NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#349
Expected Predictive Rating-18.0#357
Pace67.2#247
Improvement+1.6#88

Offense
Total Offense-8.4#354
First Shot-6.7#349
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#283
Layup/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#330
Freethrows+2.7#39
Improvement-0.6#229

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#307
First Shot-1.1#218
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#337
Layups/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#294
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement+2.2#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 10.2% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 8.1% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 69.4% 55.6%
Conference Champion 6.0% 12.0% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 5.1% 8.6%
First Four6.2% 10.1% 6.1%
First Round2.4% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 28 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -31.7 -3.9 -26.0
  Fri, Nov 7 27 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -1.7 +2.1 -6.0
  Sun, Nov 9 229 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 15%     0 - 3 -23.2 -12.4 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 14 22 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -25.7 -10.8 -14.8
  Sat, Nov 22 68 @Dayton L 55-74 3%     0 - 5 -8.0 -8.0 -1.1
  Tue, Nov 25 269 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 18%     0 - 6 -17.7 -4.6 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 3 200 @James Madison L 62-67 12%     0 - 7 -4.4 -7.1 +2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 304 N.C. A&T L 54-69 44%     0 - 8 -25.7 -24.5 -0.8
  Tue, Dec 9 19 @Kentucky L 67-103 1%     0 - 9 -16.6 +2.5 -18.1
  Sat, Dec 20 297 Longwood L 72-74 42%     0 - 10 -12.3 -7.0 -5.3
  Mon, Dec 29 106 @Penn St. L 64-84 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 243 Norfolk St. L 64-69 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-68 64%    
  Mon, Jan 12 360 @Morgan St. L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 263 Howard L 67-71 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 347 Delaware St. W 68-65 60%    
  Mon, Jan 26 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-63 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 358 @South Carolina St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 243 @Norfolk St. L 61-72 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-65 81%    
  Mon, Feb 16 360 Morgan St. W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 263 @Howard L 64-74 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 347 @Delaware St. L 65-68 38%    
  Mon, Mar 2 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63-66 38%    
  Thu, Mar 5 358 South Carolina St. W 74-68 69%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.6 8.5 5.7 1.0 0.0 19.2 3rd
4th 0.3 4.4 9.7 4.7 0.6 19.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.8 8.6 3.8 0.3 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 6.6 3.0 0.2 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 1.8 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.0 4.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.3 8.5 12.5 16.5 17.3 15.2 11.6 6.8 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-2 92.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2
11-3 65.0% 2.2    1.1 1.0 0.1
10-4 25.4% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0
9-5 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 32.3% 32.3% 16.0 0.1 0.2
12-2 1.3% 25.8% 25.8% 16.0 0.3 1.0
11-3 3.4% 20.9% 20.9% 16.0 0.7 2.7
10-4 6.8% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.9 5.9
9-5 11.6% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 1.2 10.3
8-6 15.2% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.1 14.2
7-7 17.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.8 16.5
6-8 16.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 16.0
5-9 12.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 12.2
4-10 8.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 8.3
3-11 4.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.3
2-12 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0%