Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#339
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#286
Pace80.4#6
Improvement-1.6#345

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#308
First Shot-2.4#264
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#315
Layup/Dunks-1.6#248
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#166
Freethrows+1.8#57
Improvement-1.6#354

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#341
First Shot-4.5#313
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#332
Layups/Dunks-1.7#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#273
Freethrows-1.9#306
Improvement+0.0#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.6% 23.3% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.6% 7.1% 19.4%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Away) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 71 - 14
Quad 48 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 112   @ Charlotte L 59-82 6%     0 - 1 -16.9 -11.5 -5.3
  Nov 08, 2022 197   @ Georgetown L 89-99 OT 13%     0 - 2 -8.8 -2.8 -4.0
  Nov 11, 2022 280   Mount St. Mary's W 83-78 42%     1 - 2 -4.0 +1.0 -5.4
  Nov 14, 2022 216   Navy W 75-68 28%     2 - 2 +2.0 -2.0 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2022 297   @ Tennessee Tech W 90-85 OT 27%     3 - 2 +0.3 -0.4 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2022 85   @ Marshall L 67-86 4%     3 - 3 -10.3 -10.2 +2.1
  Nov 22, 2022 143   @ Towson L 67-83 9%     3 - 4 -11.8 +2.4 -15.7
  Nov 25, 2022 34   @ Maryland L 79-95 2%     3 - 5 -1.7 +9.5 -10.3
  Nov 30, 2022 218   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 82-109 15%     3 - 6 -26.8 -4.3 -19.5
  Dec 03, 2022 338   @ Loyola Maryland W 74-71 40%     4 - 6 -5.3 -3.7 -1.7
  Dec 06, 2022 38   @ North Carolina St. L 72-94 2%     4 - 7 -8.4 +0.3 -7.2
  Dec 11, 2022 192   @ East Carolina L 75-84 13%     4 - 8 -7.6 +6.1 -14.0
  Dec 13, 2022 180   @ George Washington L 71-83 11%     4 - 9 -9.7 -3.5 -6.3
  Dec 21, 2022 96   James Madison W 107-100 2OT 11%     5 - 9 +9.4 +6.3 +1.2
  Dec 23, 2022 122   @ George Mason L 53-91 7%     5 - 10 -32.5 -19.7 -10.2
  Dec 28, 2022 111   @ Richmond L 65-83 6%     5 - 11 -11.9 -2.6 -9.5
  Dec 30, 2022 20   @ Rutgers L 57-90 1%     5 - 12 -16.8 -8.7 -4.8
  Jan 07, 2023 353   South Carolina St. W 85-73 71%     6 - 12 1 - 0 -4.6 -11.0 +4.6
  Jan 09, 2023 253   NC Central L 59-64 36%     6 - 13 1 - 1 -12.3 -15.8 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2023 281   Morgan St. L 66-83 42%     6 - 14 1 - 2 -26.0 -19.1 -4.6
  Jan 21, 2023 198   Norfolk St. L 65-96 26%     6 - 15 1 - 3 -35.2 -14.7 -19.3
  Jan 23, 2023 275   @ Howard L 76-90 23%     6 - 16 1 - 4 -17.4 -4.4 -11.9
  Jan 28, 2023 315   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 30, 2023 357   Delaware St. W 81-74 77%    
  Feb 11, 2023 353   @ South Carolina St. W 84-83 50%    
  Feb 13, 2023 253   @ NC Central L 71-80 19%    
  Feb 18, 2023 275   Howard L 79-81 43%    
  Feb 20, 2023 198   @ Norfolk St. L 71-83 12%    
  Feb 25, 2023 315   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 27, 2023 357   @ Delaware St. W 78-76 57%    
  Mar 02, 2023 281   @ Morgan St. L 75-82 24%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 5 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.1 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.5 4.2 0.2 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 3.8 17.6 21.4 10.9 1.5 0.0 55.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.8 9.3 7.8 1.6 0.1 21.7 7th
8th 0.9 2.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.4 8th
Total 1.0 5.7 15.4 25.9 24.6 16.9 7.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-5 13.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0% 0.0
9-5 0.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
8-6 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.2
7-7 7.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.9
6-8 16.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.8
5-9 24.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.5
4-10 25.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.9
3-11 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
2-12 5.7% 5.7
1-13 1.0% 1.0
0-14
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0%
Lose Out 1.0%