UCLA
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
73  Claire Markey FR 19:55
114  Carolina Johnson SO 20:05
159  Julia Rizk SO 20:12
239  Cassandra Durgy FR 20:24
296  Sophie Baird FR 20:33
389  Emily Scharmann JR 20:44
390  Jackie Garner FR 20:44
458  Veronica Yamane JR 20:51
778  Taylor Taite SO 21:17
1,296  Emily Fieberling JR 21:50
1,731  Rebecca Alch FR 22:17
1,932  Jessica Cushing-Murray JR 22:29
3,282  Sarah Riggs FR 25:20
National Rank #22 of 344
West Region Rank #7 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 68.6%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 9.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 37.5%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 20.1%
Top 10 in Regional 99.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Claire Markey Carolina Johnson Julia Rizk Cassandra Durgy Sophie Baird Emily Scharmann Jackie Garner Veronica Yamane Taylor Taite Emily Fieberling Rebecca Alch
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 513 19:55 19:55 20:16 20:29 20:12 20:54 20:43 21:31 21:36
Mustang Challenge 10/01 22:25
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 575 19:50 20:13 20:13 20:21 20:45 20:38 21:12
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/15 20:49 21:34 22:13
Pac-12 Conference 10/28 713 20:14 20:10 20:37 20:27 20:47 20:46 21:10 22:33
West Region Championships 11/11 536 20:03 19:50 20:06 20:25 20:58 20:42 20:37





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 68.6% 19.0 478 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.3 2.4 2.2 1.6 2.4 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.8 3.1 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 1.2
Region Championship 100% 6.8 197 0.2 1.4 1.7 5.5 11.5 21.9 23.2 22.2 9.8 2.3 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Claire Markey 71.6% 70.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4
Carolina Johnson 69.0% 96.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Julia Rizk 68.8% 116.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cassandra Durgy 68.6% 157.1
Sophie Baird 68.6% 182.4
Emily Scharmann 68.6% 205.3
Jackie Garner 68.6% 206.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Claire Markey 22.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.7 3.7 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.8 3.2 3.6 4.1 2.8
Carolina Johnson 30.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.8 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.6 3.4 2.4 2.8 3.1
Julia Rizk 37.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.3
Cassandra Durgy 48.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8
Sophie Baird 58.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Emily Scharmann 69.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Jackie Garner 69.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 2
3 1.7% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.7 3
4 5.5% 97.2% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 5.3 4
5 11.5% 98.3% 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.3 1.5 2.4 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 11.3 5
6 21.9% 90.4% 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.1 2.5 2.1 19.8 6
7 23.2% 74.7% 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.3 3.3 3.9 4.2 3.4 5.9 17.3 7
8 22.2% 49.1% 0.1 0.5 0.5 2.3 2.9 4.7 11.3 10.9 8
9 9.8% 9.2% 0.1 0.2 0.7 8.9 0.9 9
10 2.3% 2.3 10
11 0.5% 0.5 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 68.6% 0.2 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.9 8.6 10.2 12.5 11.6 11.6 31.4 1.6 67.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
Minnesota 31.9% 2.0 0.6
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 5.5
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 10.0