TCU
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#30
Achievement Rating+14.2#34
Pace72.0#127
Improvement+5.1#1

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#38
First Shot+7.4#19
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#257
Layup/Dunks+9.3#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows-1.3#245
Improvement+2.4#21

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#28
First Shot+2.6#96
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#12
Layups/Dunks+0.5#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#98
Freethrows-0.2#184
Improvement+2.7#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 16.7% 17.9% 5.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.1% 68.1% 47.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.1% 65.2% 45.0%
Average Seed 6.6 6.5 7.8
.500 or above 92.6% 94.0% 79.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.5% 63.0% 48.2%
Conference Champion 8.2% 8.6% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 5.1% 9.8%
First Four4.4% 4.4% 5.1%
First Round64.1% 66.2% 45.3%
Second Round41.9% 43.7% 25.9%
Sweet Sixteen19.1% 20.1% 10.3%
Elite Eight8.0% 8.4% 4.1%
Final Four3.2% 3.4% 1.4%
Championship Game1.2% 1.3% 0.5%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Home) - 90.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 211   Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-61 95%     1 - 0 -0.9 -7.5 +6.6
  Nov 11, 2018 320   Oral Roberts W 79-62 98%     2 - 0 +4.1 -5.0 +8.4
  Nov 15, 2018 61   Fresno St. W 77-69 76%     3 - 0 +12.9 +3.0 +9.5
  Nov 20, 2018 74   Lipscomb L 64-73 80%     3 - 1 -5.5 -8.4 +3.3
  Nov 26, 2018 182   Eastern Michigan W 87-69 93%     4 - 1 +13.6 +15.8 -1.3
  Nov 30, 2018 173   Central Michigan W 89-62 93%     5 - 1 +23.2 +6.8 +14.4
  Dec 05, 2018 115   @ SMU W 67-59 70%     6 - 1 +15.2 +3.9 +12.4
  Dec 07, 2018 92   USC W 96-61 74%     7 - 1 +40.6 +13.3 +22.9
  Dec 16, 2018 140   Indiana St. W 79-65 90%    
  Dec 22, 2018 309   Charlotte W 81-57 99%    
  Jan 05, 2019 82   Baylor W 74-65 81%    
  Jan 09, 2019 5   @ Kansas L 71-80 20%    
  Jan 12, 2019 25   @ Oklahoma L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 15, 2019 38   West Virginia W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 19, 2019 28   @ Kansas St. L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 23, 2019 46   Texas W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 26, 2019 20   Florida W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 28, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 02, 2019 82   @ Baylor W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 06, 2019 73   Oklahoma St. W 77-68 78%    
  Feb 09, 2019 22   @ Iowa St. L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 11, 2019 5   Kansas L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 16, 2019 25   Oklahoma W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 18, 2019 73   @ Oklahoma St. W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 23, 2019 22   Iowa St. W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 26, 2019 38   @ West Virginia L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 02, 2019 12   Texas Tech L 68-69 49%    
  Mar 04, 2019 28   Kansas St. W 69-66 60%    
  Mar 09, 2019 46   @ Texas L 68-69 48%    
Projected Record 18.8 - 10.2 9.3 - 8.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.4 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.2 3.5 0.6 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.6 7.4 10.0 12.3 13.8 13.3 11.8 9.5 6.5 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.9% 0.7    0.7 0.1
15-3 87.0% 1.7    1.3 0.4 0.0
14-4 63.2% 2.4    1.4 0.8 0.1
13-5 33.1% 2.1    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 9.8% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.2% 8.2 4.6 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 54.5% 45.5% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 39.6% 60.4% 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 31.4% 68.6% 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.9% 100.0% 26.3% 73.7% 2.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.8% 99.8% 24.0% 75.8% 3.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 6.5% 99.6% 18.4% 81.1% 4.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-6 9.5% 98.9% 13.7% 85.2% 5.0 0.1 1.2 2.5 2.4 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.7%
11-7 11.8% 96.8% 10.4% 86.4% 6.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.8 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 96.4%
10-8 13.3% 91.9% 7.7% 84.2% 7.3 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.5 2.7 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 91.2%
9-9 13.8% 81.3% 5.5% 75.9% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.5 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 80.3%
8-10 12.3% 51.6% 3.4% 48.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.9 49.9%
7-11 10.0% 19.9% 2.1% 17.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 18.2%
6-12 7.4% 4.8% 1.4% 3.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.0 3.4%
5-13 4.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.4%
4-14 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0%
3-15 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 66.1% 8.0% 58.1% 6.6 1.1 3.1 5.5 6.9 7.9 8.5 7.8 7.2 6.3 4.9 4.0 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 33.9 63.1%