South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -15.6 357
Results Rating -15.2 352
Consistency 0.14 101
Pace 70.8 112
Improvement +2.0 114

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense F+ 357 D- D+ F C F
Defense D- 330 D- F C F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 332 F+ 49% 357 -6.7 356
2 Pt. Jumpers 63% 7 D+ 35% 270 +3.8 32
Three Pointers 35% 308 C 34% 179 -3.3 287
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.0 356 D -4.1 317
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 344
Second Chance C- 29.1% 216 D+ 0.95 298 D+ 0.28 259
Opponents' Steals D- 11.5% 341
Other Turnovers F 9.5% 352
Turnovers F 21.0% 356
Freethrows B- 0.33 93 D- 67% 340 C 0.22 178
Total Offense F+ -9.6 357

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 159 F 15.6% 355
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 47 C+ 4.3% 126
Three Pointers C+ 85% 170 C- 1.1% 256
Total C 56% 170 D 6.8% 311


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 D- 65% 343 +7.6 360
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% 364 F+ 45% 350 -2.9 7
Three Pointers 43% 112 C 34% 195 +1.1 247
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.7 365 D +3.9 327
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 344
Second Chance F 37.6% 362 D- 1.16 342 F 0.44 362
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 210
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 100
Turnovers C 16.8% 170
Freethrows F 0.40 358 C 73% 197 F 0.29 358
Total Defense D- -6.1 330

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 242 C 11.1% 167
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 313 C- 3.7% 242
Three Pointers D- 90% 341 D 0.3% 309
Total D+ 61% 300 C 5.6% 172

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 316 15.6 1
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 276 0.26 362
Consistency 0.13 245 0.12 161
Improvement -0.1 195 +2.2 75

