UCLA
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
27  Lane Werley SR 31:22
102  Sergey Sushchickh SR 31:51
184  Jonah Diaz JR 32:12
207  Myles Smith SO 32:17
211  Nick Hartle SR 32:18
252  Austin O'Neil JR 32:25
329  Ferdinand Edman JR 32:37
360  Sean Davis JR 32:41
459  Jackson Marshall FR 32:54
547  Richard Ho SO 33:04
701  Maxwell Davis SO 33:20
711  Sahm Bazargan FR 33:21
936  Nolan Dickson JR 33:41
1,185  Daniel De La Torre SO 34:03
National Rank #19 of 308
West Region Rank #4 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 69.6%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 12.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 51.4%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 61.9%
Top 10 in Regional 99.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Lane Werley Sergey Sushchickh Jonah Diaz Myles Smith Nick Hartle Austin O'Neil Ferdinand Edman Sean Davis Jackson Marshall Richard Ho Maxwell Davis
Washington Invitational 10/02 622 31:34 31:48 32:27 32:25 32:43 32:17 32:33 33:08 33:08 33:06
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 583 31:29 32:04 32:09 32:13 32:31 32:14 33:03
Titan Invitational 10/23 1127 32:38 34:19
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 528 31:07 31:54 32:12 32:19 31:58 32:36 33:01
West Region Championships 11/13 557 31:40 31:31 32:12 32:10 32:47 32:23 32:49
NCAA Championship 11/21 530 31:04 32:00 32:02 32:18 32:04 32:38 32:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 69.6% 16.5 437 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.3 3.8 4.0 4.4 4.3 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.2 148 0.1 1.7 13.3 23.7 23.0 17.8 11.4 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane Werley 95.7% 34.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.5
Sergey Sushchickh 71.6% 86.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Jonah Diaz 69.6% 136.6
Myles Smith 69.6% 147.9
Nick Hartle 69.6% 151.4
Austin O'Neil 69.6% 165.9
Ferdinand Edman 69.6% 189.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane Werley 7.0 0.1 5.5 8.4 9.9 10.4 8.5 7.1 6.0 5.5 4.7 4.1 3.4 2.7 2.6 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.8 1.0
Sergey Sushchickh 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.3 3.6 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.4 2.8 2.8
Jonah Diaz 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.1
Myles Smith 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.6
Nick Hartle 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.8
Austin O'Neil 47.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.5
Ferdinand Edman 58.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 1.7% 100.0% 1.7 1.7 2
3 13.3% 99.9% 1.0 1.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.3 3
4 23.7% 98.7% 1.1 1.5 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.2 0.3 23.4 4
5 23.0% 84.1% 0.6 0.9 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.6 2.0 3.7 19.4 5
6 17.8% 57.1% 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.2 7.6 10.2 6
7 11.4% 12.6% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 10.0 1.4 7
8 5.7% 1.4% 0.1 5.6 0.1 8
9 2.3% 2.3 9
10 0.6% 0.6 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 69.6% 0.1 1.7 1.0 2.4 4.1 5.3 6.7 7.6 7.3 7.0 6.0 5.9 5.3 4.0 5.2 30.4 1.8 67.8




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Washington 77.6% 2.0 1.6
Columbia 70.8% 1.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 57.0% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Air Force 40.3% 1.0 0.4
California 23.4% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 2.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 2.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 9.2
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 15.0