Minnesota
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#43
Achievement Rating+12.3#34
Pace69.1#178
Improvement+1.6#106

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#43
First Shot+2.4#109
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#17
Layup/Dunks+4.8#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#314
Freethrows+3.0#16
Improvement+1.7#98

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#58
First Shot+4.5#48
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-3.2#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#11
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.4% 91.3% 66.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.2% 91.2% 66.0%
Average Seed 9.1 8.3 9.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 30.0% 55.9% 17.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.6% 7.1% 16.8%
First Round67.1% 87.6% 57.1%
Second Round28.2% 39.6% 22.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.7% 8.2% 4.4%
Elite Eight1.7% 2.5% 1.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Home) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 171   Nebraska Omaha W 104-76 88%     1 - 0 +24.8 +14.6 +7.5
  Nov 12, 2018 95   Utah W 78-69 76%     2 - 0 +11.4 +4.8 +6.9
  Nov 18, 2018 85   Texas A&M W 69-64 64%     3 - 0 +10.9 +0.4 +10.6
  Nov 20, 2018 189   Santa Clara W 80-66 86%     4 - 0 +12.2 +4.6 +7.1
  Nov 21, 2018 36   Washington W 68-66 44%     5 - 0 +13.3 +5.0 +8.4
  Nov 26, 2018 97   @ Boston College L 56-68 57%     5 - 1 -4.2 -12.2 +7.8
  Nov 30, 2018 86   Oklahoma St. W 83-76 65%     6 - 1 +12.9 +6.1 +6.2
  Dec 02, 2018 41   @ Ohio St. L 59-79 36%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -6.5 -3.2 -4.1
  Dec 05, 2018 35   Nebraska W 85-78 54%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +15.8 +19.7 -3.7
  Dec 08, 2018 259   Arkansas St. W 72-56 94%     8 - 2 +7.6 -0.3 +9.2
  Dec 11, 2018 212   North Florida W 80-71 92%     9 - 2 +3.1 +0.4 +2.3
  Dec 21, 2018 323   N.C. A&T W 86-67 97%     10 - 2 +5.7 +1.4 +3.0
  Dec 30, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 71-53 98%     11 - 2 +4.0 -5.5 +10.0
  Jan 03, 2019 15   @ Wisconsin W 59-52 21%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +25.3 +2.9 +23.0
  Jan 08, 2019 21   Maryland L 67-82 42%     12 - 3 2 - 2 -3.2 +4.3 -8.4
  Jan 12, 2019 90   Rutgers W 88-70 75%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +20.8 +18.2 +2.4
  Jan 16, 2019 56   @ Illinois L 68-95 45%     13 - 4 3 - 3 -16.0 -3.9 -10.2
  Jan 19, 2019 57   Penn St. W 65-64 67%     14 - 4 4 - 3 +6.3 +0.7 +5.6
  Jan 22, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 57-59 16%     14 - 5 4 - 4 +18.2 +2.4 +15.7
  Jan 27, 2019 26   Iowa W 92-87 48%     15 - 5 5 - 4 +15.2 +16.3 -1.3
  Jan 30, 2019 56   Illinois W 86-75 66%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +16.5 +17.8 -1.1
  Feb 03, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 63-73 18%     16 - 6 6 - 5 +9.4 +1.4 +7.2
  Feb 06, 2019 15   Wisconsin L 51-56 39%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +7.7 -2.1 +8.8
  Feb 09, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. L 55-79 11%     16 - 8 6 - 7 -1.0 -3.1 +0.6
  Feb 13, 2019 35   @ Nebraska L 61-62 33%     16 - 9 6 - 8 +13.3 +7.5 +5.6
  Feb 16, 2019 45   Indiana W 84-63 61%     17 - 9 7 - 8 +27.8 +16.6 +11.4
  Feb 21, 2019 8   Michigan L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 24, 2019 90   @ Rutgers W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 28, 2019 63   @ Northwestern L 66-67 48%    
  Mar 05, 2019 10   Purdue L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 08, 2019 21   @ Maryland L 66-74 23%    
Projected Record 18.9 - 12.1 8.9 - 11.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 2.8 0.5 5.0 6th
7th 0.1 6.0 21.1 18.5 4.3 0.1 50.1 7th
8th 1.3 12.9 10.7 1.5 0.0 26.4 8th
9th 4.0 7.7 1.3 0.0 13.0 9th
10th 3.1 0.8 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.8 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 9.3 27.4 33.3 21.5 7.4 1.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 1.1% 100.0% 2.7% 97.3% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-9 7.4% 99.8% 1.9% 97.9% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-10 21.5% 98.9% 1.2% 97.8% 7.8 0.0 0.2 1.7 6.2 7.7 4.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 98.9%
9-11 33.3% 88.1% 0.8% 87.3% 9.6 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.1 8.4 9.0 5.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 4.0 88.0%
8-12 27.4% 52.4% 0.5% 51.9% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 13.0 52.2%
7-13 9.3% 10.5% 0.2% 10.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.4 10.3%
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 74.4% 0.8% 73.5% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.7 10.5 13.9 14.3 12.9 11.2 5.7 1.2 0.0 25.6 74.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 13.8 51.7 27.6 6.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 4.6 8.2 32.8 45.9 13.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 5.4 0.6 13.2 39.5 34.1 12.6
Lose Out 4.7% 0.3% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0