New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#230
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#251
Pace58.0#354
Improvement-4.9#351

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#185
First Shot+0.8#150
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#269
Layup/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#10
Freethrows-0.9#251
Improvement-2.9#326

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#279
First Shot-4.2#305
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#91
Layups/Dunks-2.4#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#218
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement-2.1#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 8.1% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 53.8% 63.2% 34.0%
.500 or above in Conference 60.5% 70.1% 40.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.8% 3.9%
First Four2.2% 2.3% 1.8%
First Round6.0% 6.9% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 67.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 412 - 613 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 37   @ Marquette L 70-75 7%     0 - 1 +8.2 +4.4 +3.9
  Nov 18, 2021 44   @ Providence L 58-69 7%     0 - 2 +1.8 +6.9 -7.8
  Nov 23, 2021 241   Quinnipiac W 84-69 63%     1 - 2 +8.1 +10.4 -1.8
  Nov 27, 2021 344   @ Holy Cross W 70-55 75%     2 - 2 +4.5 -0.2 +6.5
  Dec 04, 2021 343   Central Connecticut St. W 67-45 86%     3 - 2 +6.6 -4.6 +14.1
  Dec 08, 2021 227   @ Bryant L 59-76 39%     3 - 3 -17.7 -7.3 -12.8
  Dec 11, 2021 190   @ Duquesne L 62-64 32%     3 - 4 -0.8 -3.2 +2.2
  Jan 06, 2022 79   @ Vermont L 68-82 11%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -4.3 +9.1 -15.2
  Jan 08, 2022 255   Albany W 64-62 65%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -5.5 -3.7 -1.7
  Jan 19, 2022 278   @ Hartford L 57-69 52%     4 - 6 1 - 2 -16.1 -7.5 -11.1
  Jan 22, 2022 262   Umass Lowell W 67-63 68%    
  Jan 25, 2022 349   @ Maine W 65-57 78%    
  Jan 29, 2022 224   Stony Brook W 67-65 59%    
  Feb 02, 2022 278   Hartford W 70-64 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-67 44%    
  Feb 07, 2022 224   @ Stony Brook L 65-68 37%    
  Feb 09, 2022 305   NJIT W 66-59 76%    
  Feb 12, 2022 310   @ Binghamton W 67-64 58%    
  Feb 14, 2022 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 68-64 66%    
  Feb 16, 2022 79   Vermont L 60-68 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 255   @ Albany L 61-62 45%    
  Feb 23, 2022 305   @ NJIT W 64-62 57%    
  Feb 26, 2022 310   Binghamton W 69-61 77%    
  Mar 01, 2022 262   @ Umass Lowell L 64-65 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 12 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.2 2.9 7.0 6.7 3.9 1.1 0.1 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.0 9.1 5.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 20.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 8.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 6.7 4.2 0.3 12.2 5th
6th 0.3 4.0 4.7 0.4 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.0 0.8 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.4 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.3 1.3 0.1 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 4.0 7.0 11.5 14.7 17.1 16.3 13.4 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 34.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 18.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 28.7% 28.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.4% 21.3% 21.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
13-5 4.1% 19.7% 19.7% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 3.3
12-6 8.1% 13.6% 13.6% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 7.0
11-7 13.4% 10.5% 10.5% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 12.0
10-8 16.3% 8.3% 8.3% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 14.9
9-9 17.1% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.1 0.8 16.2
8-10 14.7% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.0
7-11 11.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 11.1
6-12 7.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.9
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.0 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.2 82.8 17.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%