TCU
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#37
Achievement Rating+11.5#45
Pace71.1#119
Improvement-3.2#300

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#37
First Shot+6.1#30
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#185
Layup/Dunks+5.8#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
Freethrows+1.1#102
Improvement+0.0#191

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#44
First Shot+3.7#66
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#38
Layups/Dunks+1.1#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#89
Freethrows+1.0#116
Improvement-3.2#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.4% 79.0% 48.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.0% 78.0% 46.7%
Average Seed 9.5 8.9 10.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.9% 30.4% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.5%
First Four15.7% 13.1% 17.6%
First Round54.2% 73.0% 40.2%
Second Round26.0% 36.6% 18.0%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 9.4% 4.7%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Final Four0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Home) - 42.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 200   Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-61 93%     1 - 0 -0.1 -10.0 +9.9
  Nov 11, 2018 280   Oral Roberts W 79-62 96%     2 - 0 +7.5 -4.4 +11.3
  Nov 15, 2018 59   Fresno St. W 77-69 72%     3 - 0 +13.1 +3.1 +9.6
  Nov 20, 2018 48   Lipscomb L 64-73 68%     3 - 1 -2.4 -6.5 +4.4
  Nov 26, 2018 149   Eastern Michigan W 87-69 88%     4 - 1 +16.4 +18.0 -0.7
  Nov 30, 2018 147   Central Michigan W 89-62 88%     5 - 1 +25.6 +6.2 +17.5
  Dec 05, 2018 104   @ SMU W 67-59 65%     6 - 1 +15.4 +2.7 +13.8
  Dec 07, 2018 78   USC W 96-61 69%     7 - 1 +41.3 +13.7 +23.1
  Dec 16, 2018 199   Indiana St. W 90-70 93%     8 - 1 +15.0 +9.1 +4.4
  Dec 23, 2018 146   Bucknell W 82-65 82%     9 - 1 +18.6 +8.5 +9.8
  Dec 23, 2018 287   Charlotte W 82-57 95%     10 - 1 +17.8 +8.4 +9.4
  Dec 25, 2018 199   Indiana St. W 83-69 89%     11 - 1 +11.7 +7.1 +4.1
  Jan 05, 2019 33   Baylor W 85-81 59%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +12.9 +14.0 -1.2
  Jan 09, 2019 11   @ Kansas L 68-77 23%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +10.2 +2.4 +8.2
  Jan 12, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma L 74-76 38%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +12.4 +6.9 +5.6
  Jan 15, 2019 105   West Virginia W 98-67 81%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +32.8 +20.7 +10.4
  Jan 19, 2019 25   @ Kansas St. L 55-65 32%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +6.0 +2.1 +2.3
  Jan 23, 2019 27   Texas W 65-61 54%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +14.2 -2.9 +17.1
  Jan 26, 2019 29   Florida W 55-50 55%     15 - 4 +15.1 -2.3 +18.1
  Jan 28, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 65-84 21%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +0.7 +13.7 -15.1
  Feb 02, 2019 33   @ Baylor L 64-90 38%     15 - 6 3 - 5 -11.5 +5.3 -20.0
  Feb 06, 2019 86   Oklahoma St. W 70-68 78%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +5.1 +4.6 +0.7
  Feb 09, 2019 12   @ Iowa St. W 92-83 23%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +28.0 +19.6 +7.7
  Feb 11, 2019 11   Kansas L 77-82 41%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +8.7 -0.3 +9.8
  Feb 16, 2019 34   Oklahoma L 62-71 59%     17 - 8 5 - 7 -0.2 -1.8 +1.3
  Feb 18, 2019 86   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-68 60%     17 - 9 5 - 8 +1.6 -3.3 +4.4
  Feb 23, 2019 12   Iowa St. L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 26, 2019 105   @ West Virginia W 77-73 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 9   Texas Tech L 65-68 40%    
  Mar 04, 2019 25   Kansas St. W 66-65 54%    
  Mar 09, 2019 27   @ Texas L 68-72 33%    
Projected Record 19.3 - 11.7 7.3 - 10.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 1.6 4.7 5th
6th 1.1 9.6 8.4 0.5 19.6 6th
7th 0.9 10.4 26.2 18.2 2.0 0.0 57.7 7th
8th 3.5 8.7 4.3 0.3 16.8 8th
9th 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 4.9 19.2 31.6 28.4 13.3 2.6 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.6% 100.0% 8.1% 91.9% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-9 13.3% 99.3% 6.2% 93.1% 7.6 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.3 4.7 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
8-10 28.4% 89.8% 4.5% 85.3% 9.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.2 7.1 7.5 4.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.9 89.3%
7-11 31.6% 53.5% 2.9% 50.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.4 4.6 1.0 0.0 14.7 52.1%
6-12 19.2% 16.1% 2.0% 14.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.1 16.1 14.4%
5-13 4.9% 3.0% 1.5% 1.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.7 1.5%
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 61.4% 3.7% 57.7% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.5 6.3 9.6 10.3 11.5 11.5 6.9 1.8 0.1 38.6 60.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 4.2 12.6 55.1 28.5 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 100.0% 5.9 3.7 27.8 44.1 20.7 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7% 99.8% 6.5 0.9 10.6 39.3 36.0 11.6 1.4
Lose Out 1.9%