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 358 357 354
Results Rating Rank 356 355 348
Conference Record 7 - 7 7 - 7 7 - 7
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 4% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 4% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 47 - 127 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 13 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0% 0 - 1 F -37 F -27 F C- F C- -2 C F A
 Fri, Nov 7 195 @Samford L 72 - 82 7% -1  41% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -6 D- B- F C- -2 C F C
 Mon, Nov 10 288 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 15% -14  9% 0 - 3 F -27 F -25 F F F C+ +1 C- D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 144 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 4% -14  12% 0 - 4 F -23 F+ -9 D- D- F+ F -15 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 292 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 31% -8  2% 0 - 5 F -23 F -19 F A+ C- D+ -4 C+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 283 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 14% -8  1% 0 - 6 D+ -5 C+ +3 D A D- F+ -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 46 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0% 0 - 7 F+ -17 D+ -4 F C+ C+ F -13 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 145 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  7% 0 - 8 F -18 C +1 B B- D- F -18 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 5 239 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 10% -12  5% 0 - 9 F -23 F -12 F D F F -12 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 247 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 11% -15  20% 0 - 10 F -42 F -31 F F F F -12 D C+ D
 Fri, Dec 12 201 @Queens L 78 - 102 7% -19  0% 0 - 11 F -23 D+ -3 D- A F F -19 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 306 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 35% -6  4% 0 - 12 F+ -18 D+ -4 B C- D F -14 F F D
 Mon, Dec 22 97 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0% 0 - 13 F+ -16 C- -1 C+ C- C F -15 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 14 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0% 0 - 14 F -29 F+ -9 D- C+ A- F -21 F F D
 Sat, Jan 3 183 Howard W 58 - 57 15% +7  98% 1 - 14 1 - 0 C- -4 F -17 D B+ F A+ +13 A+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 348 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 32% +2  72% 1 - 15 1 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 D B+ F D -5 D- D+ F
 Mon, Jan 12 362 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 49% +4  89% 2 - 15 2 - 1 D- -13 C- -1 B- D+ F+ F -12 C- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 316 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 38% +0  52% 2 - 16 2 - 2 F -19 C- -1 C- C F F -18 F F B
 Mon, Jan 26 361 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 70% +6  97% 3 - 16 3 - 2 F+ -15 F+ -10 B F C+ D -5 C- D- F+
 Wed, Feb 4 350 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 54 55% +10  86% 4 - 16 4 - 2 D+ -8 F -12 C D D B +5 D F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 183 @Howard L 57 - 85 7% -15  0% 4 - 17 4 - 3 F -27 F -19 F F F+ D -6 F D- C+
 Mon, Feb 16 362 Coppin St. L 57 - 59 71% +1  55% 4 - 18 4 - 4 F -23 F -24 F F C C+ +0 F C+ A+
 Wed, Feb 18 352 NC Central W 85 - 72 57% +5  93% 5 - 18 5 - 4 C- -4 B- +4 A- F A D- -8 F D+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 316 @Norfolk St. L 71 - 90 19% -10  0% 5 - 19 5 - 5 F -25 F+ -9 F A+ F F -16 F D- C
 Wed, Feb 25 348 Morgan St. L 83 - 90 54% -5  2% 5 - 20 5 - 6 F -24 D -5 C- F+ B F -19 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 28 350 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 57 - 69 33% -1  43% 5 - 21 5 - 7 F -23 F -18 F B- F D -6 F A+ C-
 Mon, Mar 2 361 @Delaware St. W 61 - 59 47% -1  37% 6 - 21 6 - 7 D- -13 D- -8 F F D+ D+ -5 C F+ D
 Thu, Mar 5 352 @NC Central W 80 - 64 34% +7  89% 7 - 21 7 - 7 C+ +5 C- -2 C+ F C+ B+ +6 A C- C-
 Thu, Mar 12 316 Norfolk St. L 71 - 77 28%
Totals 7 - 22 7 - 7 -16 F+ -10 F D F D- -6 C D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F+ D+ C D 32% 63% 35% F D- C- D+ D+ F B- D- C D- D- F+ C D 46% 11% 43% F D- F D- F C F C F
0.95 49% 35% 34% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.0 .28 21% .33 67% .22 1.17 65% 45% 34% +4 +2 1.14 38% 1.2 .44 17% .40 73% .24
Nov
3
Louisville F F F F F 24% 41% 35% F F C+ F+ C- F A+ A- A+ C- F A+ D+ C 44% 6% 50% D+ C C- F F A F C- F
0.55 42% 15% 12% -25 -4 0.45 26% 0.8 .21 31% .39 77% .30 1.28 75% 0% 37% +8 +2 1.22 36% 1.3 .45 21% .51 79% .40
Nov
7
Samford D- F A D D+ 21% 42% 37% F D- F+ A+ B- F C+ A B+ C- A- A+ D B 48% 4% 48% F C D+ F F C F B F
1.00 36% 50% 32% -1 -4 0.92 19% 1.8 .34 18% .30 83% .25 1.14 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 26% 1.4 .38 14% .60 65% .39
Nov
10
N.C. A&T F F F A+ F 29% 42% 29% F F C F F F A+ F B C+ D+ A+ A+ B 60% 10% 29% F C- F+ B- D+ A F C+ F
0.77 43% 30% 43% -4 -3 0.88 29% 0.6 .17 30% .49 50% .25 1.05 62% 20% 21% -5 +3 0.98 37% 1.0 .37 23% .53 73% .39
Nov
14
College of Charleston F+ C+ F A+ C- 17% 52% 31% F D- B+ F D- F+ A+ F A- F F B+ A+ F+ 48% 14% 38% F F F C+ F F F A- F
0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22 1.31 92% 29% 16% +4 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35
Nov
19
Chattanooga F A+ F F F 16% 37% 47% F F C- A+ A+ C- A+ F A+ D+ F B+ A- C+ 30% 21% 49% C C+ F F F B- F B F
0.91 75% 5% 25% -16 -4 0.63 30% 2.0 .60 14% .54 62% .34 1.08 69% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.98 31% 1.5 .46 17% .58 71% .41
Nov
23
South Dakota C+ F+ D+ B+ D- 59% 16% 25% B- D A C+ A D- B A+ A F+ D D- D+ F 55% 15% 30% F F F A+ F A+ F A+ F
