Howard
Mid-Eastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#323
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#225
Pace70.9#127
Improvement-0.2#207

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#273
First Shot-0.3#180
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#327
Layup/Dunks+3.3#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#337
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-0.3#312

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#340
First Shot-5.5#324
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#288
Layups/Dunks+0.9#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#349
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement+0.1#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 12.8% 20.4% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.8% 58.0% 46.8%
Conference Champion 5.4% 6.8% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 7.3% 10.8%
First Four2.2% 3.0% 1.6%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Away) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 49 - 910 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 17   @ Kentucky L 63-95 1%     0 - 1 -13.4 -4.4 -6.6
  Nov 11, 2022 194   @ George Washington L 75-85 14%     0 - 2 -8.4 +1.1 -9.6
  Nov 15, 2022 60   James Madison L 69-95 8%     0 - 3 -20.4 -5.1 -13.8
  Nov 18, 2022 146   Wyoming L 71-78 14%     0 - 4 -5.6 +3.9 -10.1
  Nov 19, 2022 190   Buffalo W 63-59 19%     1 - 4 +2.9 -8.3 +11.3
  Nov 21, 2022 140   Belmont L 73-96 13%     1 - 5 -21.0 -4.9 -14.7
  Nov 26, 2022 277   @ Austin Peay W 56-55 24%     2 - 5 -1.8 -13.4 +11.6
  Nov 30, 2022 65   @ Yale L 40-86 3%     2 - 6 -34.8 -20.2 -18.3
  Dec 03, 2022 334   @ Hampton L 75-76 45%    
  Dec 11, 2022 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 59-79 3%    
  Dec 13, 2022 241   Florida International L 77-80 38%    
  Dec 18, 2022 153   @ Harvard L 64-78 9%    
  Dec 21, 2022 239   Mount St. Mary's L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 29, 2022 220   La Salle L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 07, 2023 358   Delaware St. W 79-70 80%    
  Jan 09, 2023 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 14, 2023 218   @ Norfolk St. L 68-78 18%    
  Jan 21, 2023 262   Morgan St. L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 23, 2023 313   Coppin St. W 81-79 56%    
  Jan 28, 2023 269   NC Central L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 30, 2023 347   South Carolina St. W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 11, 2023 358   @ Delaware St. W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 13, 2023 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 18, 2023 313   @ Coppin St. L 78-82 35%    
  Feb 20, 2023 262   @ Morgan St. L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 25, 2023 269   @ NC Central L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 27, 2023 347   @ South Carolina St. L 77-78 50%    
  Mar 02, 2023 218   Norfolk St. L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 7.0 4.8 0.8 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.6 9.0 5.5 0.7 0.0 19.2 4th
5th 0.4 4.3 9.5 4.9 0.5 19.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 7.6 3.5 0.2 15.7 6th
7th 0.5 2.9 4.4 2.0 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.2 9.3 14.3 16.9 16.9 14.5 10.2 6.1 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 93.7% 1.0    0.8 0.2
11-3 67.5% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1
10-4 29.3% 1.8    0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0
9-5 4.8% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 14.0% 14.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 1.0% 19.6% 19.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
11-3 2.7% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.4
10-4 6.1% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 5.5
9-5 10.2% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.7
8-6 14.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 14.1
7-7 16.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.6
6-8 16.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.7
5-9 14.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-10 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-11 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
2-12 2.0% 2.0
1-13 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 97.5 0.0%