Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
153 Norfolk St. 54.8%   16   4 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 10 12 - 2 +0.4      +0.8 153 -0.4 184 65.4 280 +3.0 125 0.0 1
281 NC Central 13.5%   1 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 5 -6.4      -1.7 215 -4.6 319 66.4 254 -11.9 337 0.0 1
284 Howard 13.7%   2 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 14 9 - 5 -6.5      -1.0 203 -5.4 334 67.9 214 -8.1 292 0.0 1
303 South Carolina St. 10.6%   2 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 6 -7.4      -4.7 305 -2.7 263 70.0 157 -9.2 314 0.0 1
340 Morgan St. 3.6%   1 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 18 6 - 8 -11.2      -5.4 320 -5.9 341 75.0 44 -19.2 363 0.0 1
348 Delaware St. 2.5%   0 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 17 6 - 8 -12.3      -7.4 354 -4.9 323 71.3 117 -11.3 330 0.0 1
358 Maryland Eastern Shore 1.1%   0 - 10 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 9 -14.2      -7.4 353 -6.9 354 68.3 203 -13.9 347 0.0 1
363 Coppin St. 0.1%   0 - 10 0 - 0 3 - 25 2 - 12 -19.8      -13.0 363 -6.8 353 66.2 262 -18.9 361 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.4 73.3 17.1 6.0 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
NC Central 3.1 15.2 27.7 22.5 16.4 10.2 5.3 2.3 0.4
Howard 3.1 15.1 26.6 22.8 16.5 10.3 5.8 2.4 0.5
South Carolina St. 3.5 9.7 21.0 22.1 19.6 13.8 8.8 4.0 0.9
Morgan St. 4.8 2.8 8.8 13.3 17.6 21.0 19.0 13.2 4.3
Delaware St. 5.0 2.2 7.1 11.4 16.1 19.9 21.0 16.2 6.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.8 0.6 2.6 5.8 10.3 16.5 24.0 28.4 11.8
Coppin St. 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.2 10.2 23.6 59.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 12 - 2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.4 6.8 12.6 19.7 23.8 21.2 10.4
NC Central 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.7 8.4 13.4 16.6 18.0 15.9 11.3 6.1 2.2 0.3
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.0 9.0 13.0 16.8 18.1 15.2 10.9 5.9 2.2 0.5
South Carolina St. 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.8 7.8 11.8 15.8 17.5 16.5 12.1 7.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.1 0.9 3.1 6.7 11.4 15.6 17.2 16.2 12.8 8.5 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 6 - 8 0.3 1.6 4.5 8.6 13.0 16.4 16.9 15.0 10.9 6.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 5 - 9 0.8 3.6 8.8 15.4 18.5 18.4 15.0 9.9 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 2 - 12 10.2 21.5 24.3 19.8 12.7 6.7 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 73.3% 59.4 11.9 1.8 0.2 0.0
NC Central 15.2% 8.3 5.6 1.2 0.2 0.0
Howard 15.1% 8.2 5.5 1.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 9.7% 5.0 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 2.8% 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 2.2% 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.6% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 54.8% 54.8% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 1.6 7.5 15.2 18.5 11.9 45.2 0.0%
NC Central 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 12.7 86.5 0.0%
Howard 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 12.2 86.3 0.0%
South Carolina St. 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.0 89.4 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 2.5 97.5 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 54.8% 4.1% 53.0% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 13.5% 10.9% 8.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 13.7% 9.9% 8.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 10.6% 8.6% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 79.4% 0.8 20.6 79.4
2nd Round 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0