Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.5#356
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#343
Pace66.8#224
Improvement+0.8#91

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#346
First Shot-8.7#356
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#74
Layup/Dunks-5.7#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#328
Freethrows-2.6#343
Improvement+0.2#149

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#352
First Shot-4.8#320
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#349
Layups/Dunks+1.6#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#357
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement+0.6#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.5% 45.2% 14.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 0.8% 4.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Neutral) - 25.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 46 - 116 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 49   @ Virginia Tech L 57-95 1%     0 - 1 -25.3 -9.9 -15.8
  Nov 14, 2022 62   @ Villanova L 50-60 2%     0 - 2 +1.2 -7.5 +6.5
  Nov 16, 2022 346   @ Columbia L 65-70 31%     0 - 3 -14.3 -12.3 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2022 6   @ Connecticut L 60-95 0.5%    0 - 4 -15.0 -6.8 -6.2
  Nov 26, 2022 70   @ Liberty L 53-80 2%     0 - 5 -16.1 -9.3 -8.8
  Nov 30, 2022 349   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 73-81 32%     0 - 6 -17.7 -5.2 -12.3
  Dec 03, 2022 181   Longwood L 49-75 15%     0 - 7 -29.2 -20.9 -10.3
  Dec 07, 2022 206   @ Delaware L 69-77 8%     0 - 8 -7.1 +0.0 -7.5
  Dec 17, 2022 202   @ Drexel L 52-85 8%     0 - 9 -31.9 -16.8 -16.5
  Dec 20, 2022 284   Wagner L 51-58 31%     0 - 10 -16.3 -18.4 +1.3
  Dec 29, 2022 45   @ Penn St. L 46-60 1%     0 - 11 -0.8 -18.7 +17.0
  Jan 07, 2023 269   @ Howard L 64-84 14%     0 - 12 0 - 1 -22.8 -10.4 -12.4
  Jan 09, 2023 203   Norfolk St. L 65-78 17%     0 - 13 0 - 2 -17.4 -6.3 -12.4
  Jan 14, 2023 292   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 66-68 17%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -6.2 +1.1 -7.5
  Jan 21, 2023 254   @ NC Central L 55-74 13%     0 - 15 0 - 4 -21.1 -15.7 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2023 355   @ South Carolina St. W 88-85 OT 39%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -8.6 -1.6 -7.3
  Jan 28, 2023 300   Morgan St. W 64-62 34%     2 - 15 2 - 4 -8.4 -6.8 -1.5
  Jan 30, 2023 345   @ Coppin St. W 71-66 31%     3 - 15 3 - 4 -4.3 -6.9 +2.7
  Feb 04, 2023 300   Morgan St. L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 07, 2023 317   Chicago St. L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 11, 2023 269   Howard L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 13, 2023 203   @ Norfolk St. L 62-78 7%    
  Feb 18, 2023 254   NC Central L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 20, 2023 355   South Carolina St. W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 25, 2023 300   @ Morgan St. L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 27, 2023 345   Coppin St. W 76-75 52%    
  Mar 02, 2023 292   Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-69 34%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 6 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 3.3 0.2 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 7.2 8.3 1.1 0.0 18.2 5th
6th 1.5 13.6 25.4 18.2 3.4 0.0 62.2 6th
7th 3.0 4.6 1.2 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.6 0.1 0.8 8th
Total 5.1 18.5 28.2 25.8 14.9 5.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-4 47.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0% 0.0
10-4 0.2% 0.2
9-5 1.5% 1.5
8-6 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
7-7 14.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.9
6-8 25.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.8
5-9 28.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.2
4-10 18.5% 18.5
3-11 5.1% 5.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.5%