Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#292
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#149
Pace69.2#145
Improvement+1.4#30

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#344
First Shot-4.9#321
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#321
Layup/Dunks-2.6#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
Freethrows-2.1#325
Improvement+0.3#130

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#172
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#232
Layups/Dunks-0.4#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#123
Freethrows-1.3#277
Improvement+1.1#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 7.9% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 86.5% 96.2% 79.6%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 100.0% 99.4%
Conference Champion 40.6% 63.9% 24.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.3%
First Round5.1% 7.4% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 41.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 31 - 32 - 8
Quad 412 - 314 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 176   @ Old Dominion L 65-84 19%     0 - 1 -16.5 -1.6 -16.1
  Nov 14, 2022 110   @ Charlotte L 47-80 11%     0 - 2 -26.7 -21.9 -5.7
  Nov 18, 2022 191   @ George Washington L 64-69 21%     0 - 3 -3.4 -14.4 +11.2
  Nov 22, 2022 316   Marist W 70-59 65%     1 - 3 +0.0 -1.6 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2022 16   @ Virginia L 45-72 2%     1 - 4 -10.1 -14.7 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2022 258   Lehigh W 64-60 53%     2 - 4 -3.8 -15.1 +11.1
  Dec 02, 2022 70   @ Liberty L 59-79 6%     2 - 5 -9.1 -0.2 -11.3
  Dec 06, 2022 122   @ George Mason L 54-67 13%     2 - 6 -7.6 -10.8 +2.1
  Dec 10, 2022 24   @ Duke L 55-82 3%     2 - 7 -11.0 -10.4 -0.4
  Dec 20, 2022 98   @ Temple W 86-78 9%     3 - 7 +15.6 +16.3 -0.9
  Dec 28, 2022 346   @ Columbia W 74-67 OT 59%     4 - 7 -2.3 -2.7 +0.2
  Jan 07, 2023 203   @ Norfolk St. L 46-57 22%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -9.9 -24.8 +13.8
  Jan 09, 2023 269   Howard W 82-73 55%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +0.7 -2.9 +2.7
  Jan 14, 2023 356   Delaware St. W 68-66 83%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -15.3 -6.8 -8.3
  Jan 21, 2023 355   @ South Carolina St. W 76-70 68%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -5.6 -9.8 +3.8
  Jan 23, 2023 254   @ NC Central W 59-58 32%     8 - 8 4 - 1 -1.1 -15.1 +14.0
  Jan 28, 2023 345   Coppin St. W 94-75 77%     9 - 8 5 - 1 +4.3 +9.1 -5.6
  Jan 30, 2023 300   @ Morgan St. W 72-58 42%     10 - 8 6 - 1 +9.1 -0.4 +9.7
  Feb 11, 2023 203   Norfolk St. L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 13, 2023 269   @ Howard L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 18, 2023 355   South Carolina St. W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 20, 2023 254   NC Central W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 25, 2023 345   @ Coppin St. W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 27, 2023 300   Morgan St. W 70-67 63%    
  Mar 02, 2023 356   @ Delaware St. W 69-64 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.5 8.7 18.4 10.6 2.4 40.6 1st
2nd 0.2 6.6 15.8 4.5 0.1 27.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.2 12.3 3.8 0.1 19.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 2.7 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 1.4 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.3 2.9 10.3 22.0 28.3 23.0 10.8 2.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 2.4    2.4
12-2 98.8% 10.6    9.4 1.3
11-3 80.2% 18.4    8.7 8.5 1.3 0.0
10-4 30.7% 8.7    1.0 3.6 3.5 0.6 0.0
9-5 2.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 40.6% 40.6 21.4 13.4 4.9 0.9 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 2.4% 16.5% 16.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.0
12-2 10.8% 11.8% 11.8% 15.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 9.5
11-3 23.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.5 0.0 0.8 0.9 21.2
10-4 28.3% 5.1% 5.1% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 26.9
9-5 22.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.6 21.3
8-6 10.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.1
7-7 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.9
6-8 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.1 94.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 16.5% 14.5 0.8 6.7 8.8 0.2
Lose Out 0.3% 0.6% 16.0 0.6