Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#304
Achievement Rating-18.9#344
Pace70.3#168
Improvement+0.2#158

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#328
First Shot-4.6#298
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#298
Layup/Dunks+2.8#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#339
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+0.3#141

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#211
First Shot+0.4#155
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#287
Layups/Dunks+2.5#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#313
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement-0.1#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.4% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.1% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 32.0% 22.5%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.8% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 26.7% 20.1% 27.9%
First Four1.5% 2.2% 1.3%
First Round0.9% 1.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 148   Lehigh L 61-85 28%     0 - 1 -26.2 -19.7 -4.6
  Nov 09, 2018 168   @ Colgate L 74-87 16%     0 - 2 -10.4 -2.5 -7.2
  Nov 12, 2018 104   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-78 7%     0 - 3 -7.1 -7.3 +0.1
  Nov 15, 2018 38   West Virginia L 53-71 5%     0 - 4 -6.7 -12.2 +4.9
  Nov 16, 2018 158   Valparaiso L 53-64 21%     0 - 5 -10.8 -15.1 +3.3
  Nov 18, 2018 167   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-87 23%     0 - 6 -24.4 -14.9 -6.4
  Nov 24, 2018 183   Princeton L 57-60 36%     0 - 7 -7.4 -10.7 +2.9
  Nov 28, 2018 16   @ Kentucky L 44-90 2%     0 - 8 -28.8 -22.3 -7.3
  Dec 01, 2018 162   @ Bucknell L 43-65 15%     0 - 9 -19.0 -26.8 +7.3
  Dec 05, 2018 131   @ Hofstra L 73-75 10%     0 - 10 +3.7 +3.4 +0.2
  Dec 08, 2018 274   @ Albany L 63-82 32%     0 - 11 -22.3 -10.1 -12.7
  Dec 20, 2018 91   Yale L 68-79 15%    
  Dec 31, 2018 101   @ Penn L 61-77 6%    
  Jan 03, 2019 198   @ Iona L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 05, 2019 265   St. Peter's W 64-63 53%    
  Jan 10, 2019 249   @ Quinnipiac L 63-69 29%    
  Jan 12, 2019 310   Manhattan W 61-58 62%    
  Jan 14, 2019 269   @ Siena L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 17, 2019 256   Fairfield W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 20, 2019 198   Iona L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 24, 2019 226   @ Canisius L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 26, 2019 241   @ Niagara L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 31, 2019 269   Siena W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 02, 2019 125   Rider L 73-81 23%    
  Feb 07, 2019 265   @ St. Peter's L 61-66 32%    
  Feb 09, 2019 256   @ Fairfield L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 15, 2019 125   @ Rider L 70-84 10%    
  Feb 17, 2019 207   Marist L 65-67 41%    
  Feb 22, 2019 226   Canisius L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 24, 2019 249   Quinnipiac L 65-66 50%    
  Mar 01, 2019 310   @ Manhattan L 58-61 41%    
Projected Record 6.9 - 24.1 6.7 - 11.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.1 0.3 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.3 4.8 0.8 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.0 1.6 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.5 2.8 0.2 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.4 6.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 16.2 10th
11th 0.3 1.2 3.1 5.2 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 17.3 11th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.3 6.5 10.1 13.3 14.6 14.4 12.5 9.7 6.5 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 87.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 57.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 33.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 23.7% 23.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 16.3% 16.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.0% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
12-6 2.2% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.2 2.0
11-7 3.9% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.2 3.7
10-8 6.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.3 6.2
9-9 9.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.4
8-10 12.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.3
7-11 14.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.3
6-12 14.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.5
5-13 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
4-14 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-15 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%