Utah State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
19  Dillon Maggard SR 31:08
231  James Withers SO 32:15
277  Luke Beattie SO 32:23
315  J.D. Thorne SO 32:29
381  Adam Hendrickson SO 32:36
501  Brody Smith FR 32:50
520  Darren Harman SO 32:52
782  Spencer Fehlberg SR 33:21
799  Kody Gould JR 33:22
994  Coen Haroldson FR 33:38
National Rank #32 of 315
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 50.7%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 6.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dillon Maggard James Withers Luke Beattie J.D. Thorne Adam Hendrickson Brody Smith Darren Harman Spencer Fehlberg Kody Gould Coen Haroldson
Paul Short Gold 09/29 621 31:20 32:10 32:05 32:25 32:26 33:16
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 32:36 32:54 33:37
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 670 30:59 32:04 32:27 32:37 32:41 34:21 32:49
Mountain West Championship 10/27 646 31:16 32:07 32:22 32:22 32:39 32:27 32:30 33:48 33:28
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 676 31:14 32:11 32:23 32:32 32:32 32:52 33:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 50.7% 25.1 622 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.6 2.9 3.8 4.4 5.1 4.9 5.2 6.0 4.5 3.9 1.6
Region Championship 100% 7.1 196 0.1 1.4 12.1 63.1 20.0 3.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dillon Maggard 96.1% 19.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.6 3.2 3.9 3.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.3 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.9
James Withers 51.3% 158.2
Luke Beattie 50.7% 175.4
J.D. Thorne 50.8% 190.0
Adam Hendrickson 50.7% 203.6
Brody Smith 50.7% 222.5
Darren Harman 50.7% 226.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dillon Maggard 7.5 2.4 5.2 6.9 7.8 7.3 9.1 8.2 6.8 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.2 0.9
James Withers 40.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.7
Luke Beattie 43.8 0.1 0.1 0.1
J.D. Thorne 47.6 0.1
Adam Hendrickson 52.2
Brody Smith 60.2
Darren Harman 60.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 4
5 1.4% 100.0% 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 5
6 12.1% 95.0% 3.6 2.9 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 11.5 6
7 63.1% 46.9% 2.4 5.3 8.2 3.7 2.4 1.7 1.5 1.0 3.6 33.5 29.6 7
8 20.0% 40.8% 0.9 1.2 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 11.9 8.2 8
9 3.3% 3.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 50.7% 0.5 3.9 5.6 8.9 10.3 6.4 4.1 2.7 2.2 1.9 4.5 49.3 0.0 50.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Navy 32.9% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 31.5% 2.0 0.6
Villanova 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Campbell 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Army West Point 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 3.4
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 8.0