Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.2 #357
Expected Predictive Rating -19.2 #359
Pace 68.7 #185
Improvement -0.5 #210

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #364 F F+ D- D+ F+
Defense #240 D D+ B- C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #249 0.90 #363 -6.0 #347
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #9 0.64 #331 +3.1 #48
Three Pointers 30% #352 0.85 #343 -8.0 #360
1st FG Attempt 0.80 #365 -11.0 #365
Freethrows 0.28 #259 69% #285 0.19 #278
Second Chance 25.0% #324 0.76 #365 0.19 #363
Turnovers 19.3% #336
Total Offense -12.2 #364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #117 1.36 #361 -5.5 #347
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #329 0.72 #123 +2.3 #31
Three Pointers 44% #96 1.02 #198 -1.6 #259
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #322 -4.9 #320
Freethrows 0.32 #244 71% #104 0.23 #216
Second Chance 30.6% #180 1.17 #323 0.36 #277
Turnovers 18.5% #69
Total Defense -2.0 #240

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.7% #352 1.7% #328
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -18.5% #365 7.8% #319
Possession Length 19.4 #342 15.1 #3
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #134 0.19 #247
Improvement -1.0 #234 +0.5 #161

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.6% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 3.8% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 50.7% 38.1% 62.5%
First Four3.8% 4.6% 3.1%
First Round1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 46 - 146 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 147 @Temple L 65 - 83 6% -9  0 - 1 -14 -4 B- F F -11 F D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 76 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 2% -23  0 - 2 -29 -26 F F+ D- -3 F+ D+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 349 @Niagara L 57 - 68 32% -8  0 - 3 -20 -10 F D- B- -13 F A D-
 Sat, Nov 15 333 @New Haven L 52 - 65 27% -7  0 - 4 -21 -19 F F C -3 D- C- A
 Sun, Nov 23 40 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0 - 5 -40 -24 F F F -15 F C- C
 Sat, Nov 29 258 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 14% -8  0 - 6 -16 -15 F F+ C- -2 D- B- B
 Wed, Dec 3 178 Navy L 59 - 66 18% -9  0 - 7 -11 -14 F D- A+ +3 A- F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 278 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 33% +1  1 - 7 -7 -8 C- D F +1 C C- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 257 @Longwood W 81 - 76 14% +5  2 - 7 +3 +11 A+ F A- -8 F+ C B+
 Thu, Dec 18 139 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 5% -12  2 - 8 -12 -15 F D F +3 C D+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 119 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 4% -9  2 - 9 -9 -18 F D- F +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 80% +1  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -29 F F F +4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 298 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 37% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -13 -13 D+ C F +0 F+ B A+
 Mon, Jan 12 276 @Howard L 58 - 84 16% -14  2 - 12 0 - 3 -29 -7 F D+ F -25 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 61% -5  2 - 13 0 - 4 -18 -6 F F C- -12 F C+ D
 Mon, Jan 26 359 @South Carolina St. L 64 - 70 41% -6  2 - 14 0 - 5 -18 -13 F F C- -5 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 332 Maryland Eastern Shore L 62 - 63 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 71 - 68 61%
 Sat, Feb 14 298 @Norfolk St. L 63 - 72 18%
 Mon, Feb 16 276 Howard L 65 - 70 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 356 @Morgan St. L 70 - 73 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 343 NC Central W 69 - 68 52%
 Mon, Mar 2 359 South Carolina St. W 71 - 67 64%
 Thu, Mar 5 332 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 59 - 66 28%
Totals 5 - 19 3 - 10 -14 -12 F F+ D- -2 D D+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.5 3rd
4th 0.4 0.9 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.6 2.7 0.5 3.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 6.5 3.0 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.3 5.8 16.4 19.0 7.8 0.5 49.8 7th
8th 1.6 7.3 12.9 8.5 2.2 0.1 32.6 8th
Total 1.6 7.5 18.7 24.9 23.3 15.1 6.7 1.8 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.2% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
7-7 1.8% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.2 1.6
6-8 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.5 6.2
5-9 15.1% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.8 14.3
4-10 23.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 1.1 22.2
3-11 24.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.7 24.3
2-12 18.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 18.4
1-13 7.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.4
0-14 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%