Oregon
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#55
Achievement Rating+6.6#84
Pace63.6#313
Improvement-3.7#314

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#124
First Shot+0.6#164
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#85
Layup/Dunks+0.7#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement-4.3#325

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#26
First Shot+5.4#37
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#61
Layups/Dunks+1.9#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#22
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#162
Freethrows+0.6#136
Improvement+0.6#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 20.0% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.0% 7.8% 2.6%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 99.2% 100.0% 98.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.2% 88.9% 59.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.3% 5.0% 1.9%
First Round13.4% 17.5% 9.9%
Second Round4.3% 5.8% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 291   Portland St. W 84-57 95%     1 - 0 +16.9 +11.2 +8.2
  Nov 09, 2018 238   Eastern Washington W 81-47 92%     2 - 0 +26.6 +11.2 +18.6
  Nov 15, 2018 26   Iowa L 69-77 33%     2 - 1 +4.9 -3.2 +8.3
  Nov 16, 2018 40   Syracuse W 80-65 40%     3 - 1 +25.9 +15.1 +10.9
  Nov 20, 2018 224   Green Bay W 83-72 91%     4 - 1 +4.4 -0.1 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2018 228   Texas Southern L 84-89 92%     4 - 2 -11.9 -3.5 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2018 20   @ Houston L 61-65 19%     4 - 3 +13.7 +0.1 +13.5
  Dec 08, 2018 171   Nebraska Omaha W 84-61 86%     5 - 3 +19.8 +19.0 +4.8
  Dec 12, 2018 103   San Diego W 65-55 73%     6 - 3 +12.0 +1.5 +11.7
  Dec 15, 2018 125   Boise St. W 66-54 78%     7 - 3 +12.5 +2.3 +11.9
  Dec 18, 2018 325   Florida A&M W 71-64 97%     8 - 3 -6.5 +0.4 -6.4
  Dec 21, 2018 33   @ Baylor L 47-57 28%     8 - 4 +4.5 -10.9 +13.5
  Dec 29, 2018 125   @ Boise St. W 62-50 59%     9 - 4 +18.0 -3.0 +22.1
  Jan 05, 2019 75   Oregon St. L 72-77 67%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -1.2 -4.4 +3.5
  Jan 10, 2019 94   UCLA L 84-87 72%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -0.5 +0.6 -0.7
  Jan 13, 2019 78   USC W 81-60 68%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +24.5 +15.6 +10.5
  Jan 17, 2019 84   @ Arizona W 59-54 49%     11 - 6 2 - 2 +13.7 -1.7 +16.0
  Jan 19, 2019 54   @ Arizona St. L 64-78 38%     11 - 7 2 - 3 -2.5 -0.1 -3.1
  Jan 24, 2019 36   Washington L 56-61 49%     11 - 8 2 - 4 +3.6 -3.6 +6.6
  Jan 27, 2019 167   Washington St. W 78-58 86%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +17.0 +12.8 +7.4
  Jan 31, 2019 95   @ Utah W 78-72 52%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +13.9 +6.8 +7.3
  Feb 02, 2019 66   @ Colorado L 51-73 44%     13 - 9 4 - 5 -12.1 -16.2 +4.3
  Feb 06, 2019 257   California W 73-62 93%     14 - 9 5 - 5 +2.7 -0.9 +4.4
  Feb 10, 2019 92   Stanford W 69-46 71%     15 - 9 6 - 5 +25.6 +2.6 +24.5
  Feb 16, 2019 75   @ Oregon St. L 57-72 46%     15 - 10 6 - 6 -5.6 -7.7 +0.8
  Feb 21, 2019 78   @ USC L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 23, 2019 94   @ UCLA W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 28, 2019 54   Arizona St. W 71-69 60%    
  Mar 02, 2019 84   Arizona W 67-62 70%    
  Mar 06, 2019 167   @ Washington St. W 74-68 70%    
  Mar 09, 2019 36   @ Washington L 60-66 29%    
Projected Record 18.3 - 12.7 9.3 - 8.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.4 5.0 2.4 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 4.4 6.3 0.3 11.0 3rd
4th 0.3 10.4 1.8 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 3.6 9.0 0.2 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 11.0 2.7 0.0 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 11.3 0.3 13.6 7th
8th 0.2 8.5 3.4 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 7.0 0.1 9.2 9th
10th 0.7 4.1 1.4 6.2 10th
11th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.1 6.7 19.1 29.8 27.2 13.4 2.8 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 2.8% 59.5% 24.7% 34.8% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 46.2%
11-7 13.4% 33.3% 19.4% 13.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.9 17.2%
10-8 27.2% 17.6% 13.2% 4.5% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 22.4 5.1%
9-9 29.8% 9.3% 7.8% 1.5% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 27.1 1.6%
8-10 19.1% 5.6% 5.5% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 18.0 0.0%
7-11 6.7% 5.3% 5.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.3
6-12 1.1% 3.7% 3.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.1% 10.6% 4.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.8 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 84.9 5.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 8.9 2.6 13.4 21.5 27.5 23.2 10.6 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5% 63.0% 10.6 1.4 7.2 19.2 24.5 9.8 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7% 51.0% 11.0 0.6 3.0 9.7 22.8 12.7 2.3
Lose Out 0.5%