South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -16.0 357
Results Rating -16.5 356
Consistency 0.13 68
Pace 71.1 110
Improvement +1.6 123

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 356 D- C- F D+ F
Defense D- 345 F+ F C F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 341 F+ 49% 358 -7.3 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 63% 9 C- 36% 224 +4.7 19
Three Pointers 35% 308 C 34% 180 -3.2 287
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.3 359 D -3.6 307
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 340
Second Chance C- 29.2% 213 D+ 0.97 267 C- 0.28 243
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 325
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 355
Turnovers F 20.9% 356
Freethrows C+ 0.31 164 F 65% 356 D+ 0.20 243
Total Offense F+ -9.2 356

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 174 F+ 15.3% 351
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 36% 38 C+ 4.5% 153
Three Pointers C+ 87% 132 C- 1.0% 225
Total C 56% 164 D+ 6.7% 297

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 D- 65% 340 +7.5 360
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% 363 F 46% 352 -2.7 12
Three Pointers 43% 116 C- 35% 226 +1.6 264
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.7 365 D- +4.5 336
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 353
Second Chance F 37.4% 360 F 1.24 362 F 0.46 364
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.1% 210
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 107
Turnovers C 16.9% 176
Freethrows F 0.40 357 C 73% 204 F 0.29 357
Total Defense D- -6.9 345

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 276 C 10.7% 183
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 36% 323 C- 3.9% 232
Three Pointers D- 91% 347 D+ 0.4% 299
Total D 62% 324 C 5.5% 179

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 321 15.6 1
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 307 0.25 360
Consistency 0.14 269 0.12 153
Improvement +0.6 158 +1.0 125

