NJIT
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#305
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#261
Pace67.7#205
Improvement-3.7#323

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#333
First Shot-3.0#270
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#343
Layup/Dunks-0.8#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#243
Freethrows+0.9#109
Improvement+0.1#167

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#231
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#277
Layups/Dunks-0.2#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#230
Freethrows-0.1#205
Improvement-3.8#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.8% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 18.9% 25.3% 8.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.9% 43.5% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.9% 5.4%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 1.1%
First Round0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 62.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 411 - 912 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 289   Merrimack L 54-61 57%     0 - 1 -17.0 -20.3 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2021 294   @ Lehigh W 73-56 39%     1 - 1 +11.7 -3.7 +15.0
  Nov 16, 2021 64   @ Rutgers L 61-75 5%     1 - 2 -3.3 +0.8 -5.1
  Nov 24, 2021 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 62-54 73%     2 - 2 -6.7 -15.2 +8.9
  Nov 27, 2021 92   @ St. John's L 68-77 OT 7%     2 - 3 -0.2 -12.2 +13.3
  Nov 30, 2021 284   Sacred Heart W 75-70 55%     3 - 3 -4.7 -2.9 -1.6
  Dec 05, 2021 307   @ Lafayette W 90-86 2OT 41%     4 - 3 -1.8 +0.2 -2.7
  Dec 10, 2021 266   Army L 49-66 49%     4 - 4 -25.0 -24.5 -1.5
  Dec 12, 2021 59   @ Northwestern L 52-70 5%     4 - 5 -7.0 -14.6 +7.0
  Jan 02, 2022 349   Maine W 69-66 79%     5 - 5 1 - 0 -13.9 -5.9 -7.9
  Jan 06, 2022 262   @ Umass Lowell W 77-72 30%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +2.2 +5.3 -3.1
  Jan 08, 2022 310   @ Binghamton W 67-56 42%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +4.9 -4.1 +9.9
  Jan 12, 2022 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 56-76 47%     7 - 6 3 - 1 -27.4 -16.5 -12.5
  Jan 15, 2022 255   @ Albany L 56-71 29%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -17.5 -13.3 -4.4
  Jan 19, 2022 79   Vermont L 57-83 12%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -21.3 -12.5 -9.2
  Jan 22, 2022 310   Binghamton W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 26, 2022 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 29, 2022 255   Albany L 62-63 49%    
  Feb 02, 2022 79   @ Vermont L 56-74 4%    
  Feb 05, 2022 224   Stony Brook L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 09, 2022 230   @ New Hampshire L 59-66 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 278   Hartford W 69-68 56%    
  Feb 16, 2022 262   Umass Lowell L 66-67 51%    
  Feb 20, 2022 349   @ Maine W 65-61 61%    
  Feb 23, 2022 230   New Hampshire L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 26, 2022 278   @ Hartford L 67-71 34%    
  Mar 01, 2022 224   @ Stony Brook L 64-72 22%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.2 5.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 8.0 2.7 0.2 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 9.0 4.4 0.3 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.7 6.9 7.3 0.6 15.5 6th
7th 0.3 4.5 8.4 1.5 14.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 7.1 2.5 0.1 12.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 4.4 2.0 0.2 9.2 9th
10th 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
Total 0.6 3.0 7.7 14.3 19.7 20.9 16.3 10.1 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 4.9% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 24.0% 24.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.8
11-7 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.6
10-8 10.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
9-9 16.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 16.0
8-10 20.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 20.5
7-11 19.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 19.5
6-12 14.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.3
5-13 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
4-14 3.0% 3.0
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%