Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
247 Norfolk St. 40.6%   16   1 - 8 0 - 0 13 - 13 10 - 4 -5.0      -5.9 331 +0.9 131 66.0 276 -10.7 324 0.0 1
285 Howard 30.6%   5 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 12 10 - 4 -6.5      -5.1 307 -1.4 218 71.5 127 -5.2 244 0.0 1
345 Maryland Eastern Shore 7.3%   2 - 12 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 7 -11.8      -7.3 345 -4.5 324 60.3 362 -12.4 333 0.0 1
348 Delaware St. 7.7%   2 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 7 -12.0      -9.5 359 -2.5 251 68.7 203 -11.2 329 0.0 1
349 NC Central 7.7%   0 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 18 7 - 7 -12.1      -8.2 352 -3.9 309 67.2 245 -15.0 346 0.0 1
358 Morgan St. 3.4%   1 - 8 0 - 0 7 - 19 6 - 8 -14.4      -6.2 335 -8.2 359 73.5 72 -19.6 360 0.0 1
360 South Carolina St. 2.8%   0 - 12 0 - 0 5 - 23 5 - 9 -14.9      -8.3 353 -6.6 347 71.8 116 -18.8 358 0.0 1
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   1 - 12 0 - 0 5 - 25 4 - 10 -18.6      -10.5 364 -8.0 358 71.7 121 -15.3 347 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 16 288 Drexel 66 285 Howard 74   
Tue, Dec 16 360 South Carolina St. 72 260 South Carolina Upstate 78   
Wed, Dec 17 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 64 294 Wagner 78   
Thu, Dec 18 258 Grambling St. 80 247 Norfolk St. 68   
Thu, Dec 18 348 Delaware St. 51 170 Saint Joseph's 67   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Dec 19 318 Jackson St. 66 247 Norfolk St. 70 66%   
Fri, Dec 19 80 California 89 358 Morgan St. 65 98%   
Fri, Dec 19 364 Coppin St. 62 206 Navy 80 95%   
Sat, Dec 20 285 Howard 64 109 UNC Wilmington 77 89%   
Sat, Dec 20 296 Longwood 73 349 NC Central 71 57%   
Sun, Dec 21 247 Norfolk St. 61 217 UTEP 66 67%   
Sun, Dec 21 358 Morgan St. 64 94 San Francisco 87 97%   
Mon, Dec 22 40 Texas 82 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 55 99%   
Mon, Dec 22 86 South Carolina 83 360 South Carolina St. 59 98%   
Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. 61 90 Georgetown 89 99%   
Tue, Dec 23 145 Loyola Marymount 81 358 Morgan St. 63 95%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.8 55.6 24.9 10.4 4.9 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1
Howard 2.2 40.0 30.4 14.3 7.6 4.3 2.1 0.9 0.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.1 7.0 13.8 19.7 19.2 16.5 12.4 7.7 3.7
Delaware St. 4.2 7.5 13.7 18.4 18.2 16.4 12.7 8.8 4.4
NC Central 4.2 7.3 13.6 18.3 18.1 15.9 12.6 9.2 5.0
Morgan St. 5.2 2.9 6.8 11.7 14.9 16.8 18.1 17.2 11.5
South Carolina St. 5.4 1.9 5.5 10.1 14.1 17.0 19.6 19.1 12.7
Coppin St. 6.7 0.4 1.0 2.7 5.7 9.2 15.2 23.9 41.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.5 8.3 13.2 18.4 20.3 17.3 11.0 3.6
Howard 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.9 7.2 11.7 16.5 19.0 18.0 12.7 6.6 1.7
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.9 12.1 16.2 17.7 16.8 12.5 7.5 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.0
Delaware St. 7 - 7 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.1 7.8 12.3 15.9 17.1 15.4 12.2 7.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.0
NC Central 7 - 7 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.4 8.0 12.2 15.8 16.5 15.5 11.9 7.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.0
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.8 5.1 9.5 14.1 16.7 16.8 14.5 10.3 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 5 - 9 0.3 2.1 5.5 10.1 15.7 18.2 17.0 13.7 9.0 5.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Coppin St. 4 - 10 2.9 9.7 16.8 20.1 18.7 14.4 9.2 4.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 55.6% 41.0 12.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Howard 40.0% 26.7 11.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.0% 3.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 7.5% 3.7 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
NC Central 7.3% 3.7 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 2.9% 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 1.9% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 40.6% 40.6% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 37.7 59.4 0.0%
Howard 30.6% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.4 29.0 69.4 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 7.3 92.7 0.0%
Delaware St. 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 7.7 92.3 0.0%
NC Central 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 7.7 92.3 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 2.8 97.2 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 40.6% 32.1% 25.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 30.6% 24.1% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 7.7% 7.5% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 7.7% 7.6% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 53.6% 0.5 46.4 53.6
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0