Albany
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#257
Pace66.7#241
Improvement+5.3#12

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#329
First Shot-4.3#303
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#311
Layup/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#284
Freethrows-1.4#287
Improvement+2.5#46

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#137
First Shot+2.3#97
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#276
Layups/Dunks+0.9#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#106
Freethrows-0.5#229
Improvement+2.8#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.4% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 24.7% 34.3% 13.7%
.500 or above in Conference 69.4% 81.2% 55.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four3.2% 3.3% 3.0%
First Round3.0% 3.7% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 412 - 814 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 114   Towson L 56-77 27%     0 - 1 -19.4 -16.6 -3.4
  Nov 13, 2021 226   @ La Salle L 64-67 34%     0 - 2 -3.6 -10.7 +7.3
  Nov 17, 2021 179   Harvard L 53-60 43%     0 - 3 -10.2 -16.1 +5.2
  Nov 20, 2021 216   @ Eastern Kentucky L 64-77 32%     0 - 4 -13.0 -11.7 -0.8
  Nov 22, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 61-86 2%     0 - 5 -3.3 -5.3 +3.2
  Nov 24, 2021 352   Eastern Illinois W 64-62 84%     1 - 5 -13.5 -8.7 -4.7
  Dec 01, 2021 55   @ Kansas St. L 43-71 7%     1 - 6 -16.6 -17.0 -2.4
  Dec 07, 2021 134   @ Yale L 52-71 18%     1 - 7 -14.4 -18.3 +3.8
  Dec 11, 2021 337   Columbia W 60-59 81%     2 - 7 -13.2 -17.4 +4.3
  Dec 13, 2021 138   @ Boston College W 61-57 20%     3 - 7 +8.1 +2.8 +6.1
  Dec 18, 2021 207   Niagara L 58-66 39%     3 - 8 -10.1 -10.1 -0.7
  Dec 21, 2021 294   @ Lehigh W 68-52 51%     4 - 8 +10.7 -3.2 +14.7
  Jan 06, 2022 310   Binghamton L 79-88 72%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -20.1 -1.6 -18.3
  Jan 08, 2022 230   @ New Hampshire L 62-64 35%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -3.0 -7.7 +4.6
  Jan 12, 2022 262   Umass Lowell W 57-47 61%     5 - 10 1 - 2 +2.2 -14.1 +16.9
  Jan 15, 2022 305   NJIT W 71-56 71%     6 - 10 2 - 2 +4.2 -3.7 +8.2
  Jan 19, 2022 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 66-54 40%     7 - 10 3 - 2 +9.6 -1.3 +12.1
  Jan 22, 2022 224   Stony Brook W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 26, 2022 262   @ Umass Lowell L 63-65 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 305   @ NJIT W 63-62 51%    
  Jan 31, 2022 79   @ Vermont L 56-71 8%    
  Feb 02, 2022 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 67-65 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 278   @ Hartford L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 09, 2022 349   Maine W 67-55 88%    
  Feb 12, 2022 79   Vermont L 59-69 20%    
  Feb 16, 2022 310   @ Binghamton W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 19, 2022 230   New Hampshire W 62-61 55%    
  Feb 23, 2022 349   @ Maine W 64-57 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 224   @ Stony Brook L 64-69 33%    
  Mar 01, 2022 278   Hartford W 69-65 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.2 3.4 7.6 7.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 23.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.6 10.4 6.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 23.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.6 10.2 5.2 0.6 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 6.7 4.9 0.4 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.4 5.0 0.4 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 3.5 0.8 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.2 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 9.1 15.4 20.2 19.4 14.8 9.6 3.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 53.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1
14-4 20.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1
13-5 4.8% 0.2    0.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 27.1% 27.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.3% 9.8% 9.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
13-5 3.9% 9.2% 9.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.5
12-6 9.6% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.1 0.6 8.8
11-7 14.8% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.1 1.0 13.6
10-8 19.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0 18.5
9-9 20.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.7 19.6
8-10 15.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 15.0
7-11 9.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 8.9
6-12 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-13 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.2 95.4 0.0%