Northwestern
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#63
Achievement Rating+5.0#105
Pace65.4#281
Improvement-4.4#329

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#169
First Shot-0.3#189
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#134
Layup/Dunks-2.2#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows+1.3#93
Improvement-6.1#344

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#24
First Shot+5.3#41
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#31
Layups/Dunks-1.9#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#8
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+1.7#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 2.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.5 11.3 12.0
.500 or above 19.3% 40.0% 11.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.4% 20.2% 48.1%
First Four0.5% 1.3% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 269   New Orleans W 82-52 93%     1 - 0 +21.0 +18.4 +6.3
  Nov 12, 2018 208   American W 63-51 88%     2 - 0 +6.4 -5.9 +13.6
  Nov 16, 2018 336   Binghamton W 82-54 97%     3 - 0 +12.8 -2.0 +13.2
  Nov 22, 2018 59   Fresno St. L 59-78 48%     3 - 1 -11.1 -9.1 -2.2
  Nov 23, 2018 198   La Salle W 91-74 82%     4 - 1 +14.7 +11.6 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2018 95   Utah W 79-57 59%     5 - 1 +27.1 +11.2 +18.0
  Nov 28, 2018 108   Georgia Tech W 67-61 71%     6 - 1 +7.6 +1.7 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2018 45   @ Indiana L 66-68 32%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +10.3 +2.4 +7.9
  Dec 04, 2018 8   Michigan L 60-62 24%     6 - 3 0 - 2 +12.7 +6.0 +6.4
  Dec 08, 2018 98   DePaul W 75-68 69%     7 - 3 +9.3 +2.7 +6.7
  Dec 17, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 88-46 99%     8 - 3 +19.3 +9.7 +12.2
  Dec 21, 2018 34   Oklahoma L 69-76 44%     8 - 4 +1.8 -0.5 +2.6
  Dec 30, 2018 237   Columbia W 75-54 91%     9 - 4 +13.7 +0.9 +13.2
  Jan 02, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. L 55-81 8%     9 - 5 0 - 3 -3.0 -7.0 +4.1
  Jan 06, 2019 56   Illinois W 68-66 57%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +7.5 -2.2 +9.6
  Jan 09, 2019 26   Iowa L 63-73 39%     10 - 6 1 - 4 +0.2 -5.3 +4.9
  Jan 13, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 60-80 12%     10 - 7 1 - 5 +0.2 +5.5 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2019 90   @ Rutgers W 65-57 47%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +16.3 +1.3 +15.3
  Jan 22, 2019 45   Indiana W 73-66 52%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +13.8 +6.8 +7.1
  Jan 26, 2019 15   @ Wisconsin L 46-62 15%     12 - 8 3 - 6 +2.3 -10.0 +10.5
  Jan 29, 2019 21   @ Maryland L 52-70 18%     12 - 9 3 - 7 -0.7 -7.6 +5.3
  Feb 04, 2019 57   Penn St. L 52-59 58%     12 - 10 3 - 8 -1.7 -13.5 +11.4
  Feb 10, 2019 26   @ Iowa L 79-80 21%     12 - 11 3 - 9 +14.7 +8.8 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2019 90   Rutgers L 56-59 67%     12 - 12 3 - 10 -0.2 -11.0 +10.6
  Feb 16, 2019 35   @ Nebraska L 50-59 25%     12 - 13 3 - 11 +5.3 -11.2 +15.9
  Feb 20, 2019 41   @ Ohio St. L 60-66 27%    
  Feb 23, 2019 15   Wisconsin L 57-62 32%    
  Feb 28, 2019 43   Minnesota W 67-66 52%    
  Mar 03, 2019 56   @ Illinois L 67-71 36%    
  Mar 06, 2019 41   Ohio St. L 62-63 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 10   Purdue L 65-71 28%    
Projected Record 14.2 - 16.8 5.2 - 14.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.4 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.2 3.5 0.8 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 2.8 5.0 0.1 7.9 10th
11th 1.1 9.2 2.2 0.0 12.5 11th
12th 0.5 9.3 9.5 0.4 19.6 12th
13th 1.6 11.3 17.5 2.7 0.0 33.1 13th
14th 5.5 10.0 2.9 0.0 18.5 14th
Total 7.2 21.8 30.8 24.3 12.0 3.4 0.4 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.4% 58.2% 0.5% 57.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 58.0%
8-12 3.4% 10.3% 0.5% 9.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 9.9%
7-13 12.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.7%
6-14 24.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.3 0.0%
5-15 30.8% 0.1% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.8
4-16 21.8% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 21.8
3-17 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 7.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.7%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 86.7% 9.8 6.7 26.7 30.0 23.3
Lose Out 4.4%