NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -14.3 349
Results Rating -12.9 342
Consistency 0.14 115
Pace 66.6 226
Improvement -0.7 214

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 319 D D+ D+ C+ C-
Defense F+ 355 F D- C+ C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 104 D- 51% 330 -1.3 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 21 D 33% 325 +0.3 155
Three Pointers 34% 318 C- 33% 233 -4.1 316
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 229 D- -4.7 327
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 325
Second Chance C- 27.8% 250 C- 0.98 255 D+ 0.27 266
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 238
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 309
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 277
Freethrows C 0.30 185 B- 74% 110 C+ 0.23 154
Total Offense D -6.0 319

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 157 F 17.0% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 37% 35 C+ 4.1% 124
Three Pointers D 77% 315 C+ 0.7% 132
Total C 55% 195 F 8.3% 360


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 224 F+ 67% 358 +2.7 272
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 342 D+ 41% 301 -1.7 47
Three Pointers 48% 22 F+ 38% 348 +6.5 359
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 290 F +6.6 360
1st FG Attempt F 1.17 359
Second Chance F 38.8% 364 B- 0.97 88 D- 0.38 326
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.4% 113
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 154
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 106
Freethrows C 0.31 191 C- 73% 235 C 0.22 202
Total Defense F+ -8.3 355

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 292 C- 9.6% 224
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 261 C 4.6% 182
Three Pointers D 89% 328 C+ 1.2% 94
Total D- 64% 338 C- 4.9% 233

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 255 17.3 184
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 130 0.27 363
Consistency 0.14 273 0.11 55
Improvement +2.0 92 -2.7 307

