Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
261 Norfolk St. 37.2%   16   3 - 10 0 - 0 13 - 14 10 - 4 -5.8      -5.2 305 -0.6 186 66.4 262 -7.7 278 0.0 1
265 Howard 36.4%   6 - 6 0 - 0 16 - 11 10 - 4 -6.0      -5.1 303 -0.9 198 70.4 155 -3.0 218 0.0 1
345 Maryland Eastern Shore 7.3%   2 - 13 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 7 -12.2      -7.6 343 -4.6 317 60.9 356 -13.0 337 0.0 1
347 Delaware St. 7.3%   2 - 9 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 7 -12.3      -10.3 362 -1.9 234 68.6 212 -11.8 331 0.0 1
349 NC Central 6.7%   0 - 11 0 - 0 7 - 18 7 - 7 -12.7      -8.3 352 -4.4 313 67.2 242 -18.3 356 0.0 1
359 South Carolina St. 2.3%   0 - 14 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 8 -15.4      -8.3 351 -7.2 347 71.8 109 -19.4 359 0.0 1
360 Morgan St. 2.6%   1 - 11 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 8 -15.5      -6.9 339 -8.5 359 72.6 90 -19.6 360 0.0 1
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   1 - 15 0 - 0 4 - 26 3 - 11 -21.0      -11.8 364 -9.2 363 72.2 100 -17.1 349 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Dec 29 347 Delaware St. 50 139 Rutgers 65   
Mon, Dec 29 349 NC Central 67 122 Penn St. 90   
Mon, Dec 29 364 Coppin St. 59 263 Maryland Baltimore Co. 93   
Tue, Dec 30 265 Howard 60 57 Northwestern 80   
Tue, Dec 30 359 South Carolina St. 54 15 Tennessee 105   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 3 349 NC Central 65 261 Norfolk St. 69 65%   
Sat, Jan 3 360 Morgan St. 67 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 73 73%   
Sat, Jan 3 265 Howard 76 359 South Carolina St. 70 73%   
Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. 64 347 Delaware St. 75 86%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.9 50.3 28.3 12.2 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
Howard 1.9 47.7 29.5 12.6 6.0 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.0 7.4 13.9 21.1 20.0 16.8 12.0 6.6 2.0
Delaware St. 4.0 8.0 13.2 20.2 19.7 15.9 12.7 7.5 2.8
NC Central 4.2 6.4 11.8 19.2 19.6 17.1 13.8 8.8 3.2
South Carolina St. 5.3 1.6 4.8 10.3 15.2 17.9 21.6 19.9 8.8
Morgan St. 5.3 1.8 4.9 10.2 14.2 18.1 21.3 20.0 9.5
Coppin St. 7.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 5.4 11.4 23.1 56.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.7 8.6 14.2 19.1 20.8 17.2 10.1 2.6
Howard 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 5.2 9.2 14.9 18.8 20.7 16.8 9.0 2.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.6 6.3 10.5 16.5 18.2 17.0 12.7 8.9 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.0
Delaware St. 7 - 7 0.1 0.2 1.3 3.0 6.9 11.6 15.6 17.2 16.3 13.2 8.4 4.3 1.7 0.3 0.0
NC Central 7 - 7 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.6 7.7 12.6 16.2 17.8 16.4 11.7 6.9 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.0
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.6 4.7 9.8 15.5 18.5 17.5 14.8 9.5 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.0
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.7 5.0 10.4 15.2 17.9 18.2 14.2 9.0 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
Coppin St. 3 - 11 5.8 15.9 22.3 22.5 16.3 9.8 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 50.3% 35.6 12.3 2.0 0.3
Howard 47.7% 32.9 12.5 2.0 0.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.4% 3.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
Delaware St. 8.0% 3.6 3.0 1.1 0.3
NC Central 6.4% 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.2
South Carolina St. 1.6% 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
Morgan St. 1.8% 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 37.2% 37.2% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.8 2.4 33.9 62.8 0.0%
Howard 36.4% 36.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.7 32.1 63.6 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 7.3 92.7 0.0%
Delaware St. 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 7.3 92.7 0.0%
NC Central 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 6.7 93.3 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3 97.7 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 2.6 97.4 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 37.2% 28.0% 23.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 36.4% 24.3% 23.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.3% 7.3% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 7.3% 7.2% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 6.7% 6.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 2.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 57.1% 0.6 42.9 57.1
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0