Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#250
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#73
Pace74.4#64
Improvement+0.1#159

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#283
First Shot-0.9#198
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#335
Layup/Dunks+4.4#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#351
Freethrows+2.2#54
Improvement+0.6#110

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#196
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#184
Layups/Dunks+4.2#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#348
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement-0.5#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.1% 42.3% 34.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 94.0% 97.7% 91.0%
.500 or above in Conference 95.6% 97.1% 94.4%
Conference Champion 51.1% 56.4% 46.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four20.6% 19.6% 21.5%
First Round26.0% 31.2% 21.7%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Away) - 45.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 11 - 5
Quad 417 - 518 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 321   Tennessee St. W 66-59 66%     1 - 0 -2.0 -20.2 +17.4
  Nov 16, 2021 332   William & Mary W 91-74 82%     2 - 0 +2.6 +7.0 -5.4
  Nov 19, 2021 224   @ Bowling Green W 90-84 31%     3 - 0 +6.2 +8.8 -3.0
  Nov 21, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 48-88 5%     3 - 1 -26.1 -21.3 -1.2
  Nov 28, 2021 338   Hampton W 70-61 77%     4 - 1 -3.6 -6.9 +3.5
  Nov 30, 2021 324   Grambling St. W 70-63 67%     5 - 1 -2.3 -6.5 +4.1
  Dec 01, 2021 283   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 04, 2021 338   @ Hampton W 74-69 67%    
  Dec 11, 2021 53   @ Wichita St. L 60-76 7%    
  Dec 19, 2021 33   @ Loyola Chicago L 57-77 4%    
  Dec 21, 2021 201   @ New Mexico L 77-83 29%    
  Dec 29, 2021 179   @ Campbell L 60-67 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-65 68%    
  Jan 10, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 85-68 94%    
  Jan 15, 2022 310   @ Howard W 79-78 52%    
  Jan 22, 2022 307   Coppin St. W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 24, 2022 314   Morgan St. W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 354   @ South Carolina St. W 80-70 81%    
  Jan 31, 2022 337   @ NC Central W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-62 84%    
  Feb 14, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 82-71 84%    
  Feb 19, 2022 307   @ Coppin St. W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 21, 2022 314   @ Morgan St. W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 26, 2022 354   South Carolina St. W 83-67 91%    
  Feb 28, 2022 337   NC Central W 76-65 83%    
  Mar 03, 2022 310   Howard W 81-75 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 10 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.2 6.2 14.7 15.3 10.0 3.6 51.1 1st
2nd 1.3 6.7 8.9 4.8 0.6 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.4 1.8 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.4 0.8 7.9 4th
5th 0.3 1.4 2.0 0.3 3.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.7 6.2 9.3 14.2 16.8 19.7 15.9 10.0 3.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.6    3.6
13-1 100.0% 10.0    9.8 0.2
12-2 96.2% 15.3    13.0 2.3
11-3 74.9% 14.7    8.8 5.4 0.6
10-4 36.9% 6.2    1.6 3.0 1.5 0.1
9-5 8.7% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 51.1% 51.1 37.0 11.2 2.4 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.6% 71.6% 71.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.7 1.0
13-1 10.0% 55.8% 55.8% 15.4 0.1 0.4 2.4 2.7 4.4
12-2 15.9% 54.2% 54.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.8 6.7 7.3
11-3 19.7% 44.5% 44.5% 15.9 0.0 1.0 7.8 10.9
10-4 16.8% 35.2% 35.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.7 10.9
9-5 14.2% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.0 4.0 10.1
8-6 9.3% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 1.4 7.8
7-7 6.2% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.9 5.2
6-8 2.7% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.3 2.4
5-9 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-10 0.5% 0.5
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 38.1% 38.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.7 30.1 61.9 0.0%