Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.3 #338
Expected Predictive Rating -9.7 #323
Pace 61.5 #347
Improvement -0.5 #218

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #351 D D F D- D+
Defense #281 C D C- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #219 1.14 #200 -1.2 #226
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #70 0.81 #97 +3.0 #49
Three Pointers 36% #280 0.80 #362 -6.3 #343
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #312 -4.4 #312
Freethrows 0.24 #349 72% #201 0.17 #343
Second Chance 28.2% #251 0.90 #330 0.25 #303
Turnovers 22.0% #362
Total Offense -8.1 #351

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #166 1.16 #174 -0.4 #192
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #291 0.67 #43 +2.1 #40
Three Pointers 44% #99 1.00 #166 -1.1 #238
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #160 +0.5 #159
Freethrows 0.32 #252 74% #274 0.24 #267
Second Chance 32.4% #263 1.17 #333 0.38 #325
Turnovers 16.0% #219
Total Defense -3.3 #281

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.7% #295 1.0% #267
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.0% #300 -2.0% #143
Possession Length 19.8 #361 16.7 #97
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 #360 0.18 #222
Improvement +1.4 #101 -2.0 #288

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 15.6% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 3.7% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 92.8% 98.3% 89.0%
Conference Champion 36.3% 54.7% 23.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four12.9% 15.2% 11.3%
First Round5.3% 6.1% 4.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Away) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 411 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 114 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  0 - 1 +2 -16 D- D+ F +18 A+ D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 34 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0 - 2 -48 -38 F D- F -6 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 11 12 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1% -15  0 - 3 +3 -9 D- D F+ +11 A+ C- D
 Fri, Nov 14 57 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0 - 4 -27 -20 D- F F -10 C- F C
 Tue, Nov 18 266 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 21% +3  1 - 4 -2 -1 B C- F -1 A- F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 339 @Canisius L 57 - 60 39% -3  1 - 5 -11 -6 F+ C F -6 F+ F C
 Sat, Nov 22 361 Binghamton W 63 - 52 68% +9  2 - 5 -5 -6 D- C+ F +3 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 251 Hampton L 68 - 74 38% -10  2 - 6 -14 +3 F+ B- A+ -18 F+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 258 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 20% -5  2 - 7 -15 -5 C F+ D+ -12 F C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 244 @American L 60 - 78 18% -10  2 - 8 -20 -5 A+ F F -17 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 23 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1% -16  2 - 9 -5 -2 B- C F -4 C- A+ F
 Fri, Dec 12 281 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 24% +2  2 - 10 -7 +4 D- A B -11 D+ F C
 Sun, Dec 14 60 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 2% -10  2 - 11 -17 -9 D D- D- -10 F B+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 330 @Wagner L 64 - 78 35% -6  2 - 12 -22 -8 B F F -14 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 31 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  2 - 13 -5 +3 B- B- F+ -8 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 354 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 70% +6  3 - 13 1 - 0 +0 -12 F D D +13 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 253 Howard W 69 - 57 38% -2  4 - 13 2 - 0 +4 -8 C- F+ F +11 B+ B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 306 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 29% +0  5 - 13 3 - 0 -2 +7 D+ D+ B+ -9 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 87% -0  6 - 13 4 - 0 -20 -4 F A+ F+ -16 D F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 353 @Delaware St. L 57 - 65 47% -6  6 - 14 4 - 1 -19 -8 F F C -12 F C F
 Mon, Feb 2 342 @NC Central L 66 - 69 40%
 Wed, Feb 4 359 @South Carolina St. W 68 - 67 52%
 Sat, Feb 7 354 @Morgan St. L 70 - 71 49%
 Sat, Feb 14 253 @Howard L 62 - 71 20%
 Mon, Feb 16 306 Norfolk St. W 67 - 66 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 72 - 66 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 359 South Carolina St. W 71 - 64 73%
 Mon, Mar 2 342 NC Central W 69 - 66 62%
 Thu, Mar 5 353 Delaware St. W 65 - 60 69%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 5 -11 -8 D D F -3 C D C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 5.7 14.8 11.2 3.8 0.6 36.3 1st
2nd 0.0 3.2 13.3 4.7 0.1 21.3 2nd
3rd 0.8 9.9 5.3 0.2 16.1 3rd
4th 0.2 5.0 6.6 0.3 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 5.6 0.8 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.9 1.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.2 1.5 5.5 12.4 20.5 24.5 19.6 11.4 3.8 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
12-2 100.0% 3.8    3.8 0.0
11-3 98.9% 11.2    9.2 2.0 0.0
10-4 75.4% 14.8    5.9 7.1 1.8 0.1
9-5 23.1% 5.7    0.4 1.7 2.5 1.1 0.1
8-6 0.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 36.3% 36.3 19.8 10.8 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.6% 31.0% 31.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.4
12-2 3.8% 28.4% 28.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 2.8
11-3 11.4% 22.9% 22.9% 16.0 2.6 8.8
10-4 19.6% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 3.6 16.1
9-5 24.5% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 2.9 21.6
8-6 20.5% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 1.6 18.9
7-7 12.4% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.7 11.7
6-8 5.5% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.3 5.2
5-9 1.5% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 1.4
4-10 0.2% 0.2
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 16.0 86.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.8 16.7 83.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.2%