NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#350
Expected Predictive Rating-18.4#357
Pace67.2#244
Improvement+0.8#128

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#353
First Shot-7.2#356
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#260
Layup/Dunks-1.5#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#343
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement-0.3#202

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#310
First Shot-2.2#248
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#325
Layups/Dunks+2.0#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#338
Freethrows-0.7#238
Improvement+1.1#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 9.0% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 2.1% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 56.6% 74.2% 47.1%
Conference Champion 6.1% 13.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.8% 10.2%
First Four6.5% 9.0% 5.1%
First Round2.4% 3.7% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 35.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 27 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     -28.4   0 - 1 -31.2 -3.1 -26.2
  Fri, Nov 7 25 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     -19.4   0 - 2 -0.9 +2.5 -5.6
  Sun, Nov 9 237 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 14%     -16.5   0 - 3 -23.1 -12.3 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 14 22 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     -19.6   0 - 4 -25.1 -10.2 -14.9
  Sat, Nov 22 66 @Dayton L 55-74 2%     -19.2   0 - 5 -7.8 -7.7 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 25 265 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 18%     -9.6   0 - 6 -17.8 -4.6 -13.5
  Wed, Dec 3 203 @James Madison L 62-67 12%     -3.9   0 - 7 -4.8 -7.5 +2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 302 N.C. A&T L 54-69 44%     0.6   0 - 8 -26.0 -24.7 -0.9
  Tue, Dec 9 20 @Kentucky L 67-103 1%     -19.0   0 - 9 -16.9 +2.0 -18.0
  Sat, Dec 20 298 Longwood L 72-74 42%     -2.2   0 - 10 -12.6 -7.1 -5.5
  Mon, Dec 29 124 @Penn St. L 67-90 6%     -7.8   0 - 11 -17.6 -3.6 -14.6
  Sat, Jan 3 260 Norfolk St. L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 73-68 68%    
  Mon, Jan 12 361 @Morgan St. L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 262 Howard L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 345 Delaware St. W 68-65 60%    
  Mon, Jan 26 344 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-64 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 359 @South Carolina St. L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 260 @Norfolk St. L 62-72 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 76-65 84%    
  Mon, Feb 16 361 Morgan St. W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 262 @Howard L 64-74 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 345 @Delaware St. L 65-68 38%    
  Mon, Mar 2 344 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-67 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 359 South Carolina St. W 74-69 69%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.4 4.2 0.9 0.1 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.3 8.8 6.0 1.2 0.0 19.6 3rd
4th 0.3 4.1 9.5 5.1 0.6 19.5 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 8.8 4.3 0.4 17.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.5 3.7 0.3 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.2 1.8 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.5 0.5 3.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.6 4.2 8.1 11.9 17.1 17.4 15.8 11.5 7.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
12-2 93.5% 1.2    0.9 0.2
11-3 68.7% 2.1    1.2 0.8 0.1
10-4 26.7% 2.0    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.0
9-5 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 2.9 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 41.6% 41.6% 16.0 0.1 0.2
12-2 1.2% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 0.3 0.9
11-3 3.0% 24.3% 24.3% 16.0 0.7 2.3
10-4 7.4% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 1.2 6.2
9-5 11.5% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 1.1 10.3
8-6 15.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.1 14.8
7-7 17.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.8 16.6
6-8 17.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.6 16.4
5-9 11.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.6
4-10 8.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
3-11 4.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-12 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 16.0 6.5 93.5 0.0%