Wisconsin
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#13
Achievement Rating+18.9#18
Pace60.0#351
Improvement-2.1#307

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#27
First Shot+6.5#27
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#153
Layup/Dunks+6.9#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#149
Freethrows-1.0#230
Improvement-1.3#285

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#11
First Shot+7.5#16
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#120
Layups/Dunks+2.8#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#22
Freethrows+4.5#11
Improvement-0.8#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 6.8% 6.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 50.5% 50.5% 27.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.9% 91.9% 81.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 90.9% 90.9% 80.6%
Average Seed 4.6 4.6 6.1
.500 or above 98.8% 98.8% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 90.3% 90.3% 81.1%
Conference Champion 15.9% 15.9% 10.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Four1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
First Round91.1% 91.1% 81.1%
Second Round71.0% 71.0% 54.1%
Sweet Sixteen40.8% 40.8% 21.6%
Elite Eight20.0% 20.0% 10.8%
Final Four9.2% 9.2% 2.7%
Championship Game4.1% 4.1% 2.7%
National Champion1.7% 1.7% 2.7%

Next Game: Savannah St. (Home) - 100.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 350   Coppin St. W 85-63 99.6%    1 - 0 +1.8 +10.9 -7.6
  Nov 13, 2018 57   @ Xavier W 77-68 63%     2 - 0 +20.8 +13.0 +8.4
  Nov 17, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 96-59 98%     3 - 0 +27.1 +12.1 +14.1
  Nov 21, 2018 95   Stanford W 62-46 82%     4 - 0 +21.4 -3.2 +25.2
  Nov 22, 2018 24   Oklahoma W 78-58 59%     5 - 0 +32.9 +22.6 +12.8
  Nov 23, 2018 7   Virginia L 46-53 39%     5 - 1 +11.1 -7.7 +17.3
  Nov 27, 2018 28   North Carolina St. W 79-75 70%     6 - 1 +13.7 +8.7 +5.0
  Nov 30, 2018 39   @ Iowa W 72-66 54%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +20.1 +5.2 +15.1
  Dec 03, 2018 98   Rutgers W 69-64 88%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +7.3 +9.4 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2018 34   @ Marquette L 69-74 51%     8 - 2 +10.0 -1.6 +11.9
  Dec 13, 2018 352   Savannah St. W 97-60 100.0%   
  Dec 22, 2018 287   Grambling St. W 79-54 99%    
  Dec 29, 2018 85   @ Western Kentucky W 70-64 72%    
  Jan 03, 2019 60   Minnesota W 72-62 82%    
  Jan 06, 2019 54   @ Penn St. W 64-61 61%    
  Jan 11, 2019 20   Purdue W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 14, 2019 30   @ Maryland L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 19, 2019 3   Michigan L 60-61 48%    
  Jan 23, 2019 91   @ Illinois W 71-65 72%    
  Jan 26, 2019 48   Northwestern W 68-60 78%    
  Jan 29, 2019 16   @ Nebraska L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 01, 2019 30   Maryland W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 06, 2019 60   @ Minnesota W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 09, 2019 3   @ Michigan L 57-64 27%    
  Feb 12, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 18, 2019 91   Illinois W 74-62 87%    
  Feb 23, 2019 48   @ Northwestern W 65-63 59%    
  Feb 26, 2019 23   @ Indiana L 65-66 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 54   Penn St. W 67-58 79%    
  Mar 07, 2019 39   Iowa W 75-68 74%    
  Mar 10, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 63-65 41%    
Projected Record 21.7 - 9.3 13.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.7 4.2 2.3 0.8 0.1 15.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.0 6.3 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.5 6.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.8 4.9 7.7 10.8 13.5 14.8 14.2 12.0 8.8 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 99.9% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 95.8% 2.3    2.1 0.2 0.0
17-3 81.8% 4.2    3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 53.8% 4.7    2.4 1.9 0.4 0.0
15-5 23.9% 2.9    0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 9.2 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 35.1% 64.9% 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.8% 100.0% 35.8% 64.2% 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 2.4% 100.0% 29.3% 70.7% 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 5.1% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 1.7 2.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 8.8% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 2.2 1.5 4.5 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 12.0% 99.9% 16.7% 83.2% 2.9 0.6 4.0 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 14.2% 99.8% 12.9% 86.9% 3.7 0.1 1.8 5.2 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 14.8% 99.1% 9.2% 90.0% 4.7 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.3 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.0%
12-8 13.5% 97.7% 6.2% 91.4% 5.8 0.0 0.7 2.2 3.4 3.0 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 97.5%
11-9 10.8% 94.0% 4.2% 89.9% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 93.8%
10-10 7.7% 86.3% 2.7% 83.6% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 86.0%
9-11 4.9% 60.6% 1.6% 59.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 59.9%
8-12 2.8% 27.7% 0.9% 26.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 27.1%
7-13 1.3% 6.8% 0.7% 6.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 6.2%
6-14 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.6%
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.0% 2.4% 2.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 91.9% 10.9% 81.0% 4.6 6.8 14.0 16.1 13.6 11.5 9.0 6.8 5.3 3.4 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.1 90.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 96.7 3.3