NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#350
Expected Predictive Rating-15.0#347
Pace67.2#242
Improvement+1.0#112

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#355
First Shot-6.8#349
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#265
Layup/Dunks-3.0#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#317
Freethrows+2.3#64
Improvement-1.2#277

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#306
First Shot-1.1#217
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#336
Layups/Dunks+2.6#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#308
Freethrows-1.5#281
Improvement+2.2#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.2% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 5.4% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.5% 61.3% 50.4%
Conference Champion 6.3% 8.0% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 7.4% 12.1%
First Four6.3% 8.1% 4.8%
First Round2.5% 3.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 46.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 48 - 108 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 29 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -31.9 -3.7 -26.3
  Fri, Nov 7 24 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -1.1 +2.8 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 9 230 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 15%     0 - 3 -22.9 -12.9 -12.1
  Fri, Nov 14 23 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -25.6 -10.9 -14.7
  Sat, Nov 22 62 @Dayton L 55-74 2%     0 - 5 -7.0 -7.8 -0.4
  Tue, Nov 25 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 18%     0 - 6 -17.5 -4.7 -13.0
  Wed, Dec 3 183 @James Madison L 62-67 11%     0 - 7 -3.5 -6.5 +2.5
  Sat, Dec 6 302 N.C. A&T L 54-69 44%     0 - 8 -25.7 -24.5 -0.8
  Tue, Dec 9 22 @Kentucky L 67-103 1%     0 - 9 -17.5 +1.9 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 20 308 Longwood L 72-73 47%    
  Mon, Dec 29 104 @Penn St. L 65-84 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 233 Norfolk St. L 63-68 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-69 62%    
  Mon, Jan 12 358 @Morgan St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 281 Howard L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 349 Delaware St. W 69-66 60%    
  Mon, Jan 26 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-63 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 360 @South Carolina St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 233 @Norfolk St. L 60-71 16%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-66 80%    
  Mon, Feb 16 358 Morgan St. W 76-71 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 281 @Howard L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 349 @Delaware St. L 66-69 39%    
  Mon, Mar 2 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-66 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 360 South Carolina St. W 74-68 69%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 6.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 5.3 4.3 1.2 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.8 8.3 5.1 0.9 0.0 18.4 3rd
4th 0.3 4.0 9.1 4.5 0.5 0.0 18.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 8.5 3.6 0.3 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.9 2.9 0.2 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.4 2.0 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.9 0.0 5.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.8 8.5 12.7 15.9 16.9 15.0 11.4 7.1 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
12-2 91.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2
11-3 64.3% 2.2    1.2 0.9 0.1
10-4 26.7% 1.9    0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0
9-5 5.0% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.1 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 29.9% 29.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
12-2 1.3% 28.0% 28.0% 16.0 0.4 0.9
11-3 3.4% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.8 2.7
10-4 7.1% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 1.1 6.0
9-5 11.4% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 1.3 10.1
8-6 15.0% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.0 14.0
7-7 16.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.9 16.0
6-8 15.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 15.4
5-9 12.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.3
4-10 8.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.4
3-11 4.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 4.7
2-12 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%