Wisconsin
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.7#14
Achievement Rating+15.5#28
Pace60.2#347
Improvement-0.5#207

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#42
First Shot+4.9#44
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#130
Layup/Dunks+4.2#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#66
Freethrows-2.0#307
Improvement-2.2#282

Defense
Total Defense+10.1#5
First Shot+9.9#6
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#157
Layups/Dunks+3.2#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#30
Freethrows+4.8#5
Improvement+1.7#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 31.9% 35.3% 13.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% 100.0% 99.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% 100.0% 99.6%
Average Seed 5.2 5.0 6.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.9% 100.0% 99.5%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round99.9% 100.0% 99.6%
Second Round77.9% 79.0% 72.0%
Sweet Sixteen41.6% 43.2% 33.1%
Elite Eight16.9% 17.6% 12.9%
Final Four7.0% 7.3% 5.3%
Championship Game2.6% 2.7% 1.8%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.5%

Next Game: Illinois (Home) - 84.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 85-63 99%     1 - 0 +4.2 +12.4 -6.7
  Nov 13, 2018 82   @ Xavier W 77-68 74%     2 - 0 +17.9 +12.3 +6.2
  Nov 17, 2018 289   Houston Baptist W 96-59 98%     3 - 0 +27.1 +14.8 +11.4
  Nov 21, 2018 93   Stanford W 62-46 83%     4 - 0 +21.3 -5.3 +27.2
  Nov 22, 2018 35   Oklahoma W 78-58 65%     5 - 0 +31.7 +22.5 +11.6
  Nov 23, 2018 3   Virginia L 46-53 28%     5 - 1 +14.8 -5.6 +19.0
  Nov 27, 2018 32   North Carolina St. W 79-75 74%     6 - 1 +13.1 +10.1 +3.0
  Nov 30, 2018 28   @ Iowa W 72-66 50%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +21.6 +4.9 +16.9
  Dec 03, 2018 90   Rutgers W 69-64 88%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +7.8 +8.4 -0.1
  Dec 08, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 69-74 47%     8 - 2 +11.4 -1.2 +13.0
  Dec 13, 2018 348   Savannah St. W 101-60 99.5%    9 - 2 +22.3 +17.5 +4.7
  Dec 22, 2018 276   Grambling St. W 84-53 98%     10 - 2 +21.8 +13.4 +9.3
  Dec 29, 2018 121   @ Western Kentucky L 76-83 82%     10 - 3 -0.9 +4.9 -5.5
  Jan 03, 2019 43   Minnesota L 52-59 80%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +0.0 -13.3 +12.7
  Jan 06, 2019 57   @ Penn St. W 71-52 68%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +29.7 +12.9 +18.8
  Jan 11, 2019 10   Purdue L 80-84 57%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +9.8 +7.8 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2019 20   @ Maryland L 60-64 44%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +13.2 +4.9 +7.7
  Jan 19, 2019 8   Michigan W 64-54 54%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +24.8 +5.0 +20.3
  Jan 23, 2019 58   @ Illinois W 72-60 68%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +22.7 +7.8 +15.4
  Jan 26, 2019 63   Northwestern W 62-46 85%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +20.7 +1.7 +20.7
  Jan 29, 2019 36   @ Nebraska W 62-51 56%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +25.1 +7.5 +19.5
  Feb 01, 2019 20   Maryland W 69-61 65%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +19.8 +12.5 +8.5
  Feb 06, 2019 43   @ Minnesota W 56-51 63%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +17.4 +0.8 +17.7
  Feb 09, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 52-61 33%     17 - 7 9 - 4 +11.2 +1.2 +8.4
  Feb 12, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 59-67 44%     17 - 8 9 - 5 +9.3 -1.9 +10.6
  Feb 18, 2019 58   Illinois W 72-62 85%    
  Feb 23, 2019 63   @ Northwestern W 63-57 69%    
  Feb 26, 2019 46   @ Indiana W 64-61 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 57   Penn St. W 67-57 84%    
  Mar 07, 2019 28   Iowa W 73-68 71%    
  Mar 10, 2019 40   @ Ohio St. W 63-61 56%    
Projected Record 21.3 - 9.7 13.3 - 6.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.7 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 3.6 6.6 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.8 13.8 5.2 21.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.3 16.0 12.3 0.5 31.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 9.6 11.2 0.9 23.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.4 0.9 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 1.2 5.7 17.4 31.0 30.6 14.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 12.1% 1.7    0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.0
14-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 14.0% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 3.4 0.5 2.5 4.6 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 30.6% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 4.7 0.6 4.3 8.7 10.0 5.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 31.0% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 5.5 0.1 1.1 4.6 9.4 10.5 4.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-8 17.4% 100.0% 5.5% 94.4% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 6.3 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9 5.7% 99.8% 4.6% 95.3% 7.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-10 1.2% 99.4% 2.3% 97.2% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
9-11 0.1% 50.0% 4.2% 45.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.8%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.9% 10.3% 89.6% 5.2 0.5 3.1 10.0 18.2 24.8 24.5 13.4 4.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 100.0% 1.9 21.4 65.1 13.4 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8% 100.0% 3.2 17.2 49.6 26.9 6.2 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.8% 100.0% 3.6 0.1 8.1 42.0 35.4 13.1 1.2 0.1