Georgetown
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
118  Haley Pierce JR 20:05
152  Andrea Keklak SR 20:11
158  Audrey Belf FR 20:12
270  Kennedy Weisner SO 20:30
291  Autumn Eastman SO 20:34
408  Piper Donaghu SO 20:46
421  Heather Martin JR 20:47
National Rank #25 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #3 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 89.2%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 34.0%


Regional Champion 16.6%
Top 5 in Regional 98.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Haley Pierce Andrea Keklak Audrey Belf Kennedy Weisner Autumn Eastman Piper Donaghu Heather Martin
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 676 20:19 20:51 20:32 20:25 20:45
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/02 21:45
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 699 20:39 20:03 20:14 20:56 20:39 20:32
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 637 20:15 20:09 20:21 20:59 20:12 20:54 20:49
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 528 20:07 20:05 20:11 20:09 20:27 21:54 20:41
NCAA Championship 11/21 612 19:52 20:29 20:07 20:17 21:21 20:47 21:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 89.2% 21.8 536 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.2 4.2 4.4 5.1 5.0 5.4 5.2 5.6 5.3 5.9 6.2 5.6 5.2 4.6 1.2
Region Championship 100% 2.6 89 16.6 33.7 32.1 11.7 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Pierce 91.2% 102.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
Andrea Keklak 90.2% 121.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Audrey Belf 90.2% 122.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kennedy Weisner 89.2% 173.3
Autumn Eastman 89.2% 182.6
Piper Donaghu 89.2% 209.1
Heather Martin 89.2% 210.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Pierce 9.8 1.5 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.0 6.2 6.6 6.5 7.2 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.0 4.9 5.1 4.2 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5
Andrea Keklak 12.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.9 3.1 3.7 3.9 5.3 5.3 6.0 7.0 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.2 5.3 4.6 4.0 3.7 3.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.4
Audrey Belf 12.8 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.8 4.5 4.6 5.3 6.0 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.3 5.7 5.5 4.9 4.3 3.5 3.3 2.7 2.2 2.0 1.3 1.3
Kennedy Weisner 23.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.2 4.5 4.3 3.6
Autumn Eastman 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.6 1.5 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.1 4.5
Piper Donaghu 37.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.3
Heather Martin 37.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.5 2.0 1.7 2.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 16.6% 100.0% 16.6 16.6 1
2 33.7% 100.0% 33.7 33.7 2
3 32.1% 86.7% 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.1 3.9 4.0 3.5 2.3 2.3 1.7 2.1 1.8 4.3 27.8 3
4 11.7% 77.4% 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.9 2.6 9.0 4
5 4.4% 43.9% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 2.5 1.9 5
6 1.5% 12.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.2 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 89.2% 16.6 33.7 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.6 4.6 5.2 4.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.1 10.8 50.3 38.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Purdue 53.2% 2.0 1.1
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Weber State 40.5% 1.0 0.4
Villanova 30.4% 2.0 0.6
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Lipscomb 6.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 2.0 0.1
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 3.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 10.0