Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
251 Norfolk St. 37.2%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 4 -4.9      -2.5 245 -2.3 249 66.0 232 0.0 1 0.0 1
311 South Carolina St. 15.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 15 6 - 4 -8.4      -5.2 319 -3.2 281 71.8 75 0.0 1 0.0 1
324 Howard 14.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 15 8 - 6 -9.7      -3.7 282 -6.0 346 73.0 59 0.0 1 0.0 1
329 NC Central 14.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 8 - 6 -9.9      -4.1 291 -5.8 344 67.2 207 0.0 1 0.0 1
338 Delaware St. 9.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 14 6 - 5 -10.8      -5.3 321 -5.4 334 74.1 50 0.0 1 0.0 1
355 Morgan St. 6.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 17 6 - 8 -13.1      -5.8 327 -7.3 358 74.7 36 0.0 1 0.0 1
360 Maryland Eastern Shore 2.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 20 4 - 7 -15.6      -9.4 358 -6.2 350 65.7 243 0.0 1 0.0 1
362 Coppin St. 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 25 4 - 10 -17.3      -11.8 364 -5.5 335 69.8 126 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.9 57.9 19.9 9.7 5.5 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.5
South Carolina St. 4.5 4.0 11.2 16.6 19.7 18.6 15.1 10.0 4.7
Howard 3.2 21.5 24.0 17.3 12.4 9.5 7.1 5.0 3.1
NC Central 3.3 20.1 22.9 18.5 13.0 9.4 7.5 5.4 3.2
Delaware St. 4.6 4.7 10.9 15.1 16.7 17.2 15.5 12.5 7.3
Morgan St. 4.4 8.7 14.0 15.1 15.1 13.7 12.5 11.6 9.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.9 1.2 3.8 6.5 10.4 14.3 18.0 22.6 23.2
Coppin St. 5.9 2.0 4.8 7.9 10.0 12.7 15.6 20.0 26.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.6 4.3 7.0 9.8 12.9 15.3 16.0 14.4 10.7 4.6
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.4 4.2 8.3 12.8 16.7 18.3 16.4 12.5 7.0 2.1
Howard 8 - 6 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.5 6.0 8.7 11.4 13.3 14.1 13.3 11.1 8.1 4.9 2.3 0.6
NC Central 8 - 6 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.1 5.9 9.0 11.9 14.0 14.3 13.0 10.2 7.9 4.5 2.1 0.5
Delaware St. 6 - 8 0.5 2.2 5.5 9.7 13.9 16.3 16.0 14.5 10.9 6.6 3.2 0.7
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.7 2.6 5.9 8.7 11.6 13.3 14.3 12.9 10.7 8.2 5.7 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 10 2.9 8.2 13.9 17.2 17.6 15.2 11.6 7.1 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1
Coppin St. 4 - 10 4.0 9.6 14.0 16.3 15.6 13.2 10.1 7.7 4.8 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 57.9% 46.0 9.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 4.0% 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Howard 21.5% 14.0 6.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
NC Central 20.1% 13.0 5.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 4.7% 2.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 8.7% 5.0 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.2% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 2.0% 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 37.2% 37.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.8 8.4 27.1 62.8 0.0%
South Carolina St. 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 12.8 85.0 0.0%
Howard 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 13.5 85.2 0.0%
NC Central 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 12.9 85.8 0.0%
Delaware St. 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 9.3 90.1 0.0%
Morgan St. 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.3 93.7 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.6 97.3 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 37.2% 19.4% 31.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 15.0% 10.2% 10.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 14.8% 11.1% 9.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 14.2% 10.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 9.9% 7.8% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 6.3% 5.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 66.5% 0.7 33.5 59.9 6.5
2nd Round 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0