Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26



View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Auburn At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Florida Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Duke Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Houston Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Alabama At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Michigan St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  St. John's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Texas Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Kentucky At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Michigan Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Iowa St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Arizona At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Maryland At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Texas A&M At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Missouri At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  BYU At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Mississippi At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Illinois At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Louisville At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Clemson At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
6  Oregon At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  UCLA At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  St. Mary's At-Large 99.1% 99.1% 99.1%
7  Marquette At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
8  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
8  Creighton At-Large 97.8% 97.8% 97.8%
8  Connecticut At-Large 99.3% 99.3% 99.3%
8  Mississippi St. At-Large 98.8% 98.8% 98.8%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Memphis Auto 100.0% 100.0%
9  New Mexico At-Large 88.9% 88.9% 88.9%
9  West Virginia At-Large 90.4% 90.4% 90.4%
9  Georgia At-Large 91.4% 91.4% 91.4%
10  Arkansas At-Large 84.3% 84.3% 84.3%
10  Baylor At-Large 92.5% 92.5% 92.5%
10  Oklahoma At-Large 92.6% 92.6% 92.6%
10  Vanderbilt At-Large 78.5% 78.5% 78.5%
11  Colorado St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  Utah St. At-Large 67.2% 67.2% 67.2%
11  Texas At-Large 67.5% 67.5% 67.5%
11  Indiana At-Large 54.8% 54.8% 54.8%
11  San Diego St. At-Large 52.1% 52.1% 52.1%
11  Virginia Commonwealth Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  UC San Diego Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Drake Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Liberty Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  McNeese St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Yale Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  High Point Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Grand Canyon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Akron Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Lipscomb Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Troy Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  UNC Wilmington Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Robert Morris Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Montana Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Wofford Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Nebraska Omaha Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Bryant Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Norfolk St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  American Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Mount St. Mary's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  SIU Edwardsville Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Alabama St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  St. Francis (PA) Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Arkansas 84.3% 84.3% 84.3%
Vanderbilt 78.5% 78.5% 78.5%
Texas 67.5% 67.5% 67.5%
Utah St. 67.2% 67.2% 67.2%
Indiana 54.8% 54.8% 54.8%
San Diego St. 52.1% 52.1% 52.1%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Xavier 48.0% 48.0% 48.0%
Ohio St. 45.1% 45.1% 45.1%
North Carolina 44.2% 44.2% 44.2%
Boise St. 41.5% 41.5% 41.5%
Wake Forest 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
SMU 13.8% 13.8% 13.8%
Villanova 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%
Nebraska 9.4% 9.4% 9.4%
Cincinnati 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
Santa Clara 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
San Francisco 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Dayton 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
UC Irvine 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Northwestern 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
George Mason 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Stanford 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
TCU 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
North Texas 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Kansas St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pittsburgh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%