Stanford
Men -
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
7 |
Sean McGorty |
JR |
31:03 |
8 |
Jim Rosa |
SR |
31:03 |
12 |
Grant Fisher |
FR |
31:10 |
44 |
Joe Rosa |
SR |
31:29 |
69 |
Garrett Sweatt |
JR |
31:39 |
148 |
Cameron Miller |
JR |
32:02 |
215 |
Jack Keelan |
SO |
32:19 |
391 |
Sam Wharton |
SO |
32:46 |
447 |
Steven Fahy |
FR |
32:53 |
453 |
John Bordoni |
JR |
32:53 |
640 |
Thomas Coyle |
SO |
33:14 |
674 |
Patrick Perrier |
FR |
33:18 |
1,017 |
Collin Leibold |
SR |
33:49 |
|
National Rank |
#2 of 308 |
West Region Rank |
#1 of 32 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
99.7% |
Most Likely Finish |
2nd at Nationals |
National Champion |
24.3% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
92.6% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
99.2% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
99.7% |
Regional Champion |
75.1% |
Top 5 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Sean McGorty |
Jim Rosa |
Grant Fisher |
Joe Rosa |
Garrett Sweatt |
Cameron Miller |
Jack Keelan |
Sam Wharton |
Steven Fahy |
John Bordoni |
Thomas Coyle |
Stanford Invitational |
09/26 |
787 |
31:12 |
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32:26 |
33:17 |
32:52 |
Washington Invitational |
10/02 |
471 |
|
|
|
31:33 |
31:42 |
31:57 |
31:35 |
|
32:25 |
32:36 |
|
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/16 |
666 |
31:11 |
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|
|
31:37 |
|
32:16 |
33:12 |
33:24 |
32:54 |
|
Pac 12 Championships |
10/30 |
256 |
31:00 |
31:45 |
31:20 |
31:13 |
31:38 |
32:10 |
|
32:39 |
33:45 |
|
33:26 |
West Region Championships |
11/13 |
371 |
31:27 |
31:27 |
|
31:27 |
31:47 |
|
|
32:10 |
32:45 |
|
33:25 |
NCAA Championship |
11/21 |
185 |
30:44 |
30:43 |
30:58 |
31:48 |
31:33 |
|
33:39 |
33:06 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
99.7% |
2.8 |
152 |
24.3 |
28.7 |
21.7 |
11.7 |
6.1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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Region Championship |
100% |
1.3 |
44 |
75.1 |
21.5 |
2.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sean McGorty |
100.0% |
11.5 |
0.1 |
1.2 |
4.9 |
6.5 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
Jim Rosa |
100.0% |
11.5 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
5.3 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
Grant Fisher |
99.9% |
18.1 |
|
0.3 |
1.4 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
Joe Rosa |
99.8% |
46.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
Garrett Sweatt |
99.7% |
64.9 |
|
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
Cameron Miller |
99.7% |
119.3 |
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0.0 |
Jack Keelan |
99.7% |
159.3 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sean McGorty |
2.8 |
0.5 |
33.0 |
21.8 |
11.3 |
6.9 |
5.7 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Jim Rosa |
2.8 |
0.5 |
32.4 |
22.0 |
12.1 |
7.3 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
Grant Fisher |
3.9 |
0.1 |
15.6 |
20.2 |
15.9 |
9.7 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
Joe Rosa |
9.3 |
|
0.3 |
2.1 |
7.1 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
7.9 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
Garrett Sweatt |
13.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
Cameron Miller |
28.2 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
Jack Keelan |
42.3 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
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|
Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
75.1% |
100.0% |
75.1 |
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75.1 |
|
1 |
2 |
21.5% |
100.0% |
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21.5 |
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21.5 |
|
2 |
3 |
2.9% |
93.1% |
| |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
2.7 |
3 |
4 |
0.4% |
88.9% |
| |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.3 |
4 |
5 |
0.2% |
87.5% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.1 |
5 |
6 |
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6 |
7 |
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7 |
8 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
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Total |
100% |
99.7% |
75.1 |
21.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
96.6 |
3.1 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.