Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#351
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#346
Pace68.9#168
Improvement+0.5#164

Offense
Total Offense-12.3#360
First Shot-10.2#359
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#300
Layup/Dunks-8.7#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#245
Freethrows-1.9#302
Improvement-2.3#306

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#228
First Shot-1.4#219
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#220
Layups/Dunks-2.2#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#154
Freethrows-0.2#204
Improvement+2.8#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 2.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 1.3% 9.4%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 45 - 115 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 206   @ Temple L 65-85 10%     0 - 1 -20.0 -9.8 -9.3
  Nov 15, 2023 194   Longwood L 61-80 19%     0 - 2 -23.8 -16.3 -6.8
  Nov 18, 2023 214   Penn W 83-80 OT 21%     1 - 2 -2.7 -6.2 +3.0
  Nov 22, 2023 124   @ Notre Dame L 55-75 4%     1 - 3 -14.3 -9.8 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2023 121   @ Liberty L 62-99 4%     1 - 4 -31.1 -1.3 -34.1
  Dec 04, 2023 158   @ East Carolina L 52-63 7%     1 - 5 -8.0 -13.1 +4.1
  Dec 06, 2023 68   @ North Carolina St. L 61-93 2%     1 - 6 -21.1 -4.9 -17.1
  Dec 18, 2023 222   @ Marist L 52-76 11%     1 - 7 -24.4 -13.0 -12.9
  Dec 22, 2023 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 51-75 3%     1 - 8 -14.7 -10.5 -6.3
  Dec 30, 2023 225   @ George Washington L 63-69 11%     1 - 9 -6.6 -11.2 +4.5
  Jan 06, 2024 336   Morgan St. W 75-74 52%     2 - 9 1 - 0 -13.6 -6.1 -7.5
  Jan 08, 2024 360   @ Coppin St. L 55-58 OT 49%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -16.7 -23.6 +7.1
  Jan 13, 2024 285   @ Howard L 61-72 16%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -14.6 -11.5 -3.8
  Jan 20, 2024 309   @ Delaware St. L 63-67 OT 21%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -9.5 -11.4 +2.1
  Jan 27, 2024 258   NC Central L 57-65 27%     2 - 13 1 - 4 -15.6 -16.0 +0.1
  Jan 29, 2024 305   South Carolina St. L 53-63 37%     2 - 14 1 - 5 -20.6 -20.5 -0.9
  Feb 05, 2024 253   Norfolk St. W 69-60 25%     3 - 14 2 - 5 +1.8 -7.1 +8.9
  Feb 17, 2024 336   @ Morgan St. L 65-70 32%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -14.1 -15.8 +1.9
  Feb 19, 2024 360   Coppin St. W 75-67 69%     4 - 15 3 - 6 -11.2 -0.3 -10.6
  Feb 24, 2024 258   @ NC Central L 55-88 13%     4 - 16 3 - 7 -35.1 -17.9 -17.1
  Feb 26, 2024 305   @ South Carolina St. L 65-74 19%    
  Mar 02, 2024 285   Howard L 67-72 33%    
  Mar 04, 2024 253   @ Norfolk St. L 59-71 12%    
  Mar 07, 2024 309   Delaware St. L 62-65 39%    
Projected Record 5 - 19 4 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.3 4th
5th 0.3 1.5 0.2 2.0 5th
6th 5.4 2.6 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 29.7 41.6 16.3 1.0 88.6 7th
8th 1.0 0.1 1.1 8th
Total 30.8 41.7 22.0 5.0 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
6-8 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-9 22.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 21.9
4-10 41.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 41.7
3-11 30.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 30.7
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 1.6% 16.0 1.6
Lose Out 30.8% 0.1% 16.0 0.1