South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -16.3 359
Results Rating -16.0 355
Consistency 0.13 55
Pace 70.7 117
Improvement +0.5 170

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 357 D- C- F C F
Defense D- 342 F+ F C F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 333 F+ 48% 359 -6.9 357
2 Pt. Jumpers 64% 8 D+ 35% 262 +4.0 31
Three Pointers 34% 308 C 33% 211 -3.6 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.1 357 D -4.4 323
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 346
Second Chance C- 29.2% 211 D+ 0.97 281 C- 0.28 245
Opponents' Steals D- 11.6% 337
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 354
Turnovers F 21.1% 357
Freethrows B- 0.33 112 D- 67% 335 C 0.22 190
Total Offense F+ -9.8 357

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 178 F+ 15.5% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 36% 46 C+ 4.3% 139
Three Pointers C+ 85% 163 C 1.0% 228
Total C 55% 183 D 6.8% 308


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 12 D- 65% 343 +7.9 360
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% 364 F 46% 354 -2.8 9
Three Pointers 43% 121 C 34% 207 +1.2 250
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.7 365 D- +4.3 334
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 349
Second Chance F 37.7% 361 F+ 1.18 354 F 0.45 363
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.1% 201
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 111
Turnovers C 16.9% 169
Freethrows F 0.40 357 C 73% 211 F 0.29 358
Total Defense D- -6.5 342

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 259 C 10.6% 185
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 35% 319 D+ 3.2% 276
Three Pointers D- 91% 347 D+ 0.3% 302
Total D 62% 311 C 5.4% 184

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 323 15.6 1
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 294 0.26 363
Consistency 0.13 249 0.12 122
Improvement -0.7 224 +1.2 128

