Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
253 Howard 43.2%   16   9 - 9 3 - 3 -5.3      -6.2 327 +0.9 140 72.4 85 -6.4 268 -12.3 5
306 Norfolk St. 18.6%   6 - 14 3 - 4 -8.7      -6.1 325 -2.6 257 69.3 168 -11.1 332 -14.4 6
338 Maryland Eastern Shore 13.1%   6 - 14 4 - 1 -11.3      -8.1 351 -3.3 281 61.5 347 -9.7 323 -3.7 1
342 NC Central 11.2%   3 - 12 3 - 1 -11.6      -5.7 319 -5.9 334 67.2 226 -12.5 342 -5.8 3
353 Delaware St. 5.0%   3 - 14 1 - 5 -13.6      -11.8 364 -1.8 240 68.3 197 -17.0 355 -23.9 8
354 Morgan St. 5.6%   6 - 13 5 - 2 -13.8      -6.6 336 -7.2 353 74.7 41 -11.4 334 -5.1 2
359 South Carolina St. 3.4%   3 - 16 3 - 2 -15.0      -8.5 353 -6.5 345 71.5 109 -15.4 354 -10.6 4
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   2 - 20 1 - 5 -20.3      -10.6 362 -9.7 363 72.0 93 -19.4 360 -21.9 7


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 31 353 Delaware St. 65 338 Maryland Eastern Shore 57   
Sat, Jan 31 253 Howard 88 306 Norfolk St. 60   
Sat, Jan 31 364 Coppin St. 80 354 Morgan St. 89   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Feb 2 342 NC Central 68 338 Maryland Eastern Shore 66 61%   
Mon, Feb 2 364 Coppin St. 68 253 Howard 80 87%   
Wed, Feb 4 359 South Carolina St. 67 338 Maryland Eastern Shore 68 52%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 2.1 43.9 27.5 14.8 8.2 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0
Norfolk St. 3.7 9.7 15.2 19.6 22.3 20.5 10.5 2.0 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.5 36.3 21.3 16.1 12.0 8.7 4.8 0.9 0.0
NC Central 3.0 27.2 19.1 17.1 15.0 11.7 7.7 2.3 0.1
Delaware St. 6.6 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.2 7.5 18.9 55.4 13.0
Morgan St. 2.9 22.0 21.3 21.5 17.3 12.7 4.9 0.5 0.0
South Carolina St. 4.8 4.1 6.7 10.0 14.6 21.0 33.8 9.1 0.7
Coppin St. 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.6 23.7 71.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 9 - 5 15 - 12 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 6.8 17.1 29.4 30.7 14.0
Norfolk St. 8 - 6 11 - 16 0.1 1.0 4.7 13.5 25.3 29.9 19.7 5.9
Maryland Eastern Shore 9 - 5 11 - 18 0.2 1.5 5.5 12.4 20.5 24.5 19.6 11.4 3.8 0.6
NC Central 8 - 6 8 - 17 0.1 0.8 3.5 8.8 16.4 22.2 21.9 16.1 7.4 2.5 0.3
Delaware St. 4 - 10 6 - 19 1.6 8.4 18.7 25.1 23.8 14.7 5.9 1.6 0.2
Morgan St. 8 - 6 9 - 17 1.1 6.9 18.4 27.0 25.3 15.1 5.4 0.9
South Carolina St. 7 - 7 7 - 21 1.1 6.7 17.2 25.5 24.1 15.9 7.0 2.2 0.4 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 11 4 - 26 18.5 33.4 27.4 14.0 5.3 1.2 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 43.9% 21.8 15.0 5.6 1.4 0.2 0.0
Norfolk St. 9.7% 2.3 3.8 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 36.3% 19.8 10.8 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
NC Central 27.2% 13.1 8.7 4.0 1.2 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 22.0% 9.3 7.6 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 4.1% 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Coppin St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 43.2% 43.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.6 3.4 39.2 56.8 0.0%
Norfolk St. 18.6% 18.6% 0.0% 0.1 18.5 81.4 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 13.0 86.9 0.0%
NC Central 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0 11.1 88.8 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 5.0 95.0 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 5.6 94.4 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 52.3% 0.5 47.7 52.3
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 43.2% 29.1% 28.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 18.6% 17.7% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 13.1% 12.9% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 11.2% 11.0% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 5.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 3.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%