Wisconsin
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
71  Sarah Disanza SR 19:49
89  Amy Davis JR 19:55
100  Alicia Monson SO 19:58
134  Shaelyn Sorensen JR 20:05
260  Alissa Niggemann SO 20:26
384  Erin Wagner JR 20:40
846  Rachel Fleddermann JR 21:18
932  Rachel Werking FR 21:24
National Rank #11 of 348
Great Lakes Region Rank #2 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.0%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 23.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 74.8%


Regional Champion 21.5%
Top 5 in Regional 97.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Disanza Amy Davis Alicia Monson Shaelyn Sorensen Alissa Niggemann Erin Wagner Rachel Fleddermann Rachel Werking
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 397 19:46 19:46 20:01 20:06 20:31 20:23 21:39 21:03
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 405 20:25 19:50 19:26 20:06 20:10 20:46 21:18
Big Ten Championship 10/29 360 19:39 19:58 20:01 20:08 20:02 20:46 21:12 21:49
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 401 19:43 19:52 20:13 19:53 20:20 20:33 21:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.0% 15.5 429 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.2 4.2 4.9 5.9 5.9 6.8 5.1 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.2 4.6 4.3 3.6 3.7 3.1 3.2 2.3 2.3 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.5
Region Championship 100% 2.5 95 21.5 34.2 25.5 11.2 5.3 1.5 0.8 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Disanza 97.9% 73.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9
Amy Davis 97.2% 88.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4
Alicia Monson 97.1% 98.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Shaelyn Sorensen 97.0% 116.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Alissa Niggemann 97.0% 173.6
Erin Wagner 97.0% 204.9
Rachel Fleddermann 97.1% 244.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Disanza 8.0 2.3 6.0 6.9 7.1 7.5 7.6 7.3 5.5 6.2 5.5 5.0 4.4 4.7 3.0 3.3 3.0 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6
Amy Davis 10.8 0.9 2.8 4.8 5.7 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.9 5.2 5.4 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.7 3.7 3.9 2.6 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.7 0.8
Alicia Monson 12.9 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.1 4.5 4.0 5.2 4.9 4.5 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.2 3.0 2.1 2.2 1.4
Shaelyn Sorensen 17.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.3 1.9 3.1 3.9 2.9 3.6 4.4 5.0 4.3 5.1 4.4 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.8
Alissa Niggemann 37.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.1 1.6 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.5
Erin Wagner 54.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4
Rachel Fleddermann 96.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 21.5% 100.0% 21.5 21.5 1
2 34.2% 100.0% 34.2 34.2 2
3 25.5% 100.0% 14.9 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.1 25.5 3
4 11.2% 99.6% 3.1 1.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.1 11.1 4
5 5.3% 77.1% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.2 4.1 5
6 1.5% 34.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.5 6
7 0.8% 20.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 97.0% 21.5 34.2 14.9 9.5 4.5 1.7 0.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.3 0.8 1.0 3.0 55.7 41.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 99.9% 2.0 2.0
Iowa State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Furman 97.9% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.4% 1.0 0.9
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Samford 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Iowa 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 9.9
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 15.0