Maine
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.4#349
Expected Predictive Rating-23.3#356
Pace64.4#305
Improvement+4.2#29

Offense
Total Offense-9.6#352
First Shot-5.6#320
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#353
Layup/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#326
Freethrows-2.2#320
Improvement+3.4#21

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#315
First Shot-3.6#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#294
Layups/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#81
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+0.8#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 89.9% 79.7% 93.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 26.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 43 - 143 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 32   @ Virginia Tech L 47-82 1%     0 - 1 -20.9 -17.2 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2021 69   @ Colorado L 46-90 2%     0 - 2 -33.7 -20.4 -13.8
  Nov 23, 2021 343   Central Connecticut St. L 56-64 54%     0 - 3 -23.4 -19.1 -5.1
  Nov 27, 2021 117   @ Bradley L 39-71 4%     0 - 4 -26.0 -27.7 -0.5
  Dec 04, 2021 337   @ Columbia L 66-77 31%     0 - 5 -20.2 -11.7 -8.6
  Dec 11, 2021 241   @ Quinnipiac L 47-73 12%     0 - 6 -27.9 -23.4 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2021 289   Merrimack L 47-49 34%     0 - 7 -12.0 -15.2 +2.6
  Dec 30, 2021 64   @ Rutgers L 64-80 2%     0 - 8 -5.3 +3.2 -9.4
  Jan 02, 2022 305   @ NJIT L 66-69 21%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -8.8 -3.7 -5.3
  Jan 08, 2022 224   @ Stony Brook L 72-80 10%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -8.4 -5.2 -2.8
  Jan 16, 2022 310   Binghamton L 65-73 37%     0 - 11 0 - 3 -19.1 -11.5 -7.9
  Jan 19, 2022 262   @ Umass Lowell L 62-71 14%     0 - 12 0 - 4 -11.8 -8.5 -3.6
  Jan 22, 2022 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 25, 2022 230   New Hampshire L 57-65 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 79   @ Vermont L 52-76 1%    
  Jan 31, 2022 278   Hartford L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 262   Umass Lowell L 61-68 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 310   @ Binghamton L 61-69 20%    
  Feb 09, 2022 255   @ Albany L 55-67 12%    
  Feb 13, 2022 224   Stony Brook L 62-71 22%    
  Feb 16, 2022 278   @ Hartford L 62-72 16%    
  Feb 20, 2022 305   NJIT L 61-65 39%    
  Feb 23, 2022 255   Albany L 57-64 28%    
  Feb 26, 2022 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60-72 12%    
  Mar 01, 2022 79   Vermont L 54-73 4%    
Projected Record 3 - 22 3 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.7 0.1 4.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 4.9 3.9 0.6 11.4 9th
10th 8.0 19.0 23.6 19.5 9.1 1.5 0.0 80.6 10th
Total 8.0 19.0 23.8 21.2 14.4 8.0 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
7-11 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
6-12 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-13 8.0% 8.0
4-14 14.4% 14.4
3-15 21.2% 21.2
2-16 23.8% 23.8
1-17 19.0% 19.0
0-18 8.0% 8.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.0%