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 354 349 344
Results Rating Rank 352 344 329
Conference Record 8 - 6 8 - 6 8 - 6
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 14% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four9% 14% 0%
First Round3% 4% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 410 - 810 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 35 @North Carolina St. L 65 - 114 1% -28  0% 0 - 1 F -32 D- -8 C- C- F F -22 F F C
 Fri, Nov 7 21 @Virginia L 62 - 81 0% -19  0% 0 - 2 C +2 B- +5 D C+ B+ D -5 C- F+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 190 @Appalachian St. L 54 - 76 8% -16  0% 0 - 3 F -21 F -14 F F+ F+ F+ -8 B F D-
 Fri, Nov 14 28 @North Carolina L 53 - 97 1% -20  0% 0 - 4 F -26 F -15 F D B F -11 C- F B-
 Sat, Nov 22 79 @Dayton L 55 - 74 2% -19  2% 0 - 5 D -8 F+ -10 F A+ F C +0 B- C+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 306 @South Carolina Upstate L 67 - 82 21% -10  3% 0 - 6 F -21 D- -7 F C- B F -14 F C- A
 Wed, Dec 3 209 @James Madison L 62 - 67 9% -4  12% 0 - 7 C- -5 D- -8 F C+ F B- +3 A B D+
 Sat, Dec 6 288 N.C. A&T L 54 - 69 35% +1  57% 0 - 8 F -25 F -29 F F D B +4 B- D+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 24 @Kentucky L 67 - 103 1% -19  0% 0 - 9 F+ -17 C- -2 C C- C- F -15 F C D
 Sat, Dec 20 262 Longwood L 72 - 74 29% -2  24% 0 - 10 D -11 D- -8 F D B- C- -3 D+ F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 122 @Penn St. L 67 - 90 4% -8  23% 0 - 11 F+ -17 D -6 C+ A+ F F -12 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 319 Norfolk St. W 69 - 67 46% +3  78% 1 - 11 1 - 0 D -11 F+ -10 D- F D- C -1 C+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 10 362 @Coppin St. W 88 - 77 55% -3  35% 2 - 11 2 - 0 C- -5 A +14 D+ A B+ F -18 F B D
 Mon, Jan 12 350 @Morgan St. W 89 - 78 39% +4  79% 3 - 11 3 - 0 C -0 B+ +9 A+ F C+ F+ -9 F B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 192 Howard L 69 - 83 18% -5  23% 3 - 12 3 - 1 F -19 D -5 B- F D+ F -14 D+ F D+
 Mon, Feb 2 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65 - 63 62% +4  89% 4 - 12 4 - 1 F+ -16 D- -8 A F D+ D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 319 @Norfolk St. L 68 - 75 25% -3  18% 4 - 13 4 - 2 D- -14 F -13 D+ F F C -1 F+ F A+
 Mon, Feb 9 360 Delaware St. W 72 - 63 73% +0  50% 5 - 13 5 - 2 D- -12 B +6 C+ C+ A+ F -16 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 362 Coppin St. L 56 - 58 76% +2  69% 5 - 14 5 - 3 F -24 F -20 F D B D+ -3 D+ B+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 350 Morgan St. W 80 - 76 62% +11  90% 6 - 14 6 - 3 D- -13 D- -8 D B+ F D -6 D C B-
 Wed, Feb 18 356 @South Carolina St. L 72 - 85 43% -5  6% 6 - 15 6 - 4 F -25 D -5 C- F C- F -21 F A F
 Sat, Feb 21 192 @Howard L 67 - 100 8% -17  0% 6 - 16 6 - 5 F -32 D -6 F A+ C- F -25 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 28 360 @Delaware St. W 74 - 60 52% +2  46% 7 - 16 7 - 5 C -1 B +7 D A+ B+ D -6 F D- A+
 Mon, Mar 2 351 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 77 - 73 39% -3  32% 8 - 16 8 - 5 D+ -8 C +1 B F D+ D- -8 F F A+
 Thu, Mar 5 356 South Carolina St. L 64 - 80 66% -7  0% 8 - 17 8 - 6 F -34 F -19 F F C F -16 F B+ F+
 Thu, Mar 12 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 83 - 76 OT 51% -2  43% 9 - 17 D+ -8 B- +4 B+ B- D F -11 C+ F C-
 Fri, Mar 13 360 Delaware St. W 69 - 65 63%
Totals 10 - 17 8 - 6 -14 D -6 B- D- C- F+ -8 C- B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D C- D- 41% 58% 34% C- D C- C- D+ D+ C B- C+ F+ F+ D+ F+ F 37% 15% 48% D+ F F B- D- C+ C C- C