1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28 1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34
Nov
25
Missouri D+ B D- F F 27% 33% 40% D- F C- B+ C+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F D- C A+ A+ 39% 22% 39% B+ A+ F F F F F F F
0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34 1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38
Nov
29
Winthrop C D C+ A+ B+ 39% 30% 31% D- B C A B- D- F F F F F F D F 45% 7% 48% F+ F F F F A- A+ F B+
1.08 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.11 29% 1.3 .37 19% .20 67% .13 1.38 72% 50% 37% +9 +2 1.25 48% 1.7 .84 19% .25 87% .22
Dec
5
Bethune-Cookman F F F F+ F 30% 24% 46% F F A F D F B+ D B- F F A+ F F 47% 17% 36% D- F B- A+ A+ F A+ F B
0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25 1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19
Dec
8
Charleston Southern F F F C F 28% 52% 20% F F C- F F F A+ F F F B+ A+ F D- 34% 9% 57% C D F+ A C+ D F F F
0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17 1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42
Dec
12
Queens D+ F A+ A+ D- 50% 23% 27% C D- A B A F D+ F+ D- F F F C+ D- 35% 8% 58% D D- F D F F F C F
1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21 1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34
Dec
16
South Carolina Upstate D+ A A+ B A+ 20% 47% 33% F B F A+ C- D F+ C- D- F C- F D- F 42% 22% 36% C F D- F F D F B+ F
1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16 1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28
Dec
22
South Carolina C- F A+ A+ B+ 26% 46% 28% F C+ C+ D C- C C+ F D F F F B F 36% 20% 44% C+ F F D F A+ F F+ F
1.00 14% 56% 47% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 16% .27 56% .15 1.35 88% 67% 30% +14 0 1.29 48% 1.2 .57 21% .65 86% .56
Dec
30
Tennessee F+ F D D D 27% 39% 35% F D- F+ A+ C+ A- B+ F D+ F F F B+ F 48% 10% 42% F F F C- F D F A+ F
0.78 38% 32% 29% -10 -3 0.76 16% 1.5 .24 14% .34 50% .17 1.52 91% 80% 30% +18 +2 1.42 67% 1.1 .73 14% .56 58% .32
Jan
3
Howard F D+ B F+ C 30% 41% 30% F D C A B+ F A C A- A+ A B A+ A+ 50% 7% 43% F A+ A+ F D- D+ F A+ F
0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29 0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37
Jan
10
Morgan St. F A- B- F D+ 40% 28% 33% F D C+ A- B+ F D+ F F D F B- A+ D 48% 20% 33% F D- D+ C- D+ F F A+ D-
1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18 1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29
Jan
12
Coppin St. C- A- B+ A+ A 17% 44% 39% F B- F+ B+ D+ F+ A+ F A+ F A+ F+ D C- 26% 16% 58% D+ C- F F F C- F F+ F
1.13 71% 44% 50% +14 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40 1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51
Jan
17
Norfolk St. C- B D- B- C 31% 18% 51% D- C- A F C F C+ A+ A- F D B- D+ D- 62% 8% 30% F F F F F B F F F
1.14 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.08 42% 0.8 .33 21% .39 82% .32 1.24 61% 33% 36% +2 +3 1.14 38% 1.8 .67 21% .83 79% .65
Jan
26
Delaware St. F+ F A+ A+ B 45% 14% 40% C+ B F F F C+ A+ F A D C+ F A+ B- 52% 13% 35% F C- D F+ D- F+ F F F
1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32 0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36
Feb
4
Maryland Eastern Shore F A+ A D B 21% 38% 41% F C D- B- D D A+ D A+ B C+ B C- C- 49% 9% 43% F D F+ F F A+ F+ A+ D+
0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36 0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7
Howard F F F F+ F 37% 21% 42% D- F D- F F F+ C F F+ D C+ F F F 66% 7% 27% F F C F D- C+ F D F
0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17 1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47
Feb
16
Coppin St. F F A+ F F 53% 14% 33% B F F F F C F F+ F C+ D- B+ D- F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F C+ A+ C- B+ C+
0.85 50% 57% 19% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.7 .16 16% .23 69% .16 0.88 61% 29% 36% +1 +2 1.07 13% 2.0 .26 28% .33 63% .21
Feb
18
NC Central B- A+ C- A+ A 34% 26% 40% F+ A- F F F A C A+ B+ D- C- F F+ F 39% 22% 39% C- F D C D+ C F A+ D
1.27 76% 38% 50% +16 -1 1.32 25% 0.7 .17 13% .29 88% .26 1.08 56% 50% 39% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.0 .31 18% .44 58% .26
Feb
21
Norfolk St. F+ F A+ B- F 51% 13% 36% B- F A A- A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F C F F 49% 16% 35% F F C+ F D- C D+ F F+
0.99 30% 80% 36% -8 +2 0.90 42% 1.2 .52 32% .60 83% .50 1.26 67% 38% 59% +17 +1 1.39 28% 1.3 .36 18% .36 76% .27
Feb
25
Morgan St. D A A- F C+ 43% 29% 27% F C- B F F+ B B F C- F B+ F F F 57% 2% 40% F F F F F A- F F F
1.14 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 41% 0.8 .31 12% .45 62% .28 1.23 46% 100% 59% +10 +4 1.29 37% 1.4 .53 22% .60 82% .49
Feb
28
Maryland Eastern Shore F F F F F 45% 15% 40% B- F B C- B- F A+ B- A+ D F+ F C+ F 62% 9% 29% F F F A+ A+ C- F A F
0.86 44% 17% 25% -15 +1 0.75 38% 1.1 .41 29% .63 77% .49 1.04 64% 50% 31% +3 +3 1.16 43% 0.3 .11 23% .47 63% .29
Mar
2
Delaware St. D- C- F D- F 49% 24% 27% D+ F F+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D- C A+ C+ 41% 27% 32% F+ C F D F+ D F F F
1.00 61% 0% 30% -9 0 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 20% .59 86% .51 0.97 59% 36% 15% -9 -1 0.83 34% 0.8 .28 18% .48 83% .40
Mar
5
NC Central C- D F A+ C+ 40% 19% 40% C- C+ D F F C+ A+ F A+ B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 15% 45% F+ A F+ B+ C- C- F B- F
1.15 58% 22% 53% +8 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 17% .48 64% .31 0.92 47% 14% 24% -15 +1 0.74 33% 0.9 .29 17% .48 71% .35




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 99.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.2%
Lose Out 73.6%