South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.3#355
Expected Predictive Rating-15.9#356
Pace77.2#20
Improvement-0.3#222

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#320
First Shot-5.8#334
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#135
Layup/Dunks-2.5#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#327
Freethrows-1.5#295
Improvement+0.0#192

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#363
First Shot-8.6#362
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#233
Layups/Dunks-4.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#262
Freethrows-3.2#351
Improvement-0.3#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 78.2% 62.2% 95.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 43 - 154 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 229   @ South Carolina L 77-80 11%     0 - 1 -3.7 +2.8 -6.4
  Nov 12, 2022 321   @ Tennessee St. L 61-80 22%     0 - 2 -25.4 -19.1 -5.4
  Nov 14, 2022 126   @ Duquesne L 71-96 5%     0 - 3 -19.9 -4.5 -14.1
  Nov 17, 2022 32   @ Kentucky L 63-106 1%     0 - 4 -28.0 -9.6 -14.4
  Nov 19, 2022 282   @ North Florida L 66-72 16%     0 - 5 -9.8 -15.2 +5.7
  Nov 23, 2022 67   @ Wake Forest L 74-105 2%     0 - 6 -20.0 -4.1 -12.6
  Nov 26, 2022 163   @ Western Kentucky L 64-90 6%     0 - 7 -23.0 -9.1 -13.3
  Nov 29, 2022 205   @ East Carolina W 73-68 8%     1 - 7 +6.0 +2.9 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2022 87   @ Furman L 76-88 3%     1 - 8 -3.5 -3.8 +1.7
  Dec 06, 2022 244   @ Winthrop L 67-81 12%     1 - 9 -15.6 -11.4 -3.9
  Dec 10, 2022 306   @ South Carolina Upstate L 84-89 OT 20%     1 - 10 -10.3 +2.7 -12.5
  Dec 13, 2022 188   UNC Asheville L 84-94 16%     1 - 11 -13.9 +0.1 -12.8
  Dec 17, 2022 145   Samford W 62-61 12%     2 - 11 -0.4 -9.2 +8.9
  Dec 20, 2022 181   @ Longwood L 77-104 7%     2 - 12 -24.7 +2.8 -26.5
  Dec 27, 2022 53   @ Texas Tech L 71-110 1%     2 - 13 -26.4 -1.5 -21.3
  Jan 07, 2023 345   @ Coppin St. L 73-85 31%     2 - 14 0 - 1 -21.3 -16.9 -2.5
  Jan 09, 2023 300   @ Morgan St. L 85-90 19%     2 - 15 0 - 2 -9.9 +5.5 -15.1
  Jan 14, 2023 254   @ NC Central L 67-71 13%     2 - 16 0 - 3 -6.1 -4.9 -1.2
  Jan 21, 2023 292   Maryland Eastern Shore L 70-76 32%     2 - 17 0 - 4 -15.7 -9.0 -6.2
  Jan 23, 2023 356   Delaware St. L 85-88 OT 61%     2 - 18 0 - 5 -20.3 -5.2 -14.7
  Jan 28, 2023 203   @ Norfolk St. L 68-82 8%     2 - 19 0 - 6 -12.9 -5.4 -7.9
  Jan 30, 2023 269   @ Howard L 74-100 14%     2 - 20 0 - 7 -28.8 -5.9 -21.0
  Feb 11, 2023 345   Coppin St. W 85-84 52%    
  Feb 13, 2023 300   Morgan St. L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 18, 2023 292   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 68-78 17%    
  Feb 20, 2023 356   @ Delaware St. L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 25, 2023 203   Norfolk St. L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 27, 2023 269   Howard L 76-82 30%    
  Mar 02, 2023 254   NC Central L 72-79 27%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.8 3.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 1.1 8.8 15.4 7.1 0.9 0.0 33.3 7th
8th 7.7 22.1 21.6 7.6 0.6 0.0 59.7 8th
Total 7.7 23.1 30.4 23.8 11.0 3.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.1% 0.1
6-8 0.7% 0.7
5-9 3.2% 3.2
4-10 11.0% 11.0
3-11 23.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.8
2-12 30.4% 30.4
1-13 23.1% 23.1
0-14 7.7% 7.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 7.7%