1.00 51% 33% 33% -5 0 0.92 28% 1.0 .27 18% .30 74% .23 1.20 67% 41% 38% +7 +1 1.17 39% 1.0 .38 18% .31 73% .22
Nov
3		 North Carolina St. D- B D+ F C- 37% 21% 42% C- C- D A- C- F A+ D- A+ F F A+ F F 26% 9% 64% C+ F F F F C F A- F
0.89 63% 33% 28% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.1 .24 25% .51 64% .33 1.57 93% 20% 44% +17 +1 1.38 45% 1.4 .65 12% .47 70% .33
Nov
7		 Virginia B- F F A+ D 43% 29% 29% C+ D A F+ C+ B+ A+ A A+ D F A+ D D 22% 15% 63% A C- F B+ F+ A- F+ A+ C+
0.99 33% 21% 43% -12 -1 0.78 36% 0.7 .25 14% .41 82% .33 1.29 80% 29% 38% +7 0 1.15 53% 1.0 .53 19% .37 58% .22
Nov
9		 Appalachian St. F F F F+ F 44% 13% 44% B+ F F C+ F+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C- A- A+ B+ 33% 15% 52% C B D F F D- F F F
0.84 38% 17% 29% -15 +1 0.75 19% 1.0 .19 17% .38 90% .34 1.18 60% 29% 25% -8 0 0.87 33% 1.6 .55 12% .52 72% .37
Nov
14		 North Carolina F F F D+ F 31% 28% 41% C F C+ F D B A+ C A+ F F D+ C- D+ 33% 15% 52% C+ C- F F F B- F F+ F
0.76 24% 20% 32% -17 -1 0.65 26% 0.5 .13 13% .33 70% .23 1.38 75% 43% 36% +8 0 1.19 43% 1.5 .64 14% .58 74% .43
Nov
22		 Dayton F+ D+ F F F 38% 38% 24% D- F C- A+ A+ F D+ A+ B- C F+ D+ A B- 31% 15% 54% B+ B- D- A C+ F A A+ A+
0.83 53% 12% 27% -14 -2 0.69 26% 1.9 .50 27% .27 85% .23 1.12 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 11% .32 58% .19
Nov
25		 South Carolina Upstate D- F F C+ F 51% 20% 29% C+ F B+ F C- B A+ B A+ F F A- F F 48% 16% 36% F+ F F A C- A F D F
0.97 36% 20% 36% -14 +1 0.76 37% 0.9 .35 13% .54 75% .40 1.19 71% 29% 50% +14 +1 1.32 39% 0.8 .29 23% .49 73% .36
Dec
3		 James Madison D- F F D F 42% 17% 42% B- F C- A C+ F F+ C+ D- B- A+ A C+ A+ 38% 10% 53% D A D+ A+ B D+ F C+ F
0.97 45% 25% 30% -10 +1 0.83 27% 1.2 .33 17% .28 73% .21 1.05 40% 25% 33% -9 +1 0.88 32% 0.8 .26 16% .60 69% .41
Dec
6		 N.C. A&T F F F F F 46% 21% 33% B- F D- F F D A+ B A+ B B- D- A+ B+ 38% 23% 40% D- B- F+ B- D+ A+ F B- F
0.75 45% 20% 13% -20 +1 0.63 21% 0.4 .09 15% .49 73% .36 0.96 53% 44% 25% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.0 .36 29% .69 71% .49
Dec
9		 Kentucky C- B+ F+ D C 35% 33% 33% C- C D- A- C- C- C B+ C+ F F F F+ F 40% 11% 49% F+ F A+ F C D A+ F B+
0.93 61% 29% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 18% .29 76% .22 1.43 87% 50% 39% +17 +1 1.39 27% 1.6 .42 13% .22 93% .21
Dec
20		 Longwood D- A+ F F F 40% 23% 36% D F D- D+ D B- A+ A+ A+ C- D- F A+ C- 38% 18% 44% D D+ F C+ F A+ F B F
1.02 84% 27% 12% -4 0 0.94 23% 0.9 .19 17% .51 80% .41 1.04 65% 50% 25% -1 0 1.00 44% 0.9 .42 25% .45 71% .32
Dec
29		 Penn St. D A+ C D+ B- 36% 30% 34% D- C+ A+ A+ A+ F F+ F F F F F F F 31% 10% 60% C- F C A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A
0.98 75% 38% 33% +6 -1 1.11 42% 1.7 .71 34% .15 57% .09 1.32 81% 60% 45% +19 +1 1.42 28% 0.8 .21 16% .23 77% .17
Jan
3		 Norfolk St. F+ B F F F+ 50% 14% 36% B- D- A+ F F D- A D B+ C B- F A+ C+ 43% 26% 32% D+ C+ F A+ B C- D B- C-
1.03 68% 29% 22% -3 +2 1.00 45% 0.3 .14 19% .46 68% .31 1.00 50% 50% 27% -4 0 0.94 40% 0.6 .24 18% .36 65% .24
Jan
10		 Coppin St. A F F+ A+ C 27% 32% 41% F D+ D A+ A B+ A+ B- A+ F C F F F 27% 38% 35% A+ F C A B D A F B+
1.35 45% 31% 53% +6 -2 1.10 30% 1.9 .56 14% .64 78% .50 1.18 54% 44% 65% +18 -3 1.31 29% 0.8 .21 20% .23 75% .17
Jan
12		 Morgan St. B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 64% 20% 16% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ F F 33% 27% 40% C F D- A+ B+ D+ F B+ F
