Providence
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#80
Achievement Rating+5.9#95
Pace68.1#203
Improvement-1.3#243

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#168
First Shot-1.0#210
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#74
Layup/Dunks-0.5#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#280
Freethrows+2.2#42
Improvement-4.0#319

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#34
First Shot+3.2#73
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#7
Layups/Dunks+1.3#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#56
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+2.7#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.9% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.8 11.4 12.7
.500 or above 62.7% 83.9% 45.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 2.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 62.4% 45.0% 76.8%
First Four0.7% 1.3% 0.1%
First Round2.1% 3.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 251   Siena W 77-67 90%     1 - 0 +1.9 +12.1 -8.8
  Nov 09, 2018 112   Wichita St. L 80-83 58%     1 - 1 +1.1 +8.9 -7.8
  Nov 13, 2018 234   Holy Cross W 70-61 89%     2 - 1 +1.8 -6.0 +7.9
  Nov 17, 2018 74   South Carolina W 76-67 48%     3 - 1 +15.7 +4.7 +10.8
  Nov 18, 2018 8   Michigan L 47-66 15%     3 - 2 -1.5 -9.5 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2018 222   Iona W 91-79 88%     4 - 2 +5.7 +8.0 -2.9
  Nov 27, 2018 250   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-59 90%     5 - 2 +1.9 -7.8 +10.2
  Dec 01, 2018 140   Rhode Island W 59-50 75%     6 - 2 +8.0 -11.1 +19.3
  Dec 04, 2018 97   @ Boston College W 100-95 44%     7 - 2 +12.8 +16.4 -4.3
  Dec 07, 2018 190   Massachusetts L 78-79 84%     7 - 3 -5.6 +3.6 -9.2
  Dec 16, 2018 305   Central Connecticut St. W 87-63 94%     8 - 3 +12.9 +14.6 +0.1
  Dec 18, 2018 293   Albany W 73-43 93%     9 - 3 +19.8 -4.3 +23.6
  Dec 21, 2018 27   @ Texas W 71-65 19%     10 - 3 +21.7 +2.2 +19.2
  Dec 31, 2018 51   Creighton L 68-79 49%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -4.5 -2.1 -2.7
  Jan 05, 2019 19   Villanova L 59-65 28%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +6.2 -7.4 +13.2
  Jan 12, 2019 68   @ Georgetown L 90-96 36%     10 - 6 0 - 3 +3.9 +1.8 +3.4
  Jan 15, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 72-63 49%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +15.5 -1.6 +16.6
  Jan 20, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 68-79 17%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +5.4 +3.0 +2.2
  Jan 23, 2019 82   @ Xavier W 64-62 40%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +10.8 +1.8 +9.2
  Jan 27, 2019 98   DePaul W 70-67 65%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +5.3 -2.5 +7.8
  Jan 30, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 63-65 29%     13 - 8 3 - 5 +10.0 -3.5 +13.6
  Feb 02, 2019 98   @ DePaul L 55-67 44%     13 - 9 3 - 6 -4.2 -16.1 +12.1
  Feb 06, 2019 68   Georgetown L 67-76 57%     13 - 10 3 - 7 -4.7 -8.2 +3.9
  Feb 09, 2019 42   @ St. John's W 70-56 25%     14 - 10 4 - 7 +27.3 +10.3 +18.3
  Feb 13, 2019 19   @ Villanova L 67-85 14%     14 - 11 4 - 8 -0.2 +4.4 -5.9
  Feb 16, 2019 82   Xavier L 61-75 61%     14 - 12 4 - 9 -10.7 -9.9 -1.3
  Feb 20, 2019 42   St. John's L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 23, 2019 24   Marquette L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 26, 2019 46   @ Butler L 64-70 28%    
  Mar 06, 2019 51   @ Creighton L 69-75 29%    
  Mar 09, 2019 46   Butler L 67-68 49%    
Projected Record 15.8 - 15.2 5.8 - 12.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 0.5 1.7 4th
5th 0.8 3.6 0.2 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 5.6 1.7 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 2.4 9.4 0.2 12.1 7th
8th 1.1 13.0 3.7 0.0 17.8 8th
9th 8.7 13.6 0.3 22.5 9th
10th 11.2 19.1 3.5 0.0 33.8 10th
Total 11.2 28.9 32.5 19.9 6.6 0.9 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.9% 49.7% 6.1% 43.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 46.4%
8-10 6.6% 11.9% 4.9% 6.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.8 7.3%
7-11 19.9% 2.6% 2.3% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 19.4 0.4%
6-12 32.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 32.1 0.0%
5-13 28.9% 0.9% 0.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 28.6
4-14 11.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 1.5% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 97.5 1.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.2 28.1 38.6 22.8 7.0 3.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 78.4% 10.1 1.0 5.9 18.6 27.5 16.7 5.9 2.0 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 62.2% 10.6 0.7 7.0 19.6 24.5 8.4 2.1
Lose Out 6.6%