Oklahoma
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#35
Achievement Rating+11.9#37
Pace73.0#82
Improvement-4.4#327

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#63
First Shot+6.0#34
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#303
Layup/Dunks+4.4#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#229
Freethrows+0.8#122
Improvement-2.1#279

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#19
First Shot+6.9#18
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#110
Layups/Dunks+3.5#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
Freethrows+2.8#20
Improvement-2.3#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.5% 79.7% 49.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 65.2% 78.9% 47.5%
Average Seed 10.0 9.6 10.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 3.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.5% 3.9%
First Four23.7% 22.2% 25.7%
First Round56.4% 70.2% 38.4%
Second Round26.5% 34.4% 16.4%
Sweet Sixteen7.3% 9.2% 4.9%
Elite Eight2.4% 3.1% 1.5%
Final Four0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Home) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 183   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-76 83%     1 - 0 +16.5 +16.9 -1.5
  Nov 12, 2018 135   @ Texas San Antonio W 87-67 74%     2 - 0 +25.1 +5.1 +17.5
  Nov 18, 2018 38   Wofford W 75-64 63%     3 - 0 +19.4 +5.0 +14.7
  Nov 21, 2018 27   Florida W 65-60 45%     4 - 0 +17.9 +2.5 +15.5
  Nov 22, 2018 14   Wisconsin L 58-78 35%     4 - 1 -4.3 +2.6 -9.4
  Nov 23, 2018 71   Dayton W 65-54 68%     5 - 1 +17.8 +0.5 +18.5
  Nov 27, 2018 133   North Texas W 73-57 86%     6 - 1 +15.8 -5.8 +19.8
  Dec 04, 2018 65   Notre Dame W 85-80 67%     7 - 1 +12.2 +9.1 +2.8
  Dec 08, 2018 112   Wichita St. W 80-48 83%     8 - 1 +33.3 +4.9 +27.0
  Dec 15, 2018 79   USC W 81-70 78%     9 - 1 +14.6 -2.2 +15.2
  Dec 18, 2018 44   Creighton W 83-70 68%     10 - 1 +19.9 +3.2 +15.4
  Dec 21, 2018 63   @ Northwestern W 76-69 56%     11 - 1 +17.1 +8.5 +8.3
  Jan 02, 2019 11   @ Kansas L 63-70 23%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +12.3 -3.3 +16.0
  Jan 05, 2019 89   Oklahoma St. W 74-64 80%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +12.8 -1.3 +13.6
  Jan 08, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 59-66 22%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +12.7 +2.7 +9.7
  Jan 12, 2019 33   TCU W 76-74 60%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +11.1 +3.9 +7.1
  Jan 16, 2019 25   Kansas St. L 61-74 55%     13 - 4 2 - 3 -2.7 +3.4 -7.7
  Jan 19, 2019 26   @ Texas L 72-75 35%     13 - 5 2 - 4 +12.7 +14.1 -1.8
  Jan 23, 2019 89   @ Oklahoma St. W 70-61 63%     14 - 5 3 - 4 +17.2 +11.5 +7.1
  Jan 26, 2019 117   Vanderbilt W 86-55 84%     15 - 5 +32.1 +9.1 +21.1
  Jan 28, 2019 34   Baylor L 47-77 60%     15 - 6 3 - 5 -20.9 -20.1 -2.1
  Feb 02, 2019 99   @ West Virginia L 71-79 65%     15 - 7 3 - 6 -0.3 +1.7 -1.9
  Feb 04, 2019 12   Iowa St. L 74-75 43%     15 - 8 3 - 7 +12.5 +9.3 +3.1
  Feb 09, 2019 9   Texas Tech L 54-66 40%     15 - 9 3 - 8 +2.3 -4.2 +5.7
  Feb 11, 2019 34   @ Baylor L 53-59 39%     15 - 10 3 - 9 +8.5 -2.4 +9.6
  Feb 16, 2019 33   @ TCU W 71-62 39%     16 - 10 4 - 9 +23.5 +8.1 +15.8
  Feb 23, 2019 26   Texas W 69-68 56%    
  Feb 25, 2019 12   @ Iowa St. L 71-78 24%    
  Mar 02, 2019 99   West Virginia W 78-69 82%    
  Mar 05, 2019 11   Kansas L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 09, 2019 25   @ Kansas St. L 63-67 34%    
Projected Record 18.4 - 12.6 6.4 - 11.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.6 5th
6th 0.4 3.0 1.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.3 3.9 11.5 7.7 0.4 23.7 7th
8th 1.0 15.1 29.6 18.3 2.5 0.0 66.5 8th
9th 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 2.8 17.7 33.9 30.3 13.3 2.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 2.0% 100.0% 6.9% 93.1% 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
8-10 13.3% 99.3% 5.5% 93.8% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.8 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.3%
7-11 30.3% 91.4% 4.0% 87.4% 10.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 6.7 8.7 7.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 91.1%
6-12 33.9% 59.8% 3.2% 56.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 6.9 7.6 1.9 0.1 13.6 58.5%
5-13 17.7% 18.2% 2.3% 15.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 14.5 16.2%
4-14 2.8% 3.3% 1.6% 1.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.7%
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 66.5% 3.6% 62.8% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.5 11.0 12.7 14.6 11.3 3.2 0.2 0.0 33.5 65.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.9 21.4 69.0 9.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 5.6 4.1 43.8 39.7 12.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 100.0% 6.0 4.3 24.5 43.2 24.5 3.6
Lose Out 1.2%