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 359 358 356
Results Rating Rank 357 356 350
Conference Record 6 - 8 6 - 8 7 - 7
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 28% 100% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: NC Central (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 47 - 137 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 14 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0% 0 - 1 F -37 F -27 F C- F C- -2 C F A
 Fri, Nov 7 191 @Samford L 72 - 82 6% -1  41% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -6 D- B- F C- -2 C F C
 Mon, Nov 10 281 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 12% -14  9% 0 - 3 F -27 F -25 F F F C+ +1 C D A
 Fri, Nov 14 143 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 4% -14  12% 0 - 4 F -23 F+ -9 D- D- F+ F -15 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 286 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 28% -8  2% 0 - 5 F -22 F -18 F A+ C- D+ -4 C+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 284 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 12% -8  1% 0 - 6 C- -5 C+ +3 D A D D- -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 46 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0% 0 - 7 F+ -17 D+ -4 F C+ C+ F -13 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 145 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  7% 0 - 8 F -18 C +1 B B- D F -18 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 5 236 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 9% -12  5% 0 - 9 F -22 F -11 F D+ F F -12 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 251 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 10% -15  20% 0 - 10 F -42 F -31 F F F F -12 D C+ D
 Fri, Dec 12 202 @Queens L 78 - 102 7% -19  0% 0 - 11 F -23 D+ -4 D- A F F -19 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 302 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 32% -6  4% 0 - 12 F+ -17 D+ -3 B C D F -14 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 97 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0% 0 - 13 F+ -16 C- -1 C+ C- C F -15 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 13 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0% 0 - 14 F -29 F+ -9 D- C+ A- F -21 F F D
 Sat, Jan 3 182 Howard W 58 - 57 14% +7  98% 1 - 14 1 - 0 C- -4 F -16 D B+ F A+ +12 A+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 348 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 29% +2  72% 1 - 15 1 - 1 F+ -15 F -11 D B F D+ -4 D D+ F
 Mon, Jan 12 363 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 47% +4  89% 2 - 15 2 - 1 D- -13 C- -1 B- D+ F+ F -12 C- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 312 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 34% +0  52% 2 - 16 2 - 2 F -19 C- -1 C- C F F -18 F F B
 Mon, Jan 26 361 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 68% +6  97% 3 - 16 3 - 2 F+ -15 F+ -10 B- F C+ D -5 C- D- F+
 Wed, Feb 4 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 54 51% +10  86% 4 - 16 4 - 2 D+ -7 F -12 C D D B+ +6 D F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 182 @Howard L 57 - 85 6% -15  0% 4 - 17 4 - 3 F -27 F -18 F F F+ D- -7 F D- C+
 Mon, Feb 16 363 Coppin St. L 57 - 59 69% +1  55% 4 - 18 4 - 4 F -23 F -24 F F C C+ +1 F C+ A+
 Wed, Feb 18 347 NC Central W 85 - 72 49% +5  93% 5 - 18 5 - 4 C- -3 B- +5 A- F A D- -7 F D+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 312 @Norfolk St. L 71 - 90 17% -10  0% 5 - 19 5 - 5 F -25 D- -8 F A+ F F -17 F D- C
 Wed, Feb 25 348 Morgan St. L 83 - 90 51% -5  2% 5 - 20 5 - 6 F -23 D -5 C- F+ B F -18 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 28 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 57 - 69 29% -1  43% 5 - 21 5 - 7 F -22 F -17 F B- F D -6 F A+ C-
 Mon, Mar 2 361 @Delaware St. W 61 - 59 46% -1  37% 6 - 21 6 - 7 D- -13 F+ -8 F F D+ D+ -5 C- F D+
 Thu, Mar 5 347 @NC Central L 71 - 77 28%
Totals 6 - 22 6 - 8 -16 F+ -10 C- D F D- -7 C D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F+ D+ C D 32% 64% 34% F D- C- D+ C- F B- D- C D- D- F C D- 46% 11% 43% F F+ F F+ F C F C F
0.95 48% 35% 33% -4 -2 0.89 29% 1.0 .28 21% .33 67% .22 1.18 65% 46% 34% +4 +2 1.15 38% 1.2 .45 17% .40 73% .24
Nov
3		 Louisville F F F F F 24% 41% 35% F F C+ F+ C- F A+ A- A+ C- F A+ D+ C 44% 6% 50% D+ C C- F F A F C- F
0.55 42% 15% 12% -25 -4 0.45 26% 0.8 .21 31% .39 77% .30 1.28 75% 0% 37% +8 +2 1.22 36% 1.3 .45 21% .51 79% .40
Nov
7		 Samford D- F A D D+ 21% 42% 37% F D- F+ A+ B- F C+ A B+ C- A- A+ D B 48% 4% 48% F C D+ F F C F B F
1.00 36% 50% 32% -1 -4 0.92 19% 1.8 .34 18% .30 83% .25 1.14 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 26% 1.4 .38 14% .60 65% .39
Nov
10		 N.C. A&T F F F A+ F+ 29% 42% 29% F F C F F F A+ F B C+ D+ A+ A+ B 60% 10% 29% F C F+ B- D A F C+ F
0.77 43% 30% 43% -4 -3 0.88 29% 0.6 .17 30% .49 50% .25 1.05 62% 20% 21% -5 +3 0.98 37% 1.0 .37 23% .53 73% .39
Nov
14		 College of Charleston F+ B- F A+ C- 17% 52% 31% F D- B+ F D- F+ A+ F A- F F B+ A+ F+ 48% 14% 38% F F F C+ F F F A- F
0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22 1.31 92% 29% 16% +4 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35
Nov
19		 Chattanooga F A+ F F F 16% 37% 47% F F C- A+ A+ C- A+ F A+ D+ F B+ A- C+ 30% 21% 49% C+ C+ F F F B- F B F
0.91 75% 5% 25% -16 -4 0.63 30% 2.0 .60 14% .54 62% .34 1.08 69% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.98 31% 1.5 .46 17% .58 71% .41
Nov
23		 South Dakota C+ F+ D+ B+ D- 59% 16% 25% B- D A C+ A D B A+ A D- D D- D+ F 55% 15% 30% F F F A+ F A+ F A+ F
1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28 1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34
