America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
79 Vermont 68.3%   14   11 - 4 4 - 0 23 - 6 16 - 2 +7.2      +3.5 83 +3.7 77 65.2 283 +7.0 84 +10.6 1
224 Stony Brook 7.9%   10 - 6 3 - 1 18 - 11 11 - 6 -2.9      -0.5 193 -2.4 243 69.1 167 +2.2 137 +4.1 3
230 New Hampshire 7.1%   4 - 6 1 - 2 12 - 12 9 - 8 -3.5      -0.3 185 -3.2 279 58.0 354 -4.7 251 -6.2 7
254 Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.1%   5 - 10 1 - 4 12 - 16 8 - 10 -4.9      -2.3 239 -2.6 253 70.6 126 -7.1 281 -11.9 9
255 Albany 4.6%   7 - 10 3 - 2 13 - 17 9 - 9 -5.0      -6.2 329 +1.2 137 66.7 241 -5.0 257 -4.3 4
262 Umass Lowell 3.1%   7 - 7 2 - 3 12 - 14 7 - 10 -5.3      -4.8 304 -0.6 187 71.4 103 -3.5 230 -10.1 8
278 Hartford 2.2%   3 - 10 1 - 0 9 - 18 7 - 8 -6.7      -2.3 237 -4.4 303 69.8 144 -10.8 321 +8.7 2
305 NJIT 1.6%   7 - 8 3 - 3 12 - 15 8 - 10 -8.3      -6.3 333 -1.9 231 67.7 205 -5.3 261 -4.8 5
310 Binghamton 1.3%   4 - 8 3 - 2 8 - 16 7 - 10 -8.6      -3.4 268 -5.2 320 66.4 251 -8.7 298 -5.5 6
349 Maine 0.0%   0 - 12 0 - 4 3 - 22 3 - 14 -14.4      -9.6 352 -4.8 315 64.4 305 -23.3 356 -21.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Vermont 1.0 98.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stony Brook 3.0 1.9 51.0 20.2 11.3 6.6 4.4 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.0
New Hampshire 4.5 0.5 22.0 20.8 14.8 12.2 9.4 8.0 6.4 5.3 0.7
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.4 0.1 8.3 14.6 15.4 15.2 13.9 12.6 10.3 8.6 1.1
Albany 4.0 0.7 23.7 23.5 18.6 13.0 9.0 5.9 3.8 1.7 0.1
Umass Lowell 5.9 0.1 5.5 9.8 12.5 14.3 15.5 15.2 14.4 11.4 1.3
Hartford 6.1 0.1 5.3 10.0 12.4 13.2 13.5 13.8 14.8 14.0 2.9
NJIT 5.7 0.1 6.7 11.2 13.6 15.4 15.5 14.7 12.7 9.2 0.9
Binghamton 6.5 0.0 3.2 6.8 9.6 12.1 14.6 17.0 18.3 16.8 1.6
Maine 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 4.4 11.4 80.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vermont 16 - 2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.0 5.4 13.9 24.8 31.5 21.6
Stony Brook 11 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.8 7.5 13.0 17.3 19.5 17.4 11.9 5.7 1.7 0.3
New Hampshire 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 4.0 7.0 11.5 14.7 17.1 16.3 13.4 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.2
Maryland Baltimore Co. 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.7 6.6 11.9 16.9 19.9 17.7 12.6 7.3 2.8 0.6 0.1
Albany 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 9.1 15.4 20.2 19.4 14.8 9.6 3.9 1.3 0.2 0.0
Umass Lowell 7 - 11 0.1 1.1 4.1 9.8 15.5 20.0 19.4 15.2 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.0
Hartford 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.5 11.0 15.4 18.1 17.7 14.3 8.8 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
NJIT 8 - 10 0.6 3.0 7.7 14.3 19.7 20.9 16.3 10.1 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 7 - 11 1.0 6.0 13.5 19.9 21.7 17.4 11.4 5.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
Maine 3 - 15 8.0 19.0 23.8 21.2 14.4 8.0 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 98.9% 96.7 2.1 0.1 0.0
Stony Brook 1.9% 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 0.5% 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0
Albany 0.7% 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hartford 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0
NJIT 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 68.3% 68.2% 0.1% 14   0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.4 3.9 15.9 30.7 13.1 1.1 0.0 31.7 0.2%
Stony Brook 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.9 1.8 92.1 0.0%
New Hampshire 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.0 92.9 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.7 95.9 0.0%
Albany 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.2 95.4 0.0%
Umass Lowell 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 96.9 0.0%
Hartford 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%
NJIT 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.4 0.0%
Binghamton 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.2 98.7 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 68.3% 0.1% 68.2% 16.2% 4.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Stony Brook 7.9% 0.4% 7.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 7.1% 2.2% 6.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.1% 3.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 4.6% 3.2% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 3.1% 1.2% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 2.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 1.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 92.7% 0.9 7.3 92.6 0.0
2nd Round 16.7% 0.2 83.3 16.7
Sweet Sixteen 4.9% 0.0 95.1 4.9
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0