NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.2 #347
Expected Predictive Rating -15.5 #348
Pace 67.2 #239
Improvement +2.5 #64

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #349 F C+ C- D- C
Defense #302 D D- D C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #76 1.07 #278 +0.4 #160
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #114 0.49 #361 -1.8 #262
Three Pointers 34% #321 0.81 #347 -7.2 #347
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #355 -8.6 #356
Freethrows 17.0 #209 77% #54 13.1 #149
Second Chance 30.0% #213 0.99 #251 0.30 #230
Turnovers 19.0% #311
Total Offense -8.1 #349

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #299 1.31 #331 +0.2 #178
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #307 0.81 #262 +1.2 #103
Three Pointers 50% #18 1.05 #235 -5.6 #343
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #305 -4.3 #304
Freethrows 21.0 #325 71% #107 14.8 #317
Second Chance 37.5% #352 0.99 #122 0.37 #296
Turnovers 17.9% #106
Total Defense -4.0 #302

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.2% #205 0.5% #205
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -16.7% #360 7.9% #310
Possession Length 17.6 #203 17.2 #182
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #115 0.29 #363
Improvement +0.6 #140 +1.8 #73

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 10.2% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.6% 2.3% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 73.7% 82.0% 56.0%
Conference Champion 15.6% 19.4% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.9% 10.7%
First Four9.0% 10.1% 6.7%
First Round3.5% 3.9% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 109 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 32 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     -28.4   0 - 1 -31.9 -2.1 -27.9
  Fri, Nov 7 25 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     -19.4   0 - 2 -0.7 +3.8 -6.7
  Sun, Nov 9 222 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 14%     -16.5   0 - 3 -22.5 -12.9 -11.6
  Fri, Nov 14 26 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     -19.6   0 - 4 -25.9 -11.2 -14.7
  Sat, Nov 22 76 @Dayton L 55-74 3%     -19.2   0 - 5 -8.6 -7.3 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 25 286 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 22%     -9.6   0 - 6 -19.1 -5.5 -13.8
  Wed, Dec 3 192 @James Madison L 62-67 12%     -3.9   0 - 7 -4.2 -6.7 +2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 308 N.C. A&T L 54-69 47%     0.6   0 - 8 -26.3 -26.6 +0.7
  Tue, Dec 9 22 @Kentucky L 67-103 1%     -19.0   0 - 9 -17.3 +1.9 -18.3
  Sat, Dec 20 274 Longwood L 72-74 39%     -2.2   0 - 10 -11.4 -6.6 -4.8
  Mon, Dec 29 117 @Penn St. L 67-90 5%     -7.8   0 - 11 -16.8 -2.4 -15.0
  Sat, Jan 3 275 Norfolk St. W 69-67 39%     3.4   1 - 11 1 - 0 -7.4 -3.2 -4.1
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-67 68%    
  Mon, Jan 12 361 @Morgan St. W 73-72 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 277 Howard L 67-70 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 351 Delaware St. W 67-63 64%    
  Mon, Jan 26 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-63 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 359 @South Carolina St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 275 @Norfolk St. L 63-72 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-64 84%    
  Mon, Feb 16 361 Morgan St. W 76-69 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 277 @Howard L 64-73 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 351 @Delaware St. L 64-66 42%    
  Mon, Mar 2 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-66 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 359 South Carolina St. W 73-67 70%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.8 5.2 5.3 2.5 0.6 0.1 15.6 1st
2nd 0.1 3.2 8.4 6.0 1.3 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.3 10.1 5.6 0.7 0.0 19.9 3rd
4th 0.0 2.5 9.3 4.7 0.4 17.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 7.0 4.4 0.3 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.4 3.2 0.2 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.9 0.1 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.1 2.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.8 7.9 13.0 17.4 18.4 16.3 11.9 6.5 2.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
12-2 97.8% 2.5    2.1 0.3
11-3 80.5% 5.3    3.2 1.9 0.2 0.0
10-4 43.8% 5.2    1.7 2.6 0.9 0.1
9-5 11.1% 1.8    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.6% 15.6 7.9 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.6% 35.6% 35.6% 16.0 0.2 0.4
12-2 2.5% 27.4% 27.4% 16.0 0.7 1.8
11-3 6.5% 22.7% 22.7% 16.0 1.5 5.0
10-4 11.9% 16.9% 16.9% 16.0 2.0 9.9
9-5 16.3% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 1.8 14.5
8-6 18.4% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.2 17.2
7-7 17.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.8 16.6
6-8 13.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 12.5
5-9 7.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.7
4-10 3.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 3.7
3-11 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-12 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1 90.9 0.0%