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 361 358 352
Results Rating Rank 361 356 350
Conference Record 5 - 9 6 - 8 7 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 29% 64% 14%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Away) - 30.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 47 - 137 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 14 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0% 0 - 1 F -37 F -27 F C- F C -1 C F+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 195 @Samford L 72 - 82 7% -1  41% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -7 D- B- F C- -2 C F C
 Mon, Nov 10 275 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 12% -14  9% 0 - 3 F -26 F -24 F F F C+ +1 C- D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 147 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 4% -14  12% 0 - 4 F -23 F+ -9 D- D F+ F -16 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 282 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 28% -8  2% 0 - 5 F -22 F -17 F A+ C D+ -4 C+ F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 285 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 13% -8  1% 0 - 6 D+ -5 C+ +3 D A D- D- -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 47 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0% 0 - 7 F+ -18 D -5 F C+ C F -13 A F F
 Sat, Nov 29 138 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  7% 0 - 8 F+ -18 C +1 B B- D F -17 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 5 239 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 9% -12  5% 0 - 9 F -22 F -11 F D+ F F -12 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 264 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 11% -15  20% 0 - 10 F -43 F -31 F F F F -13 D- C+ D
 Fri, Dec 12 199 @Queens L 78 - 102 7% -19  0% 0 - 11 F -23 D+ -4 D- A F F -19 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 300 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 32% -6  4% 0 - 12 F+ -17 D+ -4 B C D F -14 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 91 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0% 0 - 13 F+ -16 C- -1 C+ C- C+ F -15 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 19 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0% 0 - 14 F -30 F+ -9 D- C+ B+ F -21 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 200 Howard W 58 - 57 16% +7  98% 1 - 14 1 - 0 C- -4 F -16 D B+ F A+ +12 A+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 348 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 29% +2  72% 1 - 15 1 - 1 F+ -15 F -11 D- B F D+ -4 D D+ F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 48% +4  89% 2 - 15 2 - 1 D- -13 C- -1 B- D+ F+ F -12 D+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 304 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 33% +0  52% 2 - 16 2 - 2 F -19 C -0 C C- F+ F -18 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 26 361 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 66% +6  97% 3 - 16 3 - 2 D- -14 F+ -9 B- F C+ D -5 C- D- F+
 Wed, Feb 4 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 54 52% +10  86% 4 - 16 4 - 2 D+ -8 F -13 C D D- B+ +6 D F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 200 @Howard L 57 - 85 7% -15  0% 4 - 17 4 - 3 F -27 F -19 F F D- D- -7 F D- C+
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. L 57 - 59 70% +1  55% 4 - 18 4 - 4 F -23 F -24 F F C C+ +0 F C+ A
 Wed, Feb 18 352 NC Central W 85 - 72 54% +5  93% 5 - 18 5 - 4 C- -4 B- +5 A- F A- F+ -8 F D+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 304 @Norfolk St. L 71 - 90 16% -10  0% 5 - 19 5 - 5 F -25 D- -7 F A+ F F -17 F D- C-
 Wed, Feb 25 348 Morgan St. L 83 - 90 51% -5  2% 5 - 20 5 - 6 F -23 D -5 C- F+ B F -18 F F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 351 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 65 - 70 30%
 Mon, Mar 2 361 @Delaware St. L 68 - 70 44%
 Thu, Mar 5 352 @NC Central L 71 - 76 33%
Totals 6 - 22 6 - 8 -16 F+ -9 F D F D- -7 C F D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F+ C- C D 31% 63% 35% F D- C- D+ C- F C+ F D+ D- D- F C- D- 46% 11% 43% F F+ F F F C F C F
0.96 49% 36% 34% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.0 .28 21% .31 65% .20 1.18 65% 46% 35% +4 +2 1.15 37% 1.2 .46 17% .40 73% .23
Nov
3		 Louisville F F F F F 24% 41% 35% F F C+ D- C- F A+ A- A+ C F A+ D+ C 44% 6% 50% D+ C C- F F+ A F C F
0.55 42% 15% 12% -25 -4 0.45 26% 0.8 .21 31% .39 77% .30 1.28 75% 0% 37% +8 +2 1.22 36% 1.3 .45 21% .51 79% .40
Nov
7		 Samford D- F A D D+ 21% 42% 37% F D- F+ A+ B- F C+ A B C- A- A+ D B- 48% 4% 48% F C D+ F F C F B F
1.00 36% 50% 32% -1 -4 0.92 19% 1.8 .34 18% .30 83% .25 1.14 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 26% 1.4 .38 14% .60 65% .39
Nov
10		 N.C. A&T F F F A+ F+ 29% 42% 29% F F C F F F A+ F B C+ D A+ A+ B 60% 10% 29% F C- F+ B- D+ A F B- F
0.77 43% 30% 43% -4 -3 0.88 29% 0.6 .17 30% .49 50% .25 1.05 62% 20% 21% -5 +3 0.98 37% 1.0 .37 23% .53 73% .39
Nov
14		 College of Charleston F+ C+ F A+ C- 17% 52% 31% F D- A- F D F+ A+ F A- F F B+ A+ F+ 48% 14% 38% F F F C+ F F F A- F
0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22 1.31 92% 29% 16% +4 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35
Nov
19		 Chattanooga F A+ F F F 16% 37% 47% F F C- A+ A+ C A+ F A+ D+ F B+ B+ C+ 30% 21% 49% C+ C+ F F F C+ F B F
0.91 75% 5% 25% -16 -4 0.63 30% 2.0 .60 14% .54 62% .34 1.08 69% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.98 31% 1.5 .46 17% .58 71% .41
Nov
