Binghamton
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#310
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#298
Pace66.4#251
Improvement+0.9#138

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#268
First Shot-5.1#314
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#62
Layup/Dunks-3.4#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#145
Freethrows-3.4#347
Improvement+2.6#43

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#320
First Shot-6.2#339
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#87
Layups/Dunks-6.1#346
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#52
Freethrows-1.8#290
Improvement-1.7#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.4% 4.8% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 20.6% 34.4% 12.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.6% 6.4%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 1.0%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 47 - 98 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 229   Cornell L 69-76 40%     0 - 1 -12.9 -16.5 +4.3
  Nov 14, 2021 284   @ Sacred Heart W 72-60 35%     1 - 1 +7.4 -2.0 +9.9
  Nov 17, 2021 337   @ Columbia L 77-85 OT 52%     1 - 2 -17.2 -5.6 -11.1
  Nov 20, 2021 18   @ Connecticut L 63-87 2%     1 - 3 -7.7 -0.3 -8.0
  Dec 01, 2021 157   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-79 14%     1 - 4 -19.1 -15.8 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2021 198   @ Boston University L 63-68 18%     1 - 5 -4.0 -3.6 -1.0
  Dec 08, 2021 177   Marist L 51-64 30%     1 - 6 -16.1 -14.8 -3.1
  Jan 02, 2022 262   Umass Lowell W 68-63 47%     2 - 6 1 - 0 -2.8 -1.2 -1.3
  Jan 06, 2022 255   @ Albany W 88-79 28%     3 - 6 2 - 0 +6.5 +16.1 -9.7
  Jan 08, 2022 305   NJIT L 56-67 58%     3 - 7 2 - 1 -21.8 -15.2 -7.5
  Jan 16, 2022 349   @ Maine W 73-65 63%     4 - 7 3 - 1 -3.9 -0.3 -3.3
  Jan 19, 2022 224   Stony Brook L 71-74 38%     4 - 8 3 - 2 -8.4 -6.5 -1.8
  Jan 22, 2022 305   @ NJIT L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 26, 2022 278   @ Hartford L 69-73 32%    
  Jan 29, 2022 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 02, 2022 224   @ Stony Brook L 67-75 21%    
  Feb 05, 2022 349   Maine W 69-61 80%    
  Feb 09, 2022 79   @ Vermont L 59-77 4%    
  Feb 12, 2022 230   New Hampshire L 64-67 42%    
  Feb 16, 2022 255   Albany L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 262   @ Umass Lowell L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 23, 2022 79   Vermont L 61-74 12%    
  Feb 26, 2022 230   @ New Hampshire L 61-69 23%    
  Mar 01, 2022 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-74 28%    
Projected Record 8 - 16 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 3.1 1.0 0.1 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 5.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 7.4 3.0 0.2 12.1 5th
6th 0.7 7.2 6.4 0.3 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.6 5.8 9.5 1.1 0.0 17.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 4.7 9.8 3.2 0.1 18.3 8th
9th 0.5 4.8 7.9 3.5 0.1 16.8 9th
10th 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 1.0 6.0 13.5 19.9 21.7 17.4 11.4 5.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 6.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 11.5% 11.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.8% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 2.3% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.2
10-8 5.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.8
9-9 11.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.2
8-10 17.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 17.0
7-11 21.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 21.4
6-12 19.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.9
5-13 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.5
4-14 6.0% 6.0
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%