NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.7 #341
Expected Predictive Rating -12.5 #340
Pace 67.2 #225
Improvement +2.2 #85

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #322 D- D+ D+ B C
Defense #341 D- C- C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #82 1.07 #275 +0.3 #166
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #99 0.60 #351 -0.4 #199
Three Pointers 33% #326 0.90 #319 -5.8 #337
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #337 -6.0 #338
Freethrows 0.33 #103 76% #54 0.25 #67
Second Chance 28.2% #249 0.98 #254 0.28 #266
Turnovers 17.8% #272
Total Offense -5.7 #322

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #304 1.34 #352 -0.6 #197
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #290 0.82 #281 +0.9 #125
Three Pointers 49% #15 1.09 #283 -5.9 #354
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #334 -5.6 #335
Freethrows 0.32 #246 71% #90 0.23 #223
Second Chance 36.3% #346 0.96 #71 0.35 #261
Turnovers 16.6% #169
Total Defense -6.0 #341

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #226 0.3% #195
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.3% #339 10.6% #342
Possession Length 17.5 #186 17.3 #175
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #120 0.26 #361
Improvement +3.6 #26 -1.4 #258

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 13.8% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 1.9% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.3% 93.4% 77.2%
Conference Champion 24.4% 36.2% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.1%
First Four11.4% 13.7% 8.5%
First Round4.6% 5.8% 3.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 99 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 24 @North Carolina St. L 65 - 114 1% -28  0 - 1 -30 -2 C C- D- -26 F F C
 Fri, Nov 7 22 @Virginia L 62 - 81 1% -19  0 - 2 +1 +4 D C C+ -6 C D A-
 Sun, Nov 9 197 @Appalachian St. L 54 - 76 13% -16  0 - 3 -21 -12 F F+ D -11 B F D-
 Fri, Nov 14 28 @North Carolina L 53 - 97 1% -20  0 - 4 -26 -13 F D B- -13 C- F C+
 Sat, Nov 22 84 @Dayton L 55 - 74 3% -19  0 - 5 -9 -7 F A+ F -3 C+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 25 301 @South Carolina Upstate L 67 - 82 26% -10  0 - 6 -20 -4 F C+ B- -16 F C- A
 Wed, Dec 3 194 @James Madison L 62 - 67 12% -4  0 - 7 -4 -6 F C+ F +2 A- B- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 288 N.C. A&T L 54 - 69 44% +1  0 - 8 -25 -26 F F D +1 B- C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 27 @Kentucky L 67 - 103 1% -19  0 - 9 -18 +2 C C- C -19 F C D+
 Sat, Dec 20 261 Longwood L 72 - 74 38% -2  0 - 10 -11 -5 F D C+ -5 D+ F+ A
 Mon, Dec 29 116 @Penn St. L 67 - 90 6% -8  0 - 11 -17 -4 C+ A+ F -14 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 296 Norfolk St. W 69 - 67 46% +3  1 - 11 1 - 0 -9 -4 D F D -4 C B C
 Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 88 - 77 69% -3  2 - 11 2 - 0 -6 +14 D- A+ B- -19 F B+ D-
 Mon, Jan 12 355 @Morgan St. W 89 - 78 48% +4  3 - 11 3 - 0 -0 +12 A+ F B- -12 F B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 274 Howard L 69 - 83 41% -5  3 - 12 3 - 1 -23 -3 C+ F D -20 F+ F C
 Mon, Feb 2 331 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68 - 66 56%
 Sat, Feb 7 296 @Norfolk St. L 68 - 75 26%
 Mon, Feb 9 356 Delaware St. W 71 - 65 70%
 Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 80 - 69 85%
 Mon, Feb 16 355 Morgan St. W 79 - 74 68%
 Wed, Feb 18 360 @South Carolina St. W 74 - 73 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 274 @Howard L 67 - 75 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 356 @Delaware St. L 68 - 69 48%
 Mon, Mar 2 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 65 - 69 35%
 Thu, Mar 5 360 South Carolina St. W 77 - 71 72%
Totals 8 - 17 8 - 6 -12 -6 D- D+ D+ -6 D- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 4.2 10.3 7.5 2.0 0.2 24.4 1st
2nd 0.1 2.7 11.2 4.6 0.5 19.1 2nd
3rd 2.0 10.7 6.4 0.2 19.3 3rd
4th 0.7 7.2 7.4 0.2 15.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.2 6.7 0.9 12.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 4.2 1.2 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.7 3.7 9.2 17.1 21.9 22.1 15.0 8.0 2.0 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
12-2 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
11-3 93.9% 7.5    5.9 1.6 0.0
10-4 68.4% 10.3    3.3 5.4 1.4 0.2
9-5 18.9% 4.2    0.3 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1
8-6 0.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 24.4% 24.4 11.8 8.4 3.0 1.1 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.2% 30.6% 30.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 2.0% 35.3% 35.3% 16.0 0.7 1.3
11-3 8.0% 21.9% 21.9% 16.0 1.8 6.2
10-4 15.0% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 2.7 12.3
9-5 22.1% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 2.9 19.2
8-6 21.9% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.6 20.3
7-7 17.1% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 1.0 16.0
6-8 9.2% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.5 8.7
5-9 3.7% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.2 3.5
4-10 0.7% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 16.0 88.5 0.0%