3 11 - 15 8 - 7 -7.7      -5.5 324 -2.1 241 73.9 44 -6.5 284 -7.2 4
345 Coppin St. 0.1%   6 - 18 1 - 6 8 - 23 3 - 11 -12.0      -4.8 315 -7.2 348 79.9 7 -8.9 313 -20.7 7
355 South Carolina St. 0.0%   2 - 20 0 - 7 4 - 25 2 - 12 -14.3      -5.3 320 -9.1 363 77.2 20 -15.9 356 -24.7 8
356 Delaware St. 0.0%   3 - 15 3 - 4 6 - 21 6 - 9 -14.5      -7.3 346 -7.3 352 66.8 224 -12.8 343 -7.9 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.9 43.9 29.4 17.7 6.9 2.0 0.1 0.0
NC Central 4.1 2.9 8.4 16.3 27.5 36.6 7.8 0.5 0.0
Howard 2.1 41.9 26.7 18.6 9.3 3.2 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.1 40.6 27.2 19.4 9.1 3.4 0.2
Morgan St. 3.5 8.8 14.9 21.7 30.1 19.9 4.5 0.2 0.0
Coppin St. 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 17.7 59.8 20.2
South Carolina St. 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 6.5 33.3 59.7
Delaware St. 5.7 0.2 0.7 2.2 6.9 18.2 62.2 8.9 0.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.2 1.5 7.4 20.3 32.2 27.9 10.4
NC Central 8 - 6 0.1 1.0 4.9 13.9 24.8 28.9 20.1 6.3
Howard 10 - 4 0.4 3.1 10.6 21.0 28.2 23.4 11.0 2.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 10 - 4 0.3 2.9 10.3 22.0 28.3 23.0 10.8 2.4
Morgan St. 8 - 6 0.2 1.7 7.1 17.5 27.5 26.0 14.8 4.7 0.6
Coppin St. 3 - 11 6.7 21.6 31.0 24.7 12.0 3.5 0.5 0.0
South Carolina St. 2 - 12 7.7 23.1 30.4 23.8 11.0 3.2 0.7 0.1
Delaware St. 6 - 8 5.1 18.5 28.2 25.8 14.9 5.9 1.5 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 43.9% 23.0 14.7 5.2 0.9 0.0
NC Central 2.9% 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.0
Howard 41.9% 22.5 13.7 4.9 0.9 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 40.6% 21.4 13.4 4.9 0.9 0.0
Morgan St. 8.8% 2.7 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.0
Coppin St.
South Carolina St.
Delaware St. 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 62.3% 62.3% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.6 8.8 29.6 23.1 37.7 0.0%
NC Central 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 0.1 1.8 14.9 83.3 0.0%
Howard 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.8 9.2 88.8 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.1 94.2 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 3.8 96.1 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 62.3% 6.2% 59.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 16.7% 12.5% 10.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 11.2% 5.6% 8.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.8% 1.1% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.9% 3.3% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 85.1% 0.9 14.9 85.1
2nd Round 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0