Providence
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#77
Achievement Rating+7.4#89
Pace67.4#246
Improvement+0.7#117

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#84
First Shot+2.1#117
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#87
Layup/Dunks-2.4#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#129
Freethrows+2.2#70
Improvement-0.4#208

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#84
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#54
Layups/Dunks+1.0#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows+0.1#175
Improvement+1.1#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.3% 20.1% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.1% 16.9% 6.2%
Average Seed 9.3 9.2 10.1
.500 or above 63.3% 65.3% 39.0%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 34.6% 23.3%
Conference Champion 3.4% 3.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.9% 19.2% 27.7%
First Four3.4% 3.5% 2.0%
First Round17.6% 18.5% 7.0%
Second Round7.5% 7.8% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 1.9% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 92.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 265   Siena W 77-67 92%     1 - 0 +1.0 +7.4 -4.8
  Nov 09, 2018 117   Wichita St. L 80-83 61%     1 - 1 +0.9 +9.5 -8.5
  Nov 13, 2018 156   Holy Cross W 70-61 81%     2 - 1 +6.3 -2.8 +9.2
  Nov 17, 2018 120   South Carolina W 76-67 62%     3 - 1 +12.7 +6.0 +6.6
  Nov 18, 2018 8   Michigan L 47-66 16%     3 - 2 -1.5 -10.6 +7.2
  Nov 24, 2018 210   Iona W 91-79 88%     4 - 2 +6.1 +8.7 -3.2
  Nov 27, 2018 271   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-59 92%     5 - 2 +0.8 -8.0 +9.2
  Dec 01, 2018 112   Rhode Island W 59-50 70%     6 - 2 +10.3 -8.3 +18.8
  Dec 04, 2018 105   @ Boston College W 100-95 46%     7 - 2 +12.8 +15.1 -3.0
  Dec 07, 2018 136   Massachusetts L 78-79 77%     7 - 3 -1.8 +4.8 -6.6
  Dec 16, 2018 256   Central Connecticut St. W 79-64 92%    
  Dec 18, 2018 275   Albany W 76-60 94%    
  Dec 21, 2018 35   @ Texas L 63-71 22%    
  Dec 31, 2018 41   Creighton L 77-78 48%    
  Jan 05, 2019 21   Villanova L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 12, 2019 104   @ Georgetown L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 15, 2019 56   Seton Hall W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 20, 2019 32   @ Marquette L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 23, 2019 57   @ Xavier L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 27, 2019 97   DePaul W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 30, 2019 56   @ Seton Hall L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 02, 2019 97   @ DePaul L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 06, 2019 104   Georgetown W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 09, 2019 45   @ St. John's L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 13, 2019 21   @ Villanova L 65-74 19%    
  Feb 16, 2019 57   Xavier W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 20, 2019 45   St. John's L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 23, 2019 32   Marquette L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 26, 2019 37   @ Butler L 65-73 23%    
  Mar 06, 2019 41   @ Creighton L 74-81 27%    
  Mar 09, 2019 37   Butler L 68-70 45%    
Projected Record 16.5 - 14.5 7.4 - 10.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 2.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 3.9 1.1 0.2 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 5.4 2.1 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.2 3.3 0.2 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.3 4.2 0.5 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.5 4.4 0.6 14.6 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 3.0 5.7 4.0 0.8 0.0 14.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.4 3.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 12.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.3 7.1 10.8 13.5 13.8 13.7 11.9 9.0 5.6 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 76.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 56.8% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 21.0% 0.8    0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 5.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 24.3% 75.7% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 97.8% 12.2% 85.6% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5%
13-5 2.1% 93.7% 17.0% 76.7% 7.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 92.4%
12-6 3.9% 82.6% 12.2% 70.5% 8.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 80.2%
11-7 5.6% 67.9% 10.3% 57.6% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 64.2%
10-8 9.0% 48.3% 7.3% 41.0% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 4.6 44.2%
9-9 11.9% 26.1% 5.5% 20.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.8 21.8%
8-10 13.7% 7.2% 3.2% 4.0% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.7 4.2%
7-11 13.8% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.5 0.7%
6-12 13.5% 1.0% 1.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.4
5-13 10.8% 0.7% 0.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 7.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.1
3-15 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 4.3
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 19.3% 3.8% 15.5% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.7 2.2 3.3 3.6 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 80.7 16.1%