Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#40
Achievement Rating+11.8#39
Pace65.4#280
Improvement+0.8#150

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#87
First Shot+4.2#58
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks-1.7#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#136
Freethrows+2.4#36
Improvement+0.3#181

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#18
First Shot+9.3#7
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#312
Layups/Dunks+10.2#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#264
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 85.2% 94.2% 78.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 85.1% 94.2% 77.9%
Average Seed 9.2 8.7 9.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 94.7% 100.0% 90.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.7% 6.5% 14.1%
First Round80.0% 91.1% 71.0%
Second Round36.6% 43.9% 30.7%
Sweet Sixteen7.9% 9.5% 6.6%
Elite Eight2.7% 3.3% 2.1%
Final Four0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Home) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 238   Eastern Washington W 66-34 95%     1 - 0 +24.6 -9.6 +35.1
  Nov 10, 2018 268   Morehead St. W 84-70 96%     2 - 0 +5.2 -3.3 +7.1
  Nov 15, 2018 83   Connecticut L 76-83 68%     2 - 1 -1.0 -1.0 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2018 55   Oregon L 65-80 60%     2 - 2 -6.6 -0.9 -5.7
  Nov 21, 2018 153   Colgate W 77-56 89%     3 - 2 +18.8 +6.0 +14.2
  Nov 28, 2018 41   @ Ohio St. W 72-62 40%     4 - 2 +23.5 +16.4 +8.4
  Dec 01, 2018 210   Cornell W 63-55 93%     5 - 2 +2.3 +1.5 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2018 101   Northeastern W 72-49 80%     6 - 2 +25.1 +10.4 +18.6
  Dec 08, 2018 68   Georgetown W 72-71 74%     7 - 2 +5.3 -1.8 +7.1
  Dec 15, 2018 111   Old Dominion L 62-68 82%     7 - 3 -4.6 -5.5 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2018 28   Buffalo L 59-71 53%     7 - 4 -1.9 -8.8 +6.8
  Dec 22, 2018 259   Arkansas St. W 82-52 95%     8 - 4 +21.6 +12.2 +12.5
  Dec 29, 2018 133   St. Bonaventure W 81-47 86%     9 - 4 +33.5 +13.0 +21.5
  Jan 05, 2019 65   @ Notre Dame W 72-62 54%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +20.0 +7.6 +13.0
  Jan 09, 2019 30   Clemson W 61-53 55%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +17.6 -1.9 +19.9
  Jan 12, 2019 108   Georgia Tech L 59-73 81%     11 - 5 2 - 1 -12.4 -7.5 -5.0
  Jan 14, 2019 1   @ Duke W 95-91 7%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +31.4 +12.2 +18.3
  Jan 19, 2019 91   Pittsburgh W 74-63 78%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +13.7 +4.0 +9.7
  Jan 24, 2019 60   Miami (FL) W 73-53 72%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +25.0 +15.9 +12.7
  Jan 26, 2019 17   @ Virginia Tech L 56-78 24%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -3.8 -5.0 -0.7
  Jan 30, 2019 97   @ Boston College W 77-71 62%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +13.8 +17.7 -3.1
  Feb 02, 2019 91   @ Pittsburgh W 65-56 60%     16 - 6 7 - 2 +17.2 +8.6 +10.1
  Feb 05, 2019 18   Florida St. L 62-80 43%     16 - 7 7 - 3 -5.4 -5.7 +0.8
  Feb 09, 2019 97   Boston College W 67-56 79%     17 - 7 8 - 3 +13.3 -1.2 +15.1
  Feb 13, 2019 32   @ North Carolina St. L 58-73 36%     17 - 8 8 - 4 -0.4 -10.4 +10.5
  Feb 20, 2019 16   Louisville L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 1   Duke L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 26, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 70-82 13%    
  Mar 02, 2019 176   @ Wake Forest W 72-63 79%    
  Mar 04, 2019 3   Virginia L 55-63 22%    
  Mar 09, 2019 30   @ Clemson L 61-65 34%    
Projected Record 19.1 - 11.9 10.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 4.8 0.6 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 9.8 2.5 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.3 10.3 9.1 0.2 20.0 6th
7th 0.2 8.7 21.2 2.0 0.0 32.2 7th
8th 2.0 12.8 2.9 17.7 8th
9th 3.0 3.8 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 5.3 25.6 35.7 23.4 8.3 1.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 14.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 3.7% 96.3% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.6% 100.0% 2.5% 97.5% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 8.3% 99.6% 1.4% 98.2% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 23.4% 97.7% 0.7% 97.1% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.6 6.8 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 97.7%
10-8 35.7% 91.2% 0.3% 90.9% 9.4 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.2 9.6 9.7 5.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.1 91.2%
9-9 25.6% 73.0% 0.2% 72.8% 10.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.8 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.9 73.0%
8-10 5.3% 20.8% 0.1% 20.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 4.2 20.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 85.2% 0.5% 84.7% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 8.6 15.9 21.9 19.9 12.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 14.8 85.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 5.0 9.5 16.7 45.2 23.8 4.8
Lose Out 3.1% 0.2% 12.5 0.1 0.1