IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.4	#311
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#75
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#319

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.0%	42.4%	14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.1	14.9	15.7

.500 or above	24.8%	79.6%	24.7%
.500 or above in Conference	38.0%	83.0%	37.9%
Conference Champion	4.0%	8.5%	4.0%
Last Place in Conference	9.9%	3.4%	9.9%

First Four	10.2%	8.5%	10.2%
First Round	10.9%	40.6%	10.8%
Second Round	0.1%	1.7%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 7	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	11	@ Louisville	L	61-90	0.2%
Nov 07, 2025	166	@ Samford	L	72-83	16%
Nov 10, 2025	351	@ N.C. A&T	W	74-73	53%
Nov 14, 2025	123	@ College of Charleston	L	69-83	11%
Nov 19, 2025	125	Chattanooga	L	69-77	25%
Nov 23, 2025	294	@ South Dakota	L	81-85	36%
Nov 25, 2025	37	@ Missouri	L	63-88	2%
Nov 29, 2025	161	@ Winthrop	L	73-84	17%
Dec 01, 2025	349	@ Chicago St.	W	73-72	52%
Dec 05, 2025	246	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	69-76	28%
Dec 12, 2025	245	@ Queens	L	72-79	28%
Dec 16, 2025	336	South Carolina Upstate	W	81-76	67%
Dec 22, 2025	70	@ South Carolina	L	59-79	5%
Dec 30, 2025	16	@ Tennessee	L	52-81	1%
Jan 03, 2026	324	Howard	W	77-73	64%
Jan 10, 2026	355	@ Morgan St.	W	77-75	56%
Jan 12, 2026	362	@ Coppin St.	W	72-66	68%
Jan 17, 2026	251	Norfolk St.	L	70-71	49%
Jan 31, 2026	329	NC Central	W	74-70	65%
Feb 07, 2026	324	@ Howard	L	74-76	44%
Feb 14, 2026	355	Morgan St.	W	80-72	74%
Feb 16, 2026	362	Coppin St.	W	75-63	83%
Feb 21, 2026	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	67-74	30%
Mar 05, 2026	329	@ NC Central	L	71-73	45%
Projected Record						9 - 15	6 - 4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.5	1.9	1.6						4.0	1st
2nd							0.0	1.3	5.2	4.1	0.5						11.2	2nd
3rd						0.1	2.2	7.6	5.9	0.9	0.0						16.6	3rd
4th					0.2	2.7	9.2	6.6	0.9	0.0							19.7	4th
5th				0.2	2.7	8.5	6.4	0.9									18.6	5th
6th			0.3	2.6	6.8	4.9	0.6	0.0									15.1	6th
7th	0.0	0.3	2.0	4.3	2.9	0.5											10.0	7th
8th	0.3	1.1	1.9	1.2	0.2	0.0											4.7	8th

Total	0.3	1.4	4.2	8.3	12.8	16.7	18.3	16.4	12.5	7.0	2.1							Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4	75.5%	1.6		0.9	0.6	0.1
9-5	27.6%	1.9		0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1
8-6	3.8%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0
7-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0

Total	4.0%	4.0		1.5	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4	2.1%		53.8%	53.8%		16.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.0
9-5	7.0%		40.6%	40.6%		17.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.9	4.1
8-6	12.5%		27.5%	27.5%		17.8														0.0	0.2	0.7	3.0	9.1
7-7	16.4%		18.0%	18.0%		17.3														0.0	0.0	0.3	2.9	13.5
6-8	18.3%		12.3%	12.3%		16.7																0.1	2.3	16.1
5-9	16.7%		8.1%	8.1%		16.4															0.0	0.0	1.4	15.3
4-10	12.8%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																	0.7	12.1
3-11	8.3%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.2	8.1
2-12	4.2%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.1	4.1
1-13	1.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
0-14	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		15.0%	15.0%	0.0%	17.1												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.5	12.8	85.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%