NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#350
Expected Predictive Rating-15.6#350
Pace67.2#246
Improvement+1.0#115

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#356
First Shot-7.0#349
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#268
Layup/Dunks-3.3#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#315
Freethrows+2.2#68
Improvement-1.4#287

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#307
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#329
Layups/Dunks+2.5#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#307
Freethrows-1.6#280
Improvement+2.3#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 8.2% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 5.0% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 61.0% 50.4%
Conference Champion 6.6% 8.2% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 7.9% 11.5%
First Four6.5% 8.1% 5.2%
First Round2.5% 3.2% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 29 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -31.9 -3.7 -26.4
  Fri, Nov 7 26 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -1.2 +2.7 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 9 231 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 15%     0 - 3 -23.0 -13.0 -12.1
  Fri, Nov 14 23 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -25.8 -10.8 -14.9
  Sat, Nov 22 73 @Dayton L 55-74 3%     0 - 5 -8.1 -8.3 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 262 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 18%     0 - 6 -17.5 -4.3 -13.5
  Wed, Dec 3 182 @James Madison L 62-67 10%     0 - 7 -3.6 -6.6 +2.5
  Sat, Dec 6 310 N.C. A&T L 54-69 48%     0 - 8 -26.7 -25.1 -1.2
  Tue, Dec 9 22 @Kentucky L 67-103 1%     0 - 9 -17.4 +1.9 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 20 308 Longwood L 72-73 46%    
  Mon, Dec 29 103 @Penn St. L 64-84 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 233 Norfolk St. L 63-68 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72-69 61%    
  Mon, Jan 12 359 @Morgan St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 299 Howard L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 349 Delaware St. W 69-66 60%    
  Mon, Jan 26 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-63 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 360 @South Carolina St. L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 233 @Norfolk St. L 60-71 15%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75-66 80%    
  Mon, Feb 16 359 Morgan St. W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 299 @Howard L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 349 @Delaware St. L 66-69 39%    
  Mon, Mar 2 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-66 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 360 South Carolina St. W 73-68 69%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.6 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 5.7 4.2 1.2 0.2 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.7 8.3 4.7 0.7 0.1 17.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.9 9.0 4.2 0.4 0.0 17.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 8.6 3.7 0.3 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.8 3.1 0.2 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.7 2.1 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.6 8.8 12.7 16.0 16.7 15.1 11.3 7.0 3.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-2 89.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
11-3 64.4% 2.2    1.2 0.9 0.1
10-4 30.2% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0
9-5 5.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.2 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 47.5% 47.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.2
12-2 1.4% 28.9% 28.9% 16.0 0.4 1.0
11-3 3.4% 22.3% 22.3% 16.0 0.8 2.6
10-4 7.0% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 1.1 5.9
9-5 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 1.2 10.1
8-6 15.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 1.1 14.0
7-7 16.7% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.7 16.0
6-8 16.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.6 15.5
5-9 12.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 12.4
4-10 8.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.7
3-11 4.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-12 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-13 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 93.4 0.0%