Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#271
Achievement Rating-5.4#244
Pace68.7#187
Improvement+5.5#14

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#326
First Shot-6.0#323
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#233
Layup/Dunks+0.9#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#347
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement+2.9#44

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#157
First Shot+1.9#113
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#295
Layups/Dunks+4.1#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#315
Freethrows-1.6#277
Improvement+2.6#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.9% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 23.2% 37.9% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.1% 7.9% 6.1%
First Round4.5% 5.3% 3.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 158   Lehigh L 61-85 36%     0 - 1 -26.5 -21.6 -2.9
  Nov 09, 2018 153   @ Colgate L 74-87 18%     0 - 2 -9.7 -3.8 -5.1
  Nov 12, 2018 182   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-78 23%     0 - 3 -13.6 -9.4 -4.4
  Nov 15, 2018 105   West Virginia L 53-71 15%     0 - 4 -13.4 -16.1 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2018 184   Valparaiso L 53-64 32%     0 - 5 -12.4 -14.1 +0.7
  Nov 18, 2018 159   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-87 27%     0 - 6 -23.9 -15.1 -5.7
  Nov 24, 2018 164   Princeton L 57-60 37%     0 - 7 -5.9 -7.2 +0.9
  Nov 28, 2018 5   @ Kentucky L 44-90 1%     0 - 8 -23.3 -16.8 -7.3
  Dec 01, 2018 146   @ Bucknell L 43-65 16%     0 - 9 -17.7 -26.9 +8.7
  Dec 05, 2018 87   @ Hofstra L 73-75 9%     0 - 10 +6.6 +4.0 +2.4
  Dec 08, 2018 293   @ Albany L 63-82 44%     0 - 11 -23.6 -8.5 -15.6
  Dec 20, 2018 88   Yale L 58-66 19%     0 - 12 -4.9 -11.5 +6.4
  Dec 31, 2018 132   @ Penn W 76-74 14%     1 - 12 +7.3 +4.8 +2.5
  Jan 03, 2019 222   @ Iona L 84-103 30%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -19.7 +3.4 -22.0
  Jan 05, 2019 310   St. Peter's W 61-44 69%     2 - 13 1 - 1 +5.5 -10.4 +16.9
  Jan 10, 2019 211   @ Quinnipiac L 83-89 28%     2 - 14 1 - 2 -6.3 -6.5 +1.2
  Jan 12, 2019 308   Manhattan W 65-49 68%     3 - 14 2 - 2 +4.8 -2.6 +8.9
  Jan 14, 2019 251   @ Siena W 63-60 36%     4 - 14 3 - 2 +0.4 -6.9 +7.4
  Jan 17, 2019 286   Fairfield W 74-57 63%     5 - 14 4 - 2 +7.2 -2.6 +9.6
  Jan 20, 2019 222   Iona W 83-81 50%     6 - 14 5 - 2 -4.3 -0.8 -3.6
  Jan 24, 2019 247   @ Canisius L 66-80 35%     6 - 15 5 - 3 -16.3 -10.3 -5.7
  Jan 26, 2019 299   @ Niagara L 48-75 45%     6 - 16 5 - 4 -32.1 -24.9 -10.2
  Jan 31, 2019 251   Siena W 66-55 57%     7 - 16 6 - 4 +2.9 -5.5 +9.2
  Feb 02, 2019 195   Rider W 75-71 44%     8 - 16 7 - 4 -0.8 -2.7 +1.7
  Feb 07, 2019 310   @ St. Peter's W 53-51 49%     9 - 16 8 - 4 -4.0 -11.1 +7.4
  Feb 09, 2019 286   @ Fairfield W 61-49 42%     10 - 16 9 - 4 +7.7 -9.0 +17.3
  Feb 15, 2019 195   @ Rider L 72-81 25%     10 - 17 9 - 5 -8.3 -10.6 +3.7
  Feb 17, 2019 235   Marist L 67-75 54%     10 - 18 9 - 6 -15.2 -4.5 -11.5
  Feb 22, 2019 247   Canisius W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 24, 2019 211   Quinnipiac L 67-68 49%    
  Mar 01, 2019 308   @ Manhattan L 58-59 47%    
Projected Record 11.5 - 19.5 10.5 - 7.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 9.0 14.1 23.2 1st
2nd 1.1 18.7 19.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 8.5 8.5 17.0 3rd
4th 0.5 16.7 1.1 18.3 4th
5th 3.3 8.6 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 6.0 0.9 6.9 6th
7th 2.6 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.3 0.3 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 12.6 35.9 37.4 14.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 14.1    5.5 6.5 1.9 0.2
11-7 24.2% 9.0    0.1 0.9 2.8 3.4 1.6 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.2% 23.2 5.6 7.4 4.7 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.1% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.1 1.6 12.5
11-7 37.4% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 3.3 34.0
10-8 35.9% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 2.4 33.5
9-9 12.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 12.2
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 7.7 92.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 16.0 3.3 96.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 6.4%