Nov
25		 Missouri D+ B D- F F 27% 33% 40% D- F C- B+ C+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F D- C A+ A+ 39% 22% 39% B+ A+ F F F F F F F
0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34 1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38
Nov
29		 Winthrop C D C+ A+ B+ 39% 30% 31% D- B C A B- D F F F F F F D F 45% 7% 48% D- F F F F A- A+ F B+
1.08 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.11 29% 1.3 .37 19% .20 67% .13 1.38 72% 50% 37% +9 +2 1.25 48% 1.7 .84 19% .25 87% .22
Dec
5		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F+ F 30% 24% 46% F F A F D+ F B+ D+ B- F F A+ F F 47% 17% 36% D- F B- A+ A+ F A+ F B-
0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25 1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19
Dec
8		 Charleston Southern F F F C F 28% 52% 20% F F C- F F F A F F F B+ A+ F D- 34% 9% 57% C D F+ A C+ D F F F
0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17 1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42
Dec
12		 Queens D+ F A A+ F+ 50% 23% 27% C D- A B A F D F+ D- F F F C+ D- 35% 8% 58% D D- F D F F F C F
1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21 1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34
Dec
16		 South Carolina Upstate D+ A A+ B A+ 20% 47% 33% F B F A+ C D D- C- D- F C- F D- F 42% 22% 36% C F D- F F D+ F A- F
1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16 1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28
Dec
22		 South Carolina C- F A+ A+ B+ 26% 46% 28% F C+ C+ D C- C C F D F F F B F 36% 20% 44% C+ F F D F A+ F F+ F
1.00 14% 56% 47% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 16% .27 56% .15 1.35 88% 67% 30% +14 0 1.29 48% 1.2 .57 21% .65 86% .56
Dec
30		 Tennessee F+ F D D D 27% 39% 35% F D- F+ A+ C+ A- B+ F D+ F F F B+ F 48% 10% 42% F F F C- F D F A+ F
0.78 38% 32% 29% -10 -3 0.76 16% 1.5 .24 14% .34 50% .17 1.52 91% 80% 30% +18 +2 1.42 67% 1.1 .73 14% .56 58% .32
Jan
3		 Howard F D+ B F+ C 30% 41% 30% F D C A B+ F A C A- A+ A B A+ A+ 50% 7% 43% F A+ A+ F D- D+ F A+ F
0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29 0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37
Jan
10		 Morgan St. F A- B- F D+ 40% 28% 33% F D C+ B+ B F D+ F F D+ F B- A+ D+ 48% 20% 33% F D D+ D+ D+ F F A+ D
1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18 1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29
Jan
12		 Coppin St. C- A- B+ A+ A 17% 44% 39% F B- F+ B+ D+ F+ A+ F A+ F A+ F+ D C- 26% 16% 58% D+ C- F F F C- F F+ F
1.13 71% 44% 50% +14 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40 1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51
Jan
17		 Norfolk St. C- B D- B- C 31% 18% 51% D- C- A- F C F C+ A+ A- F D- B- D+ F+ 62% 8% 30% F F F F F B F F F
1.14 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.08 42% 0.8 .33 21% .39 82% .32 1.24 61% 33% 36% +2 +3 1.14 38% 1.8 .67 21% .83 79% .65
Jan
26		 Delaware St. F+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 14% 40% C+ B- F F F C+ A+ F A D C+ F A+ B- 52% 13% 35% F C- D- F+ D- F+ F F F
1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32 0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36
Feb
4		 Maryland Eastern Shore F A+ A D+ B+ 21% 38% 41% F C D- C+ D D A+ D A+ B+ B- B C- C- 49% 9% 43% F D F F F A+ F+ A+ D+
0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36 0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Howard F F F F+ F 37% 21% 42% D- F D- F F F+ C F F+ D- C+ F F F 66% 7% 27% F F C+ F D- C+ F D F
0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17 1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47
Feb
16		 Coppin St. F F A+ F F 53% 14% 33% B+ F F F F C F F+ F C+ D- B+ D- F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F C+ A+ C- B+ C+
0.85 50% 57% 19% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.7 .16 16% .23 69% .16 0.88 61% 29% 36% +1 +2 1.07 13% 2.0 .26 28% .33 63% .21
Feb
18		 NC Central B- A+ C- A+ A 34% 26% 40% D- A- F F F A C A+ B+ D- C- F F+ F 39% 22% 39% C- F D C D+ C F A+ D
1.27 76% 38% 50% +16 -1 1.32 25% 0.7 .17 13% .29 88% .26 1.08 56% 50% 39% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.0 .31 18% .44 58% .26
Feb
21		 Norfolk St. D- F A+ B- F 51% 13% 36% B- F A A A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F C F F 49% 16% 35% F F C+ F D- C D+ F F+
0.99 30% 80% 36% -8 +2 0.90 42% 1.2 .52 32% .60 83% .50 1.26 67% 38% 59% +17 +1 1.39 28% 1.3 .36 18% .36 76% .27
Feb
25		 Morgan St. D A A- F C+ 43% 29% 27% F C- B F F+ B B F C- F B+ F F F 57% 2% 40% F F F F F A- F F F
1.14 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 41% 0.8 .31 12% .45 62% .28 1.23 46% 100% 59% +10 +4 1.29 37% 1.4 .53 22% .60 82% .49
Feb
28		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F F F F 45% 15% 40% B- F B C- B- F A+ B- A+ D D- F C+ F 62% 9% 29% F F F A+ A+ C- F A+ F
0.86 44% 17% 25% -15 +1 0.75 38% 1.1 .41 29% .63 77% .49 1.04 64% 50% 31% +4 +3 1.16 43% 0.3 .11 23% .47 63% .29
Mar
2		 Delaware St. F+ C- F D- F 49% 24% 27% D+ F F+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D C A+ C+ 41% 27% 32% F C- F D F D+ F F F
1.00 61% 0% 30% -9 0 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 20% .59 86% .51 0.97 59% 36% 15% -9 -1 0.83 34% 0.8 .28 18% .48 83% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 72.2 27.8 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 72.2 27.8 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 27.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 27.4
6-8 72.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.5 71.7
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 99.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.8%
Lose Out 54.8%