Washington
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
46  Andrew Gardner SR 31:29
103  Colby Gilbert SR 31:47
133  Talon Hull FR 31:55
161  Andy Snyder SO 32:02
202  Johnathan Stevens SR 32:10
204  Mahmoud Moussa JR 32:10
255  Tibebu Proctor FR 32:19
304  Gavin Parpart FR 32:27
634  Charlie Barringer SO 33:05
788  Nathaniel Beamer FR 33:21
National Rank #18 of 315
West Region Rank #5 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 83.3%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 72.0%


Regional Champion 0.7%
Top 5 in Regional 62.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andrew Gardner Colby Gilbert Talon Hull Andy Snyder Johnathan Stevens Mahmoud Moussa Tibebu Proctor Gavin Parpart Charlie Barringer Nathaniel Beamer
Sundodger Invitational 09/16 929 33:00 32:19 32:37 33:02 33:19
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 607 31:31 32:13 32:04 32:11 32:51 32:23 32:56
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 473 31:29 31:58 32:01 32:24 32:40 31:13 32:55 32:28 33:19 33:23
West Region Championships 11/10 266 31:21 31:20 31:50 31:22 31:48 31:31 31:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 83.3% 14.8 412 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.5 3.9 4.9 6.0 5.7 5.9 5.6 6.6 5.7 5.0 5.7 4.1 4.0 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 5.1 141 0.7 4.4 12.1 19.0 26.4 17.8 11.7 6.2 1.4 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Gardner 91.9% 48.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.5
Colby Gilbert 85.3% 88.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Talon Hull 83.8% 109.0 0.1
Andy Snyder 83.4% 124.4
Johnathan Stevens 83.4% 147.3
Mahmoud Moussa 83.3% 147.5
Tibebu Proctor 83.3% 170.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Gardner 11.8 0.9 2.5 3.8 5.3 5.3 6.2 5.5 5.3 4.5 3.7 4.3 3.6 4.0 3.4 3.5 2.3 2.3 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.8 2.4 1.5 1.8 2.0
Colby Gilbert 24.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.4 2.3 2.1 2.7 2.5 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.3 2.8 3.1 2.5 3.0
Talon Hull 29.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.1 2.4 1.9 2.3 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.6 3.3 2.9
Andy Snyder 34.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.1 2.0 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.8 3.0 2.4
Johnathan Stevens 42.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.7 1.7
Mahmoud Moussa 41.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.8
Tibebu Proctor 48.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 1
2 4.4% 100.0% 4.4 4.4 2
3 12.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.3 12.1 3
4 19.0% 99.2% 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.7 4.1 4.9 2.6 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 18.8 4
5 26.4% 97.3% 1.0 3.1 5.0 5.3 5.3 3.6 2.5 0.7 25.7 5
6 17.8% 80.6% 0.4 1.2 1.6 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.5 14.4 6
7 11.7% 52.8% 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.0 5.5 6.2 7
8 6.2% 16.9% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.2 1.1 8
9 1.4% 7.4% 0.1 1.3 0.1 9
10 0.5% 0.5 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 83.3% 0.7 4.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.9 6.2 10.1 13.4 11.3 12.4 10.5 10.7 16.7 5.1 78.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.9
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 11.0