North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
49  Ryen Frazier FR 19:48
63  Rachel Koon FR 19:53
65  Erika Kemp JR 19:54
86  Samantha George SR 19:59
120  Megan Moye JR 20:05
186  Kaitlyn Kramer JR 20:17
256  Alyssa Rudaswky SO 20:28
285  Bianca Bishop SO 20:33
334  Sarah Kanney FR 20:39
664  Alexa Harvey SR 21:09
849  Rachel Bartolomeo FR 21:24
National Rank #6 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #2 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Nationals


National Champion 1.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 35.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 67.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 96.5%


Regional Champion 41.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryen Frazier Rachel Koon Erika Kemp Samantha George Megan Moye Kaitlyn Kramer Alyssa Rudaswky Bianca Bishop Sarah Kanney Alexa Harvey Rachel Bartolomeo
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 333 19:19 20:02 19:50 19:54 20:18 20:33 20:35 20:33
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 359 19:52 20:11 20:09 19:27 20:01 20:16 20:33
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16 21:10 21:06
ACC Championships 10/30 333 19:40 19:42 20:02 20:11 20:10 19:59 20:32 20:34 20:57 21:40
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 387 20:04 19:42 19:45 20:52 19:58 20:30 20:27
NCAA Championship 11/21 352 20:08 19:51 19:49 19:54 20:03 20:16 20:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 8.6 293 1.1 8.6 9.1 8.4 8.6 7.5 6.8 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.2 4.3 4.2 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.6 70 41.5 55.1 3.0 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryen Frazier 100% 55.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Rachel Koon 100% 68.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5
Erika Kemp 100% 73.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4
Samantha George 100% 84.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Megan Moye 100% 107.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Kaitlyn Kramer 100% 142.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Rudaswky 100% 171.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryen Frazier 9.6 1.7 2.8 3.5 4.5 5.3 6.3 7.0 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.2 6.7 6.3 4.9 4.5 3.6 3.4 2.5 1.7 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4
Rachel Koon 11.8 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.5 3.6 5.3 5.6 6.2 6.5 6.9 7.2 6.7 6.0 6.0 5.5 4.7 4.1 3.4 2.9 2.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.9
Erika Kemp 12.6 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.9 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.8 5.2 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.6 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.1 3.9 3.4 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.8
Samantha George 14.8 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.5 3.4 3.7 4.5 5.1 6.0 6.7 6.5 6.4 7.0 6.5 5.6 5.1 4.7 3.2 2.9 2.1 2.2 1.8
Megan Moye 18.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.7 2.9 3.9 4.7 5.3 5.1 5.9 6.1 6.7 6.1 5.9 5.2 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.4
Kaitlyn Kramer 24.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.4 5.0 5.5 4.8 5.4 4.9 4.9
Alyssa Rudaswky 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 41.5% 100.0% 41.5 41.5 1
2 55.1% 100.0% 55.1 55.1 2
3 3.0% 100.0% 2.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 3
4 0.4% 100.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 4
5 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 100.0% 41.5 55.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.6 3.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Washington 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 99.1% 3.0 3.0
Syracuse 96.5% 2.0 1.9
Princeton 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 94.1% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 93.0% 1.0 0.9
Vanderbilt 92.1% 2.0 1.8
BYU 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Utah 63.8% 1.0 0.6
Purdue 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 2.0 0.8
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 2.0 0.4
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 2.0 0.2
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 2.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Penn 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 19.4
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 27.0