South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#328
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#32
Pace71.9#96
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 19.2% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 16.9% 35.4% 12.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 38.0% 27.1%
Conference Champion 2.9% 5.4% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 17.0% 12.3% 18.1%
First Four7.8% 11.1% 7.0%
First Round8.1% 13.3% 6.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Away) - 18.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 48 - 89 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 8   @ Louisville L 45-104 1%     0 - 1 -37.8 -25.7 -3.7
  Nov 07, 2025 188   @ Samford L 71-81 18%    
  Nov 10, 2025 349   @ N.C. A&T L 72-73 46%    
  Nov 14, 2025 130   @ College of Charleston L 68-81 11%    
  Nov 19, 2025 134   Chattanooga L 68-75 27%    
  Nov 23, 2025 292   @ South Dakota L 77-82 32%    
  Nov 25, 2025 36   @ Missouri L 61-86 1%    
  Nov 29, 2025 151   @ Winthrop L 70-82 15%    
  Dec 01, 2025 350   @ Chicago St. L 75-76 46%    
  Dec 05, 2025 214   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-78 21%    
  Dec 12, 2025 242   @ Queens L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 16, 2025 318   South Carolina Upstate W 77-74 57%    
  Dec 22, 2025 82   @ South Carolina L 60-78 6%    
  Dec 30, 2025 18   @ Tennessee L 52-80 1%    
  Jan 03, 2026 327   Howard W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 10, 2026 354   @ Morgan St. L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 12, 2026 363   @ Coppin St. W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 17, 2026 245   Norfolk St. L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 31, 2026 339   NC Central W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 07, 2026 327   @ Howard L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 14, 2026 354   Morgan St. W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 16, 2026 363   Coppin St. W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 21, 2026 245   @ Norfolk St. L 66-73 28%    
  Mar 05, 2026 339   @ NC Central L 70-72 42%    
Projected Record 8 - 16 5 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.9 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.7 5.1 2.2 0.1 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.5 7.0 3.5 0.6 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.7 9.1 5.1 0.6 17.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 7.7 5.7 0.3 15.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 7.6 6.1 0.7 0.0 17.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.1 5.2 1.1 14.7 7th
8th 0.5 2.5 3.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 8th
Total 0.6 2.8 5.7 10.7 15.4 17.7 18.1 14.1 9.7 4.1 1.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 89.3% 0.9    0.8 0.2 0.0
9-5 33.9% 1.4    0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0
8-6 5.5% 0.5    0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1
7-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 1.1% 67.8% 67.8% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3
9-5 4.1% 47.8% 47.8% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.9 2.2
8-6 9.7% 25.4% 25.4% 15.7 0.0 0.6 1.9 7.3
7-7 14.1% 18.0% 18.0% 15.9 0.3 2.2 11.6
6-8 18.1% 11.4% 11.4% 15.9 0.2 1.9 16.0
5-9 17.7% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.3 16.5
4-10 15.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.8 14.6
3-11 10.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.3
2-12 5.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.6
1-13 2.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.2 9.6 87.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%