NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#350
Expected Predictive Rating-11.8#326
Pace67.2#248
Improvement+0.9#103

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#335
First Shot-5.0#310
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#248
Layup/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#255
Freethrows+1.7#101
Improvement+0.4#145

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#342
First Shot-3.3#286
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#317
Layups/Dunks+2.6#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#351
Freethrows-1.0#239
Improvement+0.6#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 12.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.8% 20.3% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.8% 67.7% 52.6%
Conference Champion 8.7% 15.8% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 6.6% 11.7%
First Four7.9% 11.7% 7.5%
First Round3.0% 5.5% 2.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 48 - 109 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 31 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -32.5 -5.8 -24.8
  Fri, Nov 7 39 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -3.6 +1.7 -7.5
  Sun, Nov 9 279 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 21%     0 - 3 -25.6 -14.8 -12.7
  Fri, Nov 14 22 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -25.9 -11.0 -14.8
  Sat, Nov 22 67 @Dayton L 55-74 3%     0 - 5 -7.6 -8.4 -0.3
  Tue, Nov 25 288 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 22%     0 - 6 -19.0 -5.2 -14.1
  Wed, Dec 3 159 @James Madison L 66-81 8%    
  Sat, Dec 6 321 N.C. A&T W 73-72 50%    
  Tue, Dec 9 17 @Kentucky L 59-91 0.1%   
  Sat, Dec 20 287 Longwood L 72-74 43%    
  Mon, Dec 29 97 @Penn St. L 64-84 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 231 Norfolk St. L 65-70 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 71-69 57%    
  Mon, Jan 12 359 @Morgan St. L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 311 Howard L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 356 Delaware St. W 71-66 66%    
  Mon, Jan 26 340 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-63 57%    
  Sat, Jan 31 349 @South Carolina St. L 71-74 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 231 @Norfolk St. L 62-73 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 74-66 76%    
  Mon, Feb 16 359 Morgan St. W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 311 @Howard L 69-76 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 356 @Delaware St. L 68-69 45%    
  Mon, Mar 2 340 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-66 36%    
  Thu, Mar 5 349 South Carolina St. W 74-71 60%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 8.7 1st
2nd 0.6 3.9 6.1 3.9 1.1 0.1 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.8 7.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.8 7.6 2.3 0.2 16.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.8 7.2 1.6 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.7 1.6 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.3 1.5 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.2 0.9 0.0 5.9 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.4 9.2 12.8 15.5 15.7 14.2 10.7 7.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 92.1% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
11-3 70.4% 2.7    1.7 1.0 0.1
10-4 37.8% 2.7    1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0
9-5 10.4% 1.1    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 4.8 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 55.2% 55.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-1 0.5% 46.4% 46.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.3
12-2 1.6% 33.4% 33.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 1.1
11-3 3.8% 25.7% 25.7% 16.0 1.0 2.9
10-4 7.1% 19.2% 19.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4 5.8
9-5 10.7% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4 9.3
8-6 14.2% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.3 12.9
7-7 15.7% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.9 14.8
6-8 15.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.7 14.8
5-9 12.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.4
4-10 9.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.1
3-11 5.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.3
2-12 2.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1 91.9 0.0%