Howard
Mid-Eastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#310
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#283
Pace77.0#35
Improvement-2.4#333

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#217
First Shot+0.7#160
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#297
Layup/Dunks-0.4#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#61
Freethrows-4.3#351
Improvement-2.5#344

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#337
First Shot-5.0#318
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#291
Layups/Dunks-4.9#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#144
Freethrows-3.2#326
Improvement+0.1#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 20.5% 14.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 39.3% 47.3% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 85.2% 76.6%
Conference Champion 21.7% 24.5% 16.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.4% 3.1%
First Four17.3% 19.3% 13.8%
First Round8.5% 10.0% 5.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 64.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 412 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 213   @ Bradley W 76-64 20%     1 - 0 +12.8 +10.4 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2021 6   @ Villanova L 81-100 1%     1 - 1 +1.6 +19.6 -19.0
  Nov 20, 2021 282   @ High Point L 63-73 32%     1 - 2 -13.4 -13.4 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2021 332   William & Mary W 82-76 62%     2 - 2 -5.4 -0.1 -5.6
  Nov 26, 2021 259   Austin Peay L 67-69 51%     2 - 3 -10.4 -12.9 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2021 299   @ Mount St. Mary's L 70-72 36%     2 - 4 -6.4 +0.9 -7.4
  Dec 04, 2021 320   American W 80-76 64%    
  Dec 15, 2021 128   @ Georgetown L 73-87 10%    
  Dec 18, 2021 281   N.C. A&T L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 21, 2021 131   @ Harvard L 71-85 11%    
  Dec 23, 2021 121   @ Yale L 71-85 10%    
  Dec 30, 2021 338   @ Hampton W 78-77 55%    
  Jan 04, 2022 189   @ Penn L 73-83 18%    
  Jan 08, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 86-78 76%    
  Jan 10, 2022 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 15, 2022 250   Norfolk St. L 78-79 48%    
  Jan 17, 2022 63   Notre Dame L 71-84 12%    
  Jan 22, 2022 314   @ Morgan St. L 79-81 42%    
  Jan 24, 2022 307   @ Coppin St. L 79-82 39%    
  Jan 29, 2022 337   @ NC Central W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 31, 2022 354   @ South Carolina St. W 84-78 72%    
  Feb 12, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 89-75 89%    
  Feb 14, 2022 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 314   Morgan St. W 82-78 62%    
  Feb 21, 2022 307   Coppin St. W 82-79 60%    
  Feb 26, 2022 337   NC Central W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 28, 2022 354   South Carolina St. W 87-75 85%    
  Mar 03, 2022 250   @ Norfolk St. L 75-81 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.9 4.2 7.9 5.6 2.8 0.5 21.7 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 7.0 9.1 4.1 0.5 22.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 7.6 7.7 1.9 0.1 19.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.6 6.1 1.0 0.1 15.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.4 3.8 0.7 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.3 0.3 6.7 6th
7th 0.2 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.0 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 8th
Total 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.9 5.3 8.4 12.5 16.5 16.6 15.2 12.1 6.1 2.8 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 2.8    2.7 0.1
12-2 91.9% 5.6    4.5 1.1
11-3 65.1% 7.9    4.0 3.4 0.4
10-4 27.4% 4.2    0.9 2.1 1.1 0.1
9-5 5.3% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 21.7% 21.7 12.7 6.9 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 54.9% 54.9% 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.2
13-1 2.8% 52.2% 52.2% 15.9 0.1 1.4 1.3
12-2 6.1% 41.2% 41.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5 3.6
11-3 12.1% 30.9% 30.9% 16.0 0.0 3.7 8.3
10-4 15.2% 26.3% 26.3% 16.0 0.0 4.0 11.2
9-5 16.6% 17.8% 17.8% 16.0 2.9 13.6
8-6 16.5% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 1.9 14.6
7-7 12.5% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.9 11.6
6-8 8.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.4 8.0
5-9 5.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.2
4-10 2.9% 2.9
3-11 0.9% 0.9
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 18.0 81.8 0.0%