NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#349
Expected Predictive Rating-15.0#346
Pace67.2#245
Improvement+0.8#124

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#352
First Shot-6.8#347
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#270
Layup/Dunks-3.0#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#317
Freethrows+2.2#64
Improvement-1.3#285

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#309
First Shot-1.0#214
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#340
Layups/Dunks+2.7#89
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#302
Freethrows-1.5#285
Improvement+2.0#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 9.3% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.3% 6.3% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 63.4% 52.3%
Conference Champion 7.3% 9.3% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 7.3% 11.1%
First Four7.6% 9.2% 6.4%
First Round2.9% 3.6% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 29 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -31.7 -3.8 -26.0
  Fri, Nov 7 25 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -1.1 +2.8 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 9 207 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 13%     0 - 3 -22.0 -11.9 -12.1
  Fri, Nov 14 22 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -25.5 -10.8 -14.6
  Sat, Nov 22 61 @Dayton L 55-74 2%     0 - 5 -7.1 -7.7 -0.5
  Tue, Nov 25 260 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 18%     0 - 6 -17.5 -4.8 -13.0
  Wed, Dec 3 195 @James Madison L 62-67 12%     0 - 7 -4.2 -6.7 +2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 304 N.C. A&T L 54-69 45%     0 - 8 -25.7 -24.5 -0.8
  Tue, Dec 9 20 @Kentucky L 67-103 1%     0 - 9 -17.3 +2.0 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 20 296 Longwood L 71-73 43%    
  Mon, Dec 29 104 @Penn St. L 64-83 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 247 Norfolk St. L 63-67 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-69 63%    
  Mon, Jan 12 358 @Morgan St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 285 Howard L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 348 Delaware St. W 68-65 61%    
  Mon, Jan 26 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-63 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 360 @South Carolina St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @Norfolk St. L 60-70 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-66 80%    
  Mon, Feb 16 358 Morgan St. W 76-71 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 285 @Howard L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 348 @Delaware St. L 65-68 40%    
  Mon, Mar 2 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-66 39%    
  Thu, Mar 5 360 South Carolina St. W 74-68 70%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 5.6 4.3 1.3 0.1 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.6 8.3 5.1 0.9 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.9 8.9 4.6 0.5 0.0 18.1 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 8.4 3.7 0.3 15.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 6.4 3.1 0.2 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.2 2.2 0.2 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.9 0.8 0.1 5.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.4 8.0 12.2 15.8 16.5 15.5 11.9 7.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 91.8% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
11-3 66.0% 2.5    1.5 0.9 0.1
10-4 29.8% 2.2    0.6 1.1 0.5 0.0
9-5 5.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.7 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 40.5% 40.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.3
12-2 1.5% 32.3% 32.3% 16.0 0.5 1.0
11-3 3.8% 24.9% 24.9% 16.0 1.0 2.9
10-4 7.5% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 1.3 6.1
9-5 11.9% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 1.4 10.5
8-6 15.5% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 1.2 14.3
7-7 16.5% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.9 15.6
6-8 15.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.6 15.2
5-9 12.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.9
4-10 8.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 7.8
3-11 4.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.3
2-12 1.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-13 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 92.3 0.0%