Northwestern
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#48
Achievement Rating+9.1#75
Pace66.1#275
Improvement+1.1#92

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#75
First Shot+1.4#136
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#48
Layup/Dunks-2.5#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
Freethrows+3.0#45
Improvement+1.1#85

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#38
First Shot+3.0#82
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#32
Layups/Dunks-0.5#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#32
Freethrows-1.0#234
Improvement+0.0#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.5% 23.5% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.5% 22.6% 7.7%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.8
.500 or above 74.8% 74.9% 40.4%
.500 or above in Conference 25.9% 25.9% 13.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 10.1% 20.9%
First Four4.6% 4.6% 3.2%
First Round21.4% 21.4% 6.2%
Second Round11.3% 11.3% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.9% 3.9% 1.2%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 262   New Orleans W 82-52 95%     1 - 0 +21.1 +15.7 +9.1
  Nov 12, 2018 189   American W 63-51 90%     2 - 0 +7.3 -6.3 +14.9
  Nov 16, 2018 325   Binghamton W 82-54 98%     3 - 0 +14.1 -2.0 +14.4
  Nov 22, 2018 61   Fresno St. L 59-78 57%     3 - 1 -11.1 -9.1 -2.1
  Nov 23, 2018 258   La Salle W 91-74 92%     4 - 1 +11.4 +7.0 +3.1
  Nov 25, 2018 133   Utah W 79-57 75%     5 - 1 +24.6 +12.4 +14.2
  Nov 28, 2018 78   Georgia Tech W 67-61 73%     6 - 1 +9.4 +1.3 +8.2
  Dec 01, 2018 24   @ Indiana L 66-68 27%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +13.9 +4.0 +9.9
  Dec 04, 2018 3   Michigan L 60-62 27%     6 - 3 0 - 2 +14.0 +5.3 +8.4
  Dec 08, 2018 107   DePaul W 75-68 78%     7 - 3 +8.6 +3.6 +5.1
  Dec 17, 2018 349   Chicago St. W 87-58 99.7%   
  Dec 21, 2018 25   Oklahoma L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 30, 2018 264   Columbia W 83-64 96%    
  Jan 02, 2019 7   @ Michigan St. L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 06, 2019 93   Illinois W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 09, 2019 39   Iowa W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 13, 2019 3   @ Michigan L 58-70 13%    
  Jan 18, 2019 99   @ Rutgers W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 22, 2019 24   Indiana L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 26, 2019 13   @ Wisconsin L 59-68 22%    
  Jan 29, 2019 29   @ Maryland L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 04, 2019 54   Penn St. W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 10, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 73-77 34%    
  Feb 13, 2019 99   Rutgers W 68-61 75%    
  Feb 16, 2019 17   @ Nebraska L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 20, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 23, 2019 13   Wisconsin L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 28, 2019 57   Minnesota W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 03, 2019 93   @ Illinois W 72-71 54%    
  Mar 06, 2019 14   Ohio St. L 66-68 43%    
  Mar 09, 2019 19   Purdue L 69-70 46%    
Projected Record 17.3 - 13.7 7.8 - 12.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 5.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.1 5.2 1.2 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.3 1.7 0.1 12.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.9 1.8 0.2 11.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.7 9.1 12.4 14.2 15.0 13.4 10.7 7.3 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 95.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 65.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 34.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 99.4% 15.9% 83.5% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-6 1.0% 98.3% 10.1% 88.2% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
13-7 2.3% 96.8% 7.1% 89.7% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.5%
12-8 4.3% 90.1% 4.5% 85.7% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 89.7%
11-9 7.3% 77.3% 3.0% 74.3% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 76.6%
10-10 10.7% 57.4% 1.6% 55.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.5 56.8%
9-11 13.4% 24.4% 0.9% 23.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 10.1 23.7%
8-12 15.0% 5.8% 0.6% 5.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.1 5.2%
7-13 14.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1 0.5%
6-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.0%
5-15 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
4-16 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
3-17 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 2.9
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 23.5% 1.2% 22.3% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 76.5 22.5%