Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.0#360
Expected Predictive Rating-21.5#364
Pace73.7#77
Improvement-2.3#323

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#344
First Shot-4.6#302
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#323
Layup/Dunks-3.5#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#351
Freethrows+2.6#50
Improvement-1.8#316

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#359
First Shot-4.6#321
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#344
Layups/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#279
Freethrows-3.0#333
Improvement-0.5#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 32.4% 37.0% 27.3%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 24.3% 20.7% 28.4%
First Four3.3% 4.0% 2.5%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 157 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 91 @Georgetown L 70-87 2%     0 - 1 -8.2 -4.4 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 11 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 28%     0 - 2 -11.0 -2.2 -8.8
  Sat, Nov 15 326 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 21%     0 - 3 -20.5 -0.6 -20.4
  Tue, Nov 18 313 N.C. A&T L 73-79 37%     0 - 4 -17.5 -3.1 -14.4
  Fri, Nov 21 222 @Old Dominion L 56-88 10%     0 - 5 -32.6 -15.2 -19.0
  Tue, Nov 25 270 Drexel L 66-71 27%     0 - 6 -13.7 -5.5 -8.6
  Sat, Dec 6 291 Longwood L 80-84 32%     0 - 7 -14.2 -3.2 -10.7
  Tue, Dec 9 128 @DePaul L 49-92 4%     0 - 8 -37.6 -18.5 -20.5
  Sat, Dec 13 350 Niagara W 71-70 52%    
  Fri, Dec 19 72 @California L 64-90 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 94 @San Francisco L 63-86 1%    
  Tue, Dec 23 135 @Loyola Marymount L 63-83 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 358 South Carolina St. W 77-75 58%    
  Mon, Jan 12 348 NC Central W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 @Delaware St. L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 310 @Howard L 72-82 19%    
  Mon, Jan 26 233 @Norfolk St. L 64-78 10%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 346 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 358 @South Carolina St. L 74-78 38%    
  Mon, Feb 16 348 @NC Central L 70-76 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 351 Delaware St. W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 310 Howard L 75-79 37%    
  Mon, Mar 2 233 Norfolk St. L 67-75 24%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 78-72 70%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 5.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.3 4.1 6.8 2.4 0.2 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.1 8.6 2.6 0.1 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.6 9.0 3.4 0.2 17.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 5.1 8.2 3.2 0.2 17.9 7th
8th 0.5 2.4 4.9 4.9 2.0 0.1 14.7 8th
Total 0.5 2.4 6.0 10.4 15.1 16.7 16.6 13.0 9.6 5.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 90.2% 0.3    0.3 0.1
11-3 60.7% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
10-4 34.7% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-5 8.3% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 46.2% 46.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.3% 28.4% 28.4% 16.0 0.1 0.2
11-3 1.1% 20.1% 20.1% 16.0 0.2 0.9
10-4 2.7% 14.0% 14.0% 16.0 0.4 2.4
9-5 5.5% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.5 5.0
8-6 9.6% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.5 9.1
7-7 13.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.5
6-8 16.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 16.2
5-9 16.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 16.4
4-10 15.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.9
3-11 10.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.4
2-12 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0
1-13 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 3.3 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%