Mid-Eastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
258 Norfolk St. 35.6%   16   3 - 1 0 - 0 16 - 10 10 - 4 -5.3      -3.8 281 -1.6 232 77.4 31 +7.8 78 0.0 1
305 Morgan St. 19.6%   0 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 14 9 - 5 -8.0      -2.5 256 -5.5 324 75.8 48 -10.9 315 0.0 1
308 Coppin St. 17.8%   1 - 9 0 - 0 11 - 20 9 - 5 -8.1      -6.5 340 -1.7 234 80.7 12 -11.5 320 0.0 1
313 Howard 16.2%   2 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 15 9 - 5 -8.5      -2.1 238 -6.4 336 77.0 38 -5.8 257 0.0 1
336 NC Central 7.9%   0 - 4 0 - 0 9 - 16 7 - 7 -11.5      -7.6 347 -3.9 292 69.7 168 -13.9 336 0.0 1
351 Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5%   1 - 4 0 - 0 7 - 18 5 - 9 -15.5      -11.3 355 -4.3 299 69.2 187 -5.8 256 0.0 1
354 South Carolina St. 0.8%   0 - 6 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 10 -17.5      -8.8 351 -8.7 352 78.6 23 -20.7 356 0.0 1
356 Delaware St. 0.8%   0 - 3 0 - 0 4 - 20 3 - 11 -19.1      -8.3 348 -10.8 356 76.7 43 -19.4 353 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 2.2 44.1 22.8 15.5 9.5 4.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
Morgan St. 2.9 25.8 22.8 18.8 14.7 10.4 4.6 2.2 0.7
Coppin St. 3.0 22.4 22.5 20.2 16.4 10.6 5.5 1.7 0.6
Howard 3.2 19.8 20.5 20.3 17.1 12.2 6.1 3.1 0.9
NC Central 4.2 8.8 13.2 15.5 18.2 19.1 13.9 8.2 3.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.6 1.9 4.4 6.7 10.7 17.7 23.8 21.1 13.7
South Carolina St. 6.3 0.8 1.6 3.5 7.3 12.4 22.5 27.7 24.3
Delaware St. 6.7 0.4 1.3 2.5 4.3 9.1 16.0 28.5 38.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.4 6.2 11.2 14.5 17.6 17.9 14.2 9.0 3.0
Morgan St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.9 7.5 12.5 14.7 16.2 15.6 13.3 8.5 3.8 0.8
Coppin St. 9 - 5 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.7 4.6 8.0 13.2 16.0 16.7 17.0 11.8 7.1 2.6 0.6
Howard 9 - 5 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.0 5.1 9.5 13.3 16.3 17.1 14.4 10.6 5.8 2.4 1.0
NC Central 7 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.9 4.5 7.6 11.6 15.3 15.2 14.6 13.0 7.6 5.5 2.3 0.6 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 5 - 9 1.1 3.7 8.3 12.2 16.2 16.4 16.0 10.9 7.5 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
South Carolina St. 4 - 10 2.2 7.8 13.2 17.5 18.1 15.6 11.8 7.0 3.9 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 3 - 11 5.0 12.1 19.1 18.9 16.9 12.0 7.8 4.1 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 44.1% 31.4 10.3 2.2 0.2
Morgan St. 25.8% 16.7 7.1 1.7 0.2
Coppin St. 22.4% 13.5 6.7 2.0 0.2
Howard 19.8% 12.1 5.8 1.8 0.2
NC Central 8.8% 4.4 3.3 1.0 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.9% 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 0.4% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 35.6% 35.6% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.6 3.9 31.0 64.4 0.0%
Morgan St. 19.6% 19.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 19.2 80.4 0.0%
Coppin St. 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 0.1 17.7 82.2 0.0%
Howard 16.2% 16.2% 0.0% 0.2 16.0 83.8 0.0%
NC Central 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 7.8 92.2 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Norfolk St. 35.6% 23.4% 22.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 19.6% 17.7% 9.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 17.8% 17.4% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 16.2% 15.1% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 7.9% 7.3% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 52.0% 0.5 48.0 52.0
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0