Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#206
Pace71.3#135
Improvement+3.8#20

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#308
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#247
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#320
Freethrows+2.3#60
Improvement-0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#176
First Shot+2.4#104
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#335
Layups/Dunks-2.5#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#71
Freethrows-0.7#233
Improvement+3.9#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.0% 41.8% 33.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.4 15.9
.500 or above 93.0% 99.0% 92.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.2% 98.5% 96.0%
Conference Champion 43.4% 53.4% 42.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four21.3% 14.1% 21.7%
First Round23.0% 35.0% 22.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 31 - 12 - 4
Quad 416 - 718 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 46 Missouri L 67-88 11%     0 - 1 -13.1 -6.2 -6.3
  Sun, Nov 9 241 Grambling St. L 70-73 58%     0 - 2 -10.6 +0.6 -11.4
  Thu, Nov 13 339 Alcorn St. W 72-64 79%     1 - 2 -6.0 -3.7 -2.0
  Wed, Nov 19 345 @Stetson L 60-64 62%     1 - 3 -12.7 -15.4 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 22 353 Niagara W 80-70 77%     2 - 3 -3.2 -3.9 +0.0
  Sun, Nov 23 4 @Duke L 56-93 1%     2 - 4 -12.2 -4.8 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 46%     2 - 5 -8.5 +0.4 -8.8
  Tue, Dec 9 302 N.C. A&T W 73-69 58%     3 - 5 -3.7 -0.6 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 13 236 Hampton W 61-57 46%     4 - 5 -0.5 -11.7 +11.4
  Tue, Dec 16 273 @Drexel W 74-66 40%     5 - 5 +5.1 +3.6 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 20 120 @UNC Wilmington W 67-66 14%     6 - 5 +6.9 -1.4 +8.3
  Tue, Dec 30 60 @Northwestern L 64-81 5%    
  Sat, Jan 3 357 @South Carolina St. W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-64 63%    
  Mon, Jan 12 348 Delaware St. W 73-64 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 349 @NC Central W 71-67 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 360 Morgan St. W 82-69 88%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 78-67 84%    
  Sat, Jan 31 229 Norfolk St. W 70-68 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 357 South Carolina St. W 79-67 87%    
  Mon, Feb 9 76 Yale L 71-81 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-61 80%    
  Mon, Feb 16 348 @Delaware St. W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 NC Central W 74-64 81%    
  Sat, Feb 28 360 @Morgan St. W 79-72 72%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 81-64 93%    
  Thu, Mar 5 229 @Norfolk St. L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 5.3 12.1 14.2 8.3 2.5 43.4 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 8.7 12.8 7.6 1.9 33.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 5.1 5.2 1.3 0.1 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 5.4 9.5 15.2 19.3 19.8 16.1 8.3 2.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.5    2.5
13-1 100.0% 8.3    7.9 0.4
12-2 88.1% 14.2    11.0 3.2 0.0
11-3 61.3% 12.1    6.8 4.9 0.4 0.0
10-4 27.2% 5.3    1.7 2.6 0.9 0.0
9-5 6.2% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 43.4% 43.4 29.9 11.5 1.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.5% 62.1% 62.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 1.0
13-1 8.3% 54.5% 54.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.7 3.8
12-2 16.1% 47.9% 47.9% 15.8 0.0 1.1 6.6 8.4
11-3 19.8% 39.5% 39.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 7.4 12.0
10-4 19.3% 30.2% 30.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.7 13.5
9-5 15.2% 24.0% 24.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6 11.5
8-6 9.5% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7 7.8
7-7 5.4% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.7 4.6
6-8 2.5% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.3 2.3
5-9 0.9% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.1 0.9
4-10 0.3% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-11 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 34.0% 34.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.0 29.3 66.0 0.0%