South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.9 #358
Expected Predictive Rating -16.9 #352
Pace 71.8 #106
Improvement +2.4 #65

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #360 F D C F F
Defense #331 D- F F C- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #361 0.95 #355 -9.3 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% #4 0.65 #298 +4.4 #20
Three Pointers 35% #296 0.97 #234 -3.6 #296
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #354 -8.4 #355
Freethrows 17.3 #197 61% #362 10.6 #291
Second Chance 31.0% #180 1.01 #226 0.31 #184
Turnovers 21.0% #358
Total Offense -9.5 #360

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #42 1.34 #343 -7.3 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #333 0.79 #232 +1.8 #61
Three Pointers 41% #181 0.96 #132 +1.0 #150
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #310 -4.5 #311
Freethrows 22.3 #348 71% #137 15.9 #22
Second Chance 39.5% #363 1.20 #329 0.48 #362
Turnovers 15.8% #228
Total Defense -5.4 #331

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -5.8% #363 2.3% #348
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.4% #340 6.3% #293
Possession Length 18.4 #295 15.5 #10
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #298 0.24 #344
Improvement +0.9 #117 +1.5 #88

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.7% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 47.9% 65.1% 35.1%
Conference Champion 5.0% 8.4% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 4.9% 19.6%
First Four3.5% 4.7% 2.6%
First Round1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 147 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 15 @Louisville L 45-104 0.4%    -39.9   0 - 1 -38.5 -26.3 -3.8
  Fri, Nov 7 229 @Samford L 72-82 10%     -0.8   0 - 2 -10.8 -4.8 -5.7
  Mon, Nov 10 305 @N.C. A&T L 62-85 18%     -13.7   0 - 3 -28.2 -22.4 -2.6
  Fri, Nov 14 150 @College of Charleston L 61-88 5%     -14.0   0 - 4 -23.6 -7.8 -16.9
  Wed, Nov 19 276 Chattanooga L 66-78 30%     -7.9   0 - 5 -21.5 -14.6 -6.5
  Sun, Nov 23 291 @South Dakota L 81-82 16%     -7.7   0 - 6 -5.3 +2.5 -7.8
  Tue, Nov 25 52 @Missouri L 66-98 1%     -23.6   0 - 7 -18.5 -2.4 -16.1
  Sat, Nov 29 152 @Winthrop L 79-101 6%     -13.6   0 - 8 -18.9 +1.1 -19.0
  Fri, Dec 5 277 @Bethune-Cookman L 59-80 14%     -11.8   0 - 9 -24.5 -12.8 -13.1
  Mon, Dec 8 224 @Charleston Southern L 44-84 10%     -14.8   0 - 10 -40.5 -27.4 -14.1
  Fri, Dec 12 227 @Queens L 78-102 10%     -19.1   0 - 11 -24.7 -2.7 -21.4
  Tue, Dec 16 284 South Carolina Upstate L 72-78 32%     -5.7   0 - 12 -16.0 -2.0 -14.2
  Mon, Dec 22 73 @South Carolina L 70-95 2%     -11.8   0 - 13 -14.1 +1.7 -15.7
  Tue, Dec 30 16 @Tennessee L 54-105 0.4%    -22.7   0 - 14 -30.6 -7.2 -24.1
  Sat, Jan 3 275 Howard W 58-57 30%     7.4   1 - 14 1 - 0 -8.4 -15.8 +7.4
  Sat, Jan 10 360 @Morgan St. L 74-76 43%    
  Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 274 Norfolk St. L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 343 Maryland Eastern Shore L 66-67 49%    
  Mon, Jan 26 351 Delaware St. W 68-67 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 347 NC Central W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 275 @Howard L 65-76 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 360 Morgan St. W 77-73 65%    
  Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 76-68 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 274 @Norfolk St. L 64-76 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 343 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-69 28%    
  Mon, Mar 2 351 @Delaware St. L 65-70 32%    
  Thu, Mar 5 347 @NC Central L 67-73 30%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.1 2.5 4.6 2.2 0.3 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.0 7.5 2.9 0.2 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 3.4 9.7 4.0 0.3 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 3.0 10.5 5.1 0.3 19.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 8.5 5.0 0.3 16.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.8 3.8 0.3 11.8 7th
8th 0.3 1.5 3.0 1.9 0.2 6.8 8th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.9 10.3 15.7 19.3 18.2 14.4 8.8 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
11-3 82.0% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.0
10-4 43.5% 1.9    0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0
9-5 12.3% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.5% 27.7% 27.7% 16.0 0.1 0.3
11-3 1.7% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 0.3 1.4
10-4 4.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.5 3.8
9-5 8.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.6 8.3
8-6 14.4% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 13.7
7-7 18.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 17.7
6-8 19.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 18.9
5-9 15.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 15.4
4-10 10.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.2
3-11 4.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-12 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-13 0.3% 0.3
0-14
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 3.5 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%