Stony Brook
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#224
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#137
Pace69.1#167
Improvement-0.2#187

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#193
First Shot-1.4#230
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#108
Layup/Dunks-5.6#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#65
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement-0.4#205

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#243
First Shot-1.7#241
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#237
Layups/Dunks-4.6#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
Freethrows+2.6#27
Improvement+0.2#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 9.3% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 94.9% 98.3% 91.8%
.500 or above in Conference 86.8% 94.6% 80.1%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round7.7% 9.1% 6.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Away) - 46.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 416 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 123   @ George Mason L 52-74 22%     0 - 1 -16.6 -18.4 +1.8
  Nov 18, 2021 7   @ Kansas L 59-88 3%     0 - 2 -8.6 -5.3 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2021 284   Sacred Heart W 75-72 74%     1 - 2 -6.7 -6.4 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2021 219   @ Fairfield L 78-83 OT 40%     1 - 3 -5.2 +5.6 -10.8
  Nov 28, 2021 134   @ Yale W 85-81 24%     2 - 3 +8.6 +12.4 -4.0
  Dec 01, 2021 330   American W 80-57 84%     3 - 3 +9.3 +2.3 +7.7
  Dec 04, 2021 127   Wagner L 49-78 39%     3 - 4 -29.0 -22.1 -7.7
  Dec 08, 2021 132   Hofstra W 79-62 40%     4 - 4 +16.7 +3.3 +13.4
  Dec 11, 2021 227   Bryant W 86-78 61%     5 - 4 +2.3 +8.7 -6.4
  Dec 14, 2021 343   Central Connecticut St. W 87-67 88%     6 - 4 +4.6 +4.1 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2021 205   St. Peter's W 64-63 56%     7 - 4 -3.5 -4.7 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2021 35   @ Florida L 62-87 7%     7 - 5 -11.0 -4.1 -7.0
  Jan 08, 2022 349   Maine W 80-72 90%     8 - 5 1 - 0 -8.9 -2.5 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2022 79   @ Vermont L 65-98 12%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -23.3 +3.2 -29.6
  Jan 17, 2022 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 65-51 67%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +6.6 -7.5 +15.0
  Jan 19, 2022 310   @ Binghamton W 74-71 62%     10 - 6 3 - 1 -3.1 -3.9 +0.7
  Jan 22, 2022 255   @ Albany L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 26, 2022 79   Vermont L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 29, 2022 230   @ New Hampshire L 65-67 41%    
  Feb 02, 2022 310   Binghamton W 75-67 79%    
  Feb 05, 2022 305   @ NJIT W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 07, 2022 230   New Hampshire W 68-65 63%    
  Feb 09, 2022 262   Umass Lowell W 73-68 70%    
  Feb 13, 2022 349   @ Maine W 71-62 78%    
  Feb 16, 2022 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 278   Hartford W 76-70 74%    
  Feb 23, 2022 262   @ Umass Lowell L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 26, 2022 255   Albany W 69-64 67%    
  Mar 01, 2022 305   NJIT W 72-64 78%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.9 1st
2nd 0.4 4.5 12.8 15.7 11.3 5.1 1.1 0.1 51.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.1 9.0 6.2 1.6 0.1 20.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.2 3.6 0.4 11.3 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 3.0 0.3 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.4 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.8 7.5 13.0 17.3 19.5 17.4 11.9 5.7 1.7 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 77.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 34.5% 0.6    0.2 0.4
14-4 10.0% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 3.3% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 14.9% 14.9% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.7% 18.7% 18.7% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-4 5.7% 14.2% 14.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.9
13-5 11.9% 12.6% 12.6% 14.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 10.4
12-6 17.4% 9.6% 9.6% 14.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 15.7
11-7 19.5% 8.6% 8.6% 15.1 0.2 1.1 0.3 17.8
10-8 17.3% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 16.4
9-9 13.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 12.4
8-10 7.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 7.2
7-11 3.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.8
6-12 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.9 1.8 92.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 13.0 13.6 72.7 13.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%