South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.5 #356
Expected Predictive Rating -14.2 #352
Pace 71.3 #113
Improvement +3.9 #35

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #353 D- C F C- F
Defense #326 D F C F F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #359 0.98 #353 -8.5 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% #3 0.71 #267 +5.0 #11
Three Pointers 35% #300 1.03 #163 -2.6 #273
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #337 -6.0 #337
Freethrows 0.32 #130 64% #363 0.21 #237
Second Chance 30.0% #203 1.00 #204 0.30 #205
Turnovers 21.5% #358
Total Offense -8.8 #353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #32 1.32 #345 -7.3 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #363 0.85 #318 +2.6 #16
Three Pointers 43% #113 0.97 #111 -0.1 #186
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #318 -4.7 #316
Freethrows 0.40 #361 73% #219 0.29 #357
Second Chance 39.6% #363 1.22 #354 0.48 #365
Turnovers 16.5% #205
Total Defense -5.7 #326

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -5.4% #363 3.0% #364
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.7% #298 6.1% #294
Possession Length 18.7 #313 15.6 #6
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #317 0.24 #352
Improvement +1.3 #106 +2.5 #50

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 7.1% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 68.9% 91.1% 65.9%
Conference Champion 7.4% 27.4% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four4.4% 7.1% 4.0%
First Round1.4% 2.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 138 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 17 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0 - 1 -38 -25 F C- F -5 C F+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 226 @Samford L 72 - 82 10% -1  0 - 2 -11 -5 D- C+ F -5 C- F C
 Mon, Nov 10 287 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 16% -14  0 - 3 -27 -21 F D- F -3 C- D+ A-
 Fri, Nov 14 151 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 6% -14  0 - 4 -24 -7 D- D- D- -17 F+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 269 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 30% -8  0 - 5 -21 -13 F A+ C+ -7 C F C
 Sun, Nov 23 286 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 16% -8  0 - 6 -5 +4 D- B+ D -9 F+ F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 53 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0 - 7 -19 -2 F C B- -17 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 124 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  0 - 8 -17 +4 B B- D+ -19 F F B+
 Fri, Dec 5 222 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 10% -12  0 - 9 -21 -9 F D+ F -14 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 252 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 13% -15  0 - 10 -42 -27 F F F -16 D- C D
 Fri, Dec 12 211 @Queens L 78 - 102 9% -19  0 - 11 -24 -1 D- A+ F -22 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 301 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 38% -6  0 - 12 -17 -1 B- C+ D- -16 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 87 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0 - 13 -16 +1 C+ C C -17 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 16 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0 - 14 -30 -7 D- C B+ -23 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 254 Howard W 58 - 57 27% +7  1 - 14 1 - 0 -7 -15 D- B F +8 A+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 354 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 37% +2  1 - 15 1 - 1 -16 -8 D- B- F -8 D C- F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 62% +4  2 - 15 2 - 1 -16 -2 C D+ D- -14 C- F D
 Sat, Jan 17 309 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 40% +0  2 - 16 2 - 2 -19 +3 C- C F+ -21 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 26 353 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 59% +6  3 - 16 3 - 2 -11 -5 B- F C -6 C- D- D-
 Wed, Feb 4 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 54 52% +10  4 - 16 4 - 2 -6 -9 C D+ D- +4 D+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 254 @Howard L 66 - 78 12%
 Sat, Feb 14 354 Morgan St. W 79 - 77 60%
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 79 - 70 80%
 Wed, Feb 18 344 NC Central W 74 - 73 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 309 @Norfolk St. L 68 - 77 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 70 30%
 Mon, Mar 2 353 @Delaware St. L 67 - 71 36%
 Thu, Mar 5 344 @NC Central L 70 - 76 30%
Totals 7 - 21 7 - 7 -14 -9 D- C F -6 D F C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.0 3.4 0.8 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 3.5 7.0 0.9 11.3 2nd
3rd 1.2 11.8 2.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.4 9.5 7.7 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.3 6.4 13.4 1.0 21.2 5th
6th 0.5 6.1 13.4 3.5 0.0 23.6 6th
7th 0.9 2.1 0.8 3.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 1.6 8.5 21.0 27.6 24.2 12.0 4.3 0.8 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
11-3 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
10-4 79.6% 3.4    1.4 1.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 25.2% 3.0    0.1 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.1
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 2.4 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.8% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.2 0.7
10-4 4.3% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.6 3.7
9-5 12.0% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.9 11.1
8-6 24.2% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 1.1 23.0
7-7 27.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 1.0 26.6
6-8 21.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.5 20.6
5-9 8.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.4
4-10 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 16.0 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%