23		 South Dakota C+ F+ D+ B+ D- 59% 16% 25% B- D A C A D- B A+ A- D- D D- D+ F+ 55% 15% 30% F F F A+ F A+ F A+ F
1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28 1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34
Nov
25		 Missouri D B+ D- F F+ 27% 33% 40% D- F C- B C+ C A+ C A+ F D- C A+ A+ 39% 22% 39% B+ A F F F F F F F
0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34 1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38
Nov
29		 Winthrop C D B- A+ B+ 39% 30% 31% D- B C A B- D F F+ F F F F D F 45% 7% 48% D- F F F F A- A+ F B+
1.08 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.11 29% 1.3 .37 19% .20 67% .13 1.38 72% 50% 37% +9 +2 1.25 48% 1.7 .84 19% .25 87% .22
Dec
5		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F+ F 30% 24% 46% F F A F D+ F B D B- F F A+ F F 47% 17% 36% D- F B- A+ A+ F A+ F B-
0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25 1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19
Dec
8		 Charleston Southern F F F C- F 28% 52% 20% F F C- F F F A+ F F F B+ A+ F D- 34% 9% 57% C D- F+ A C+ D F F F
0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17 1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42
Dec
12		 Queens D+ F A A+ F+ 50% 23% 27% C D- A B A F D F+ D- F F F C+ D- 35% 8% 58% D D- F D F F F C F
1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21 1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34
Dec
16		 South Carolina Upstate D+ A A B A+ 20% 47% 33% F B F A+ C D F+ C- D- F C- F D- F 42% 22% 36% C- F D- F F D+ F B+ F
1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16 1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28
Dec
22		 South Carolina C- F A+ A+ B+ 26% 46% 28% F C+ C D+ C- C+ C F D F F F B F 36% 20% 44% C+ F F D- F A+ F F+ F
1.00 14% 56% 47% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 16% .27 56% .15 1.35 88% 67% 30% +14 0 1.29 48% 1.2 .57 21% .65 86% .56
Dec
30		 Tennessee F+ F D D D 27% 39% 35% F D- F+ A+ C+ B+ B+ F D+ F F F B+ F 48% 10% 42% F F F C- F D- F A+ F
0.78 38% 32% 29% -10 -3 0.76 16% 1.5 .24 14% .34 50% .17 1.52 91% 80% 30% +18 +2 1.42 67% 1.1 .73 14% .56 58% .32
Jan
3		 Howard F D+ B F C- 30% 41% 30% F D C A B+ F A C- A- A+ A B A+ A+ 50% 7% 43% F A+ A+ F D- D+ F A+ F
0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29 0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37
Jan
10		 Morgan St. F A- B- F D+ 40% 28% 33% F D- C+ B+ B F D F F D+ F B- A+ D+ 48% 20% 33% F D C- D+ D+ F F A+ D
1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18 1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29
Jan
12		 Coppin St. C- A- B A+ A 17% 44% 39% F B- F+ A- D+ F+ A+ F A+ F A+ F+ D C- 26% 16% 58% D+ D+ F F F D+ F F+ F
1.13 71% 44% 50% +14 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40 1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51
Jan
17		 Norfolk St. C B D- B- C+ 31% 18% 51% D- C A- F C- F+ C+ A+ B+ F D- B D+ D- 62% 8% 30% F F F F F B- F F F
1.14 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.08 42% 0.8 .33 21% .39 82% .32 1.24 61% 33% 36% +2 +3 1.14 38% 1.8 .67 21% .83 79% .65
Jan
26		 Delaware St. F+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 14% 40% C+ B- F F F C+ A+ F+ A D C+ F A+ B- 52% 13% 35% F C- D- D- D- F+ F F F
1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32 0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36
Feb
4		 Maryland Eastern Shore F A+ A D+ B 21% 38% 41% F C D- C+ D D- A+ D+ A+ B+ B- B C- C- 49% 9% 43% F D F F F A+ F+ A+ C-
0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36 0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Howard F F F F F 37% 21% 42% D- F D- F F D- C- F F D- C+ F F F 66% 7% 27% F F C F D- C+ F D F
0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17 1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47
Feb
16		 Coppin St. F F A+ F F 53% 14% 33% B F F F F C F F+ F C+ D- B+ D- F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F C+ A C B+ C+
0.85 50% 57% 19% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.7 .16 16% .23 69% .16 0.88 61% 29% 36% +1 +2 1.07 13% 2.0 .26 28% .33 63% .21
Feb
18		 NC Central B- A+ C- A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% F+ A- F F F A- C- A+ B F+ C F F F 39% 22% 39% C- F D+ C- D+ C F A+ D
1.27 76% 38% 50% +16 -1 1.32 25% 0.7 .17 13% .29 88% .26 1.08 56% 50% 39% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.0 .31 18% .44 58% .26
Feb
21		 Norfolk St. D- F A+ B- F 51% 13% 36% B- F A- A A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F C F F 49% 16% 35% F F B- F D- C- C- F D-
0.99 30% 80% 36% -8 +2 0.90 42% 1.2 .52 32% .60 83% .50 1.26 67% 38% 59% +17 +1 1.39 28% 1.3 .36 18% .36 76% .27
Feb
25		 Morgan St. D A A- F C+ 43% 29% 27% F C- B F F+ B B- F D+ F A- F F F 57% 2% 40% F F F F F B+ F F F
1.14 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 41% 0.8 .31 12% .45 62% .28 1.23 46% 100% 59% +10 +4 1.29 37% 1.4 .53 22% .60 82% .49



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 1.1 2.5 3.6 3rd
4th 1.0 14.6 2.4 18.0 4th
5th 1.6 28.0 8.6 38.2 5th
6th 14.8 13.6 0.0 28.4 6th
7th 10.8 0.9 11.7 7th
8th 8th
Total 27.3 43.5 24.3 5.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 5.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.2 4.8
7-7 24.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.4 23.9
6-8 43.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.6 42.9
5-9 27.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 27.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 98.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 19.6%