UCLA
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
18  Ferdinand Edman SR 31:18
57  Jonah Diaz SR 31:36
72  Collin Burke FR 31:43
104  Austin O'Neil SR 31:50
163  Garrett Reynolds FR 32:05
246  Myles Smith JR 32:21
281  Daniel De La Torre JR 32:26
300  Jackson Marshall SO 32:30
460  Millen Trujillo FR 32:51
538  Cole Smith SO 32:59
607  George Gleason FR 33:08
966  Arturo Sotomayor SO 33:41
1,115  Sahm Bazargan SO 33:55
1,236  Maxwell Davis JR 34:03
National Rank #9 of 312
West Region Rank #4 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.4%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Nationals


National Champion 0.8%
Top 5 at Nationals 11.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 49.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.6%


Regional Champion 5.9%
Top 5 in Regional 88.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ferdinand Edman Jonah Diaz Collin Burke Austin O'Neil Garrett Reynolds Myles Smith Daniel De La Torre Jackson Marshall Millen Trujillo Cole Smith George Gleason
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 470 31:18 31:42 31:47 31:57 32:24 32:58 32:36 32:22 32:40
Mustang Challenge 10/01 1188 33:09
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 387 31:00 31:27 31:47 31:57 32:04 32:16 33:54
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/15 1035 32:21 33:02 33:19 33:09
Pac-12 Conference 10/28 249 30:55 31:25 31:26 31:27 32:07 32:28 31:45 32:10 32:53 33:06
West Region Championships 11/11 417 31:23 31:33 31:53 31:47 32:05 32:13 32:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.4% 11.2 333 0.8 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.2 5.1 7.8 7.4 9.8 8.4 7.3 6.3 5.5 5.2 5.5 3.8 3.0 2.3 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.8 110 5.9 14.7 22.4 27.0 18.4 8.7 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ferdinand Edman 99.5% 24.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.7 2.4 3.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 2.2 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.4 2.3 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.3
Jonah Diaz 97.7% 57.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.2
Collin Burke 97.7% 74.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8
Austin O'Neil 97.5% 91.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2
Garrett Reynolds 97.4% 130.5 0.1
Myles Smith 97.4% 170.8
Daniel De La Torre 97.4% 179.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ferdinand Edman 6.3 0.7 7.8 10.1 11.2 10.7 7.7 6.7 5.5 4.9 4.2 2.9 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.3 1.9 1.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.6
Jonah Diaz 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 4.0 5.0 4.3 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.5 6.0 4.4 4.8 3.0 3.5 2.2 3.0 3.2 2.3 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.2
Collin Burke 19.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.4 2.8 2.7 2.8 3.9 4.4 3.4 3.8 4.8 3.6 4.1 3.0 3.4 4.0 2.9 2.9 3.6 3.0 2.5 1.9
Austin O'Neil 24.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 2.2 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.4 3.9 2.6 3.6 3.1 3.4 2.4
Garrett Reynolds 35.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 1.7 3.1 3.0 2.7
Myles Smith 48.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6
Daniel De La Torre 51.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.9% 100.0% 5.9 5.9 1
2 14.7% 100.0% 14.7 14.7 2
3 22.4% 100.0% 7.7 10.7 3.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 22.4 3
4 27.0% 99.8% 7.6 8.8 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 27.0 4
5 18.4% 97.8% 1.9 3.7 2.6 2.9 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 18.0 5
6 8.7% 92.5% 0.4 1.3 1.1 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 8.0 6
7 2.2% 67.4% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.5 7
8 0.8% 18.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 8
9 0.1% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 97.4% 5.9 14.7 7.7 18.3 14.2 7.4 5.6 4.6 4.4 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.1 2.0 2.6 20.5 76.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Portland 98.2% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 85.2% 2.0 1.7
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 2.0 1.6
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Oregon 72.7% 1.0 0.7
Southern Utah 71.5% 2.0 1.4
Tulsa 68.5% 1.0 0.7
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Navy 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 2.0 0.6
Washington 16.7% 2.0 0.3
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 2.0 0.0
California 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 17.7
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 23.0