Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-19.1#356
Expected Predictive Rating-19.3#352
Pace75.7#46
Improvement-1.9#315

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#347
First Shot-8.5#350
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#166
Layup/Dunks-2.3#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#357
Freethrows-3.1#333
Improvement+0.9#84

Defense
Total Defense-10.8#356
First Shot-6.7#339
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#344
Layups/Dunks-2.5#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#355
Freethrows+1.9#74
Improvement-2.8#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 2.8% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 8.7% 17.6% 8.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 54.8% 42.6% 55.6%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Home) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 44 - 144 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 266   @ Rider L 53-63 7%     0 - 1 -12.9 -24.5 +12.5
  Nov 20, 2021 283   UNC Wilmington L 63-67 18%     0 - 2 -13.4 -5.4 -8.6
  Nov 27, 2021 276   @ LIU Brooklyn L 65-99 8%     0 - 3 -37.2 -12.1 -23.0
  Dec 02, 2021 161   Delaware L 69-86 7%    
  Dec 04, 2021 210   @ Longwood L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 06, 2021 171   @ Liberty L 57-79 2%    
  Dec 11, 2021 331   St. Francis Brooklyn L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 20, 2021 156   @ Wagner L 61-84 2%    
  Dec 22, 2021 150   @ Temple L 63-86 1%    
  Dec 29, 2021 67   @ Penn St. L 54-83 0.4%   
  Jan 08, 2022 310   Howard L 78-86 24%    
  Jan 10, 2022 250   @ Norfolk St. L 68-85 6%    
  Jan 15, 2022 341   Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 22, 2022 337   NC Central L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 24, 2022 354   South Carolina St. W 80-79 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 314   @ Morgan St. L 72-85 12%    
  Jan 31, 2022 307   Coppin St. L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 310   @ Howard L 75-89 11%    
  Feb 14, 2022 250   Norfolk St. L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 19, 2022 337   @ NC Central L 69-79 20%    
  Feb 21, 2022 354   @ South Carolina St. L 77-82 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 314   Morgan St. L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 28, 2022 307   @ Coppin St. L 71-85 11%    
  Mar 03, 2022 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 66-75 22%    
Projected Record 4 - 20 3 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 2.4 0.8 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 3.7 1.4 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.8 6.6 2.2 0.1 15.0 6th
7th 0.4 4.9 11.2 8.4 2.5 0.1 27.5 7th
8th 5.8 12.7 13.5 6.9 1.6 0.0 40.5 8th
Total 5.8 13.1 18.4 19.4 15.0 12.1 7.6 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
11-3 83.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 23.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 11.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.1% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 0.4% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-5 1.1% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.1 1.0
8-6 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 2.4
7-7 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.5
6-8 7.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.5
5-9 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-10 15.0% 15.0
3-11 19.4% 19.4
2-12 18.4% 18.4
1-13 13.1% 13.1
0-14 5.8% 5.8
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3%