NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#344
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#260
Pace67.2#259
Improvement-0.3#236

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#328
First Shot-0.9#207
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#350
Layup/Dunks-2.9#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#228
Freethrows+3.1#49
Improvement-0.3#241

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#348
First Shot-2.0#247
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#330
Layups/Dunks+3.4#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#338
Freethrows-2.0#287
Improvement+0.0#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 19.5% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.3% 36.3% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 77.7% 60.4%
Conference Champion 13.6% 22.7% 13.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 4.0% 9.1%
First Four10.0% 15.1% 9.8%
First Round5.2% 11.6% 5.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 99 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 23 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -31.1 -3.4 -25.9
  Fri, Nov 7 34 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -3.0 +2.4 -7.6
  Sun, Nov 9 211 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 15%     0 - 3 -21.8 -12.6 -11.2
  Fri, Nov 14 25 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -26.3 -11.2 -15.0
  Sat, Nov 22 86 @Dayton L 60-80 3%    
  Tue, Nov 25 309 @South Carolina Upstate L 69-75 29%    
  Wed, Dec 3 179 @James Madison L 67-79 13%    
  Sat, Dec 6 312 N.C. A&T W 73-72 51%    
  Tue, Dec 9 13 @Kentucky L 60-91 0.2%   
  Sat, Dec 20 228 Longwood L 72-76 36%    
  Mon, Dec 29 87 @Penn St. L 61-81 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 253 Norfolk St. L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-68 65%    
  Mon, Jan 12 357 @Morgan St. L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 317 Howard W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 352 Delaware St. W 72-68 65%    
  Mon, Jan 26 347 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-63 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 348 @South Carolina St. L 70-73 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 253 @Norfolk St. L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-65 81%    
  Mon, Feb 16 357 Morgan St. W 78-73 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 317 @Howard L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 352 @Delaware St. L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Mar 2 347 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-66 41%    
  Thu, Mar 5 348 South Carolina St. W 73-70 61%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.8 3.8 4.0 2.7 1.0 0.2 13.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.7 7.0 4.7 1.4 0.2 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 5.1 7.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 17.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 4.5 7.6 2.7 0.2 15.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.5 6.5 2.0 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.1 2.0 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.8 1.5 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.0 4.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.4 7.7 10.5 13.6 15.3 14.5 12.5 9.0 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
12-2 93.5% 2.7    2.3 0.4
11-3 73.1% 4.0    2.6 1.3 0.1
10-4 41.7% 3.8    1.6 1.8 0.4 0.0
9-5 14.2% 1.8    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
8-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 7.9 4.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
13-1 1.0% 44.8% 44.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6
12-2 2.9% 41.5% 41.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7
11-3 5.4% 30.3% 30.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6 3.8
10-4 9.0% 23.9% 23.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1 6.9
9-5 12.5% 16.2% 16.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0 10.5
8-6 14.5% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4 13.1
7-7 15.3% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.9 14.4
6-8 13.6% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 13.1
5-9 10.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 10.2
4-10 7.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.6
3-11 4.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-12 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.7 89.1 0.0%