Yale
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#87
Achievement Rating+11.7#43
Pace75.6#47
Improvement-0.5#211

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#95
First Shot+3.1#83
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#189
Layup/Dunks+4.0#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
Freethrows-0.7#232
Improvement+0.3#168

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#94
First Shot+3.4#71
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#233
Layups/Dunks+1.6#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#53
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement-0.8#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 15.3% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.9% 9.9% 1.8%
Average Seed 11.6 11.3 11.9
.500 or above 28.3% 62.1% 22.5%
.500 or above in Conference 7.8% 26.5% 4.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.9% 5.3% 18.9%
First Four2.5% 7.4% 1.6%
First Round3.1% 11.1% 1.8%
Second Round0.8% 3.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Home) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 257   California W 76-59 86%     1 - 0 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Nov 17, 2018 76   @ Memphis L 102-109 37%     1 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Nov 21, 2018 81   @ Vermont L 70-79 39%     1 - 2 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Nov 28, 2018 326   @ Bryant W 103-61 90%     2 - 2 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2018 60   Miami (FL) W 77-73 42%     3 - 2 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Dec 05, 2018 159   Lehigh W 97-87 79%     4 - 2 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2018 1   @ Duke L 58-91 3%     4 - 3 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Dec 11, 2018 292   Albany W 71-63 92%     5 - 3 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Dec 20, 2018 260   @ Monmouth W 66-58 80%     6 - 3 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2018 217   Iona W 99-84 87%     7 - 3 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Jan 02, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 92-65 97%     8 - 3 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Jan 05, 2019 272   @ Cal St. Northridge W 94-90 81%     9 - 3 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Jan 19, 2019 155   @ Brown W 70-67 60%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Jan 25, 2019 155   Brown W 79-71 78%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 01, 2019 120   @ Harvard L 49-65 49%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 02, 2019 207   @ Dartmouth W 89-68 71%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 08, 2019 160   Princeton W 74-60 79%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 09, 2019 126   Penn W 78-65 70%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 15, 2019 241   @ Columbia W 70-64 77%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 16, 2019 210   @ Cornell W 98-92 72%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 22, 2019 207   Dartmouth W 81-70 86%    
  Feb 23, 2019 120   Harvard W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 01, 2019 210   Cornell W 81-69 87%    
  Mar 02, 2019 241   Columbia W 81-68 90%    
  Mar 08, 2019 126   @ Penn W 76-75 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 160   @ Princeton W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 20.4 - 5.6 11.4 - 2.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 2.6 0.3 5.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 7.8 1.9 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 3.1 14.4 8.4 0.4 26.4 6th
7th 6.7 22.9 17.1 1.9 0.0 48.6 7th
8th 2.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.1 8th
Total 9.6 28.1 33.9 20.7 6.5 1.2 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 8.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-6 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.1% 100.0% 66.7% 33.3% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
8-6 1.2% 82.8% 43.8% 39.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 69.4%
7-7 6.5% 39.9% 14.4% 25.6% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.9 29.8%
6-8 20.7% 4.4% 0.9% 3.6% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 19.8 3.6%
5-9 33.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 33.9 0.0%
4-10 28.1% 28.1
3-11 9.6% 9.6
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.6% 1.7% 2.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 95.4 2.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.7% 32.0% 11.8 0.0 1.1 8.6 18.4 3.8 0.1