Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#358
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#347
Pace68.3#203
Improvement+0.4#157

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#353
First Shot-4.1#294
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#333
Layup/Dunks-6.0#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#232
Freethrows+1.3#106
Improvement-0.8#242

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#354
First Shot-4.3#314
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#331
Layups/Dunks-2.9#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#203
Freethrows-0.1#199
Improvement+1.2#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 19.6% 23.6% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.6% 16.9% 22.6%
First Four1.1% 1.6% 0.8%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 34.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 45 - 115 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 67   @ Vanderbilt L 63-102 2%     0 - 1 -27.1 -7.3 -18.8
  Nov 07, 2024 279   @ Penn L 84-87 15%     0 - 2 -6.4 +6.4 -12.8
  Nov 12, 2024 198   @ Miami (OH) L 70-88 8%     0 - 3 -16.7 +6.5 -25.1
  Nov 15, 2024 317   @ Old Dominion L 71-73 21%     0 - 4 -7.8 -5.0 -2.8
  Nov 20, 2024 117   @ Murray St. L 61-79 4%     0 - 5 -12.2 -4.8 -8.7
  Nov 23, 2024 14   @ Illinois L 40-87 1%     0 - 6 -28.7 -25.5 -1.4
  Nov 25, 2024 33   @ Arkansas L 35-109 1%     0 - 7 -58.3 -31.9 -20.5
  Nov 27, 2024 233   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-78 11%     0 - 8 -19.9 -10.4 -10.0
  Nov 30, 2024 11   @ Connecticut L 45-99 1%     0 - 9 -35.5 -22.0 -14.4
  Dec 05, 2024 202   @ Longwood L 76-80 8%     0 - 10 -2.9 +5.9 -8.8
  Dec 08, 2024 300   Wagner L 59-63 35%    
  Dec 28, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 57-89 0.1%   
  Jan 04, 2025 153   @ Norfolk St. L 61-79 5%    
  Jan 06, 2025 284   Howard L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 281   @ NC Central L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 13, 2025 303   @ South Carolina St. L 66-76 18%    
  Jan 25, 2025 348   Delaware St. W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 03, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 72-63 78%    
  Feb 15, 2025 153   Norfolk St. L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 17, 2025 284   @ Howard L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 281   NC Central L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 24, 2025 303   South Carolina St. L 69-73 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 340   Morgan St. L 74-75 50%    
  Mar 03, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 06, 2025 348   @ Delaware St. L 69-74 33%    
Projected Record 5 - 21 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 2.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 5.1 2.0 0.2 10.3 4th
5th 0.5 4.7 8.1 3.0 0.2 0.0 16.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 7.6 10.5 3.9 0.2 24.0 6th
7th 0.4 4.2 10.9 9.8 2.9 0.2 28.4 7th
8th 0.8 3.2 4.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.8 8th
Total 0.8 3.6 8.8 15.4 18.5 18.4 15.0 9.9 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 87.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 59.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 28.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.3% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.1 0.3
10-4 0.9% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.1 0.8
9-5 2.7% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.2 2.6
8-6 5.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 5.5
7-7 9.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.7
6-8 15.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.8
5-9 18.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 18.2
4-10 18.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.4
3-11 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.3
2-12 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
1-13 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
0-14 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%