1.30 68% 67% 57% +18 +2 1.41 17% 0.8 .13 13% .55 76% .42 1.14 73% 25% 39% +5 -1 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 16% .57 70% .40
Jan
17		 Howard D D- A+ B- B 41% 12% 47% C+ B- D+ F F D+ D- F F F F F A+ D+ 48% 12% 40% D- D+ F F+ F D+ A- C B+
1.01 50% 67% 35% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.7 .22 20% .27 60% .16 1.21 64% 50% 24% -2 +2 1.02 46% 1.2 .57 19% .27 73% .20
Feb
2		 Maryland Eastern Shore D- A+ A+ B A 43% 14% 43% B- A D- F F D+ D+ F F+ D- A+ C+ F F 44% 21% 36% D F F F F A+ C+ B+ B-
1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20 1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15
Feb
7		 Norfolk St. F F A+ D D+ 45% 24% 31% D D+ F F F F F A- F C C- F B D+ 55% 7% 38% F F+ F C F A+ F F F
0.95 48% 67% 31% +1 0 1.04 21% 0.8 .18 22% .25 79% .20 1.05 57% 67% 31% 0 +3 1.07 39% 1.0 .39 28% .52 78% .41
Feb
9		 Delaware St. B C+ A- C C+ 56% 24% 20% C- C+ A- F+ C+ A+ C- B+ C+ F F F C+ F 27% 41% 32% A- F F F F A- D- D- F+
1.23 64% 45% 33% +5 +1 1.13 40% 1.0 .40 12% .33 76% .25 1.08 64% 47% 31% +4 -3 1.02 41% 1.0 .41 24% .34 73% .25
Feb
14		 Coppin St. F F F F F 37% 22% 41% D+ F C F+ D B F F F D+ D+ F A+ C 47% 8% 45% F D+ C A+ B+ F A A+ A+
0.90 37% 27% 29% -14 0 0.75 35% 1.0 .35 14% .17 44% .07 0.93 58% 50% 22% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.7 .19 14% .22 50% .11
Feb
16		 Morgan St. D- F C A+ D+ 48% 22% 30% D D C- A+ B+ F B- A+ A- D B A+ F D+ 41% 21% 38% F+ D F A+ C B- D- C+ D-
1.10 41% 40% 50% 0 +1 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 22% .44 80% .35 1.04 48% 17% 43% -4 0 0.95 47% 0.5 .23 19% .39 74% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
18		 South Carolina St. D D A- A- C 39% 22% 39% F+ C- D- F+ F C- B F D F F C- F F 34% 26% 40% D- F B+ A+ A F B F D
1.08 56% 50% 39% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.0 .31 18% .44 58% .26 1.27 76% 38% 50% +16 -1 1.32 25% 0.7 .17 13% .29 88% .26
Feb
21		 Howard D D D F F 55% 20% 25% C+ F C+ A+ A+ C- C F D- F F A+ F F 48% 12% 40% D- F F D F D+ C- C- C-
0.94 54% 30% 8% -14 +1 0.76 34% 1.9 .66 20% .33 58% .19 1.40 79% 17% 55% +20 +2 1.46 43% 1.2 .50 18% .34 75% .26
Feb
28		 Delaware St. B F F A+ D+ 39% 24% 37% D- D D- A+ A+ B+ F A+ C- D F D+ C- F 38% 22% 40% F F F A- D- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 44% 18% 53% 0 0 1.02 26% 2.1 .56 15% .25 92% .23 0.98 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.07 44% 0.6 .26 26% .13 50% .07
Mar
2		 Maryland Eastern Shore C F A+ A+ B 42% 13% 44% B- B F D- F D+ A+ C+ A+ D- F F D- F 41% 27% 32% C+ F F C F A+ B+ D B
1.13 47% 50% 45% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.0 .22 18% .52 76% .39 1.07 67% 50% 36% +8 -1 1.16 59% 0.9 .53 34% .18 75% .13
Mar
5		 South Carolina St. F F F F F 40% 15% 45% D+ F D F F C A C- A- F D+ A+ F F 40% 19% 40% F F D- A+ B+ F+ F B- F
0.92 47% 14% 24% -15 +1 0.74 33% 0.9 .29 17% .48 71% .35 1.15 58% 22% 53% +8 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 17% .48 64% .31
Mar
12		 Maryland Eastern Shore B- A+ F A A- 44% 18% 38% C+ B+ C+ B B- D A- A+ A+ F A D B- B- 40% 16% 44% F+ C+ F F F C- F F F
1.20 75% 13% 41% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.2 .42 19% .41 91% .37 1.10 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.89 43% 1.2 .51 23% .47 88% .41



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 9.2 90.8
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 16.0 90.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 55.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 35.1%