Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#40
Achievement Rating+8.5#77
Pace64.5#311
Improvement+0.0#172

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#75
First Shot+3.7#72
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#147
Layup/Dunks+1.2#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#207
Freethrows+5.9#4
Improvement+1.4#65

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#23
First Shot+6.6#23
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#170
Layups/Dunks+9.1#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#301
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement-1.4#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.9% 7.5% 1.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.4% 60.8% 38.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 49.7% 60.2% 37.4%
Average Seed 8.0 7.6 8.6
.500 or above 85.8% 92.1% 78.4%
.500 or above in Conference 55.4% 60.2% 49.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.1% 2.1%
First Four6.1% 5.8% 6.4%
First Round47.7% 58.1% 35.2%
Second Round26.4% 32.7% 19.0%
Sweet Sixteen9.4% 12.2% 6.2%
Elite Eight3.6% 4.8% 2.2%
Final Four1.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Championship Game0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 54.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 253   Eastern Washington W 66-34 95%     1 - 0 +23.6 -8.9 +33.5
  Nov 10, 2018 278   Morehead St. W 84-70 96%     2 - 0 +4.5 -2.8 +6.0
  Nov 15, 2018 84   Connecticut L 76-83 67%     2 - 1 -0.8 -0.5 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2018 33   Oregon L 65-80 46%     2 - 2 -3.1 -1.8 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2018 160   Colgate W 77-56 89%     3 - 2 +18.2 +7.4 +12.3
  Nov 28, 2018 19   @ Ohio St. W 72-62 30%     4 - 2 +26.2 +16.3 +11.1
  Dec 01, 2018 234   Cornell W 63-55 94%     5 - 2 +0.7 +0.9 +1.5
  Dec 04, 2018 91   Northeastern W 72-49 78%     6 - 2 +25.9 +9.2 +20.6
  Dec 08, 2018 104   Georgetown W 72-71 80%     7 - 2 +2.9 -2.0 +4.9
  Dec 15, 2018 93   Old Dominion L 62-68 78%     7 - 3 -3.3 -3.3 -0.3
  Dec 18, 2018 27   Buffalo W 74-73 54%    
  Dec 22, 2018 285   Arkansas St. W 80-59 97%    
  Dec 29, 2018 154   St. Bonaventure W 71-58 89%    
  Jan 05, 2019 48   @ Notre Dame L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 09, 2019 52   Clemson W 68-64 66%    
  Jan 12, 2019 80   Georgia Tech W 66-59 73%    
  Jan 14, 2019 1   @ Duke L 67-82 8%    
  Jan 19, 2019 115   Pittsburgh W 71-61 82%    
  Jan 24, 2019 46   Miami (FL) W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 26, 2019 9   @ Virginia Tech L 64-74 20%    
  Jan 30, 2019 105   @ Boston College W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 02, 2019 115   @ Pittsburgh W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 05, 2019 15   Florida St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 09, 2019 105   Boston College W 74-65 80%    
  Feb 13, 2019 20   @ North Carolina St. L 73-78 32%    
  Feb 20, 2019 34   Louisville W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 23, 2019 1   Duke L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 26, 2019 2   @ North Carolina L 73-84 17%    
  Mar 02, 2019 158   @ Wake Forest W 72-65 74%    
  Mar 04, 2019 6   Virginia L 58-62 35%    
  Mar 09, 2019 52   @ Clemson L 65-67 44%    
Projected Record 18.3 - 12.7 8.8 - 9.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.4 0.9 0.1 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.4 1.7 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.6 3.0 0.3 10.9 6th
7th 1.3 5.0 4.6 0.8 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.6 4.6 5.5 1.6 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.9 5.4 1.9 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.0 3.0 0.3 10.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.7 2.7 0.5 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 15th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.7 5.3 8.4 11.8 14.9 14.9 14.5 11.3 7.6 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 88.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 48.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 21.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
13-5 3.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 3.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.0% 99.0% 6.5% 92.5% 4.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.9%
13-5 4.2% 98.8% 6.2% 92.6% 5.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 98.7%
12-6 7.6% 97.2% 3.1% 94.1% 6.4 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.2%
11-7 11.3% 90.8% 1.9% 88.9% 7.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.0 90.6%
10-8 14.5% 78.9% 0.6% 78.3% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.1 78.8%
9-9 14.9% 60.4% 0.7% 59.7% 9.6 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 5.9 60.1%
8-10 14.9% 29.1% 0.4% 28.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.6 28.8%
7-11 11.8% 6.5% 6.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.0 6.5%
6-12 8.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 8.3 0.7%
5-13 5.3% 5.3
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 50.4% 1.3% 49.1% 8.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 4.2 5.4 6.6 7.6 6.7 6.3 5.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 49.7 49.7%