Texas
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#46
Achievement Rating+7.2#94
Pace68.8#213
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#136
First Shot+0.8#162
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#143
Layup/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#97
Freethrows-1.2#240
Improvement+0.0#166

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#7
First Shot+8.6#8
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#174
Layups/Dunks+9.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#171
Freethrows+2.3#64
Improvement-1.1#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.5% 7.4% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.7% 53.4% 33.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.6% 51.4% 31.4%
Average Seed 7.9 7.5 8.5
.500 or above 58.7% 71.3% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.9% 42.8% 31.8%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.6% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 14.7% 11.7% 17.3%
First Four5.6% 5.9% 5.3%
First Round40.0% 50.5% 30.8%
Second Round21.9% 28.8% 15.9%
Sweet Sixteen7.8% 11.1% 5.1%
Elite Eight2.9% 4.0% 1.9%
Final Four1.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Championship Game0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Purdue (Home) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 318   Eastern Illinois W 71-59 97%     1 - 0 -0.7 -10.1 +8.9
  Nov 09, 2018 58   Arkansas W 73-71 55%     2 - 0 +10.6 -4.5 +14.9
  Nov 12, 2018 202   Louisiana Monroe W 65-55 92%     3 - 0 +4.5 -8.7 +13.6
  Nov 16, 2018 184   The Citadel W 97-69 90%     4 - 0 +23.5 +5.5 +14.8
  Nov 22, 2018 8   North Carolina W 92-89 22%     5 - 0 +21.1 +13.3 +7.4
  Nov 23, 2018 7   Michigan St. L 68-78 21%     5 - 1 +8.3 +0.5 +8.0
  Nov 30, 2018 132   Radford L 59-62 83%     5 - 2 -3.4 -13.4 +10.0
  Dec 05, 2018 88   Virginia Commonwealth L 53-54 75%     5 - 3 +1.8 -8.7 +10.4
  Dec 09, 2018 19   Purdue L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 15, 2018 120   Grand Canyon W 72-63 81%    
  Dec 21, 2018 72   Providence W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 28, 2018 252   Texas Arlington W 75-57 95%    
  Jan 02, 2019 28   @ Kansas St. L 59-65 30%    
  Jan 05, 2019 38   West Virginia W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 08, 2019 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 12, 2019 12   Texas Tech L 62-65 40%    
  Jan 14, 2019 5   @ Kansas L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 19, 2019 25   Oklahoma L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 23, 2019 30   @ TCU L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 26, 2019 111   @ Georgia W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 29, 2019 5   Kansas L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 02, 2019 22   @ Iowa St. L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 06, 2019 82   Baylor W 68-61 73%    
  Feb 09, 2019 38   @ West Virginia L 67-71 34%    
  Feb 12, 2019 28   Kansas St. W 63-62 51%    
  Feb 16, 2019 73   Oklahoma St. W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 23, 2019 25   @ Oklahoma L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 27, 2019 82   @ Baylor W 65-64 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 22   Iowa St. L 69-70 49%    
  Mar 04, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 59-68 22%    
  Mar 09, 2019 30   TCU W 69-68 52%    
Projected Record 16.1 - 14.9 7.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.1 3.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 5.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.5 3.8 0.5 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.2 3.7 0.5 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 4.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.9 6.8 9.9 12.6 13.8 13.7 12.0 9.6 6.8 4.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.9% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 64.8% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 35.8% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 44.0% 56.0% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 24.1% 75.9% 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 23.0% 77.0% 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.2% 99.9% 17.5% 82.4% 3.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-5 2.4% 99.8% 14.4% 85.4% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 4.4% 98.6% 9.4% 89.3% 5.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.5%
11-7 6.8% 96.0% 7.8% 88.2% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 95.7%
10-8 9.6% 90.1% 5.9% 84.3% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 89.5%
9-9 12.0% 78.9% 4.4% 74.5% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 77.9%
8-10 13.7% 47.5% 2.8% 44.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.2 46.0%
7-11 13.8% 18.0% 1.6% 16.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.3 16.6%
6-12 12.6% 4.1% 0.9% 3.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.1 3.2%
5-13 9.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8 0.3%
4-14 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
2-16 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 42.7% 3.5% 39.2% 7.9 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 3.8 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.7 4.7 4.3 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 57.3 40.6%