Oklahoma
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#24
Achievement Rating+20.9#13
Pace79.3#27
Improvement+2.0#51

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#44
First Shot+7.5#19
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#307
Layup/Dunks+3.6#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#61
Freethrows+1.1#115
Improvement-0.3#195

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#18
First Shot+6.7#24
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#114
Layups/Dunks+5.0#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#303
Freethrows+4.5#10
Improvement+2.3#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 3.7% 4.5% 1.5%
Top 4 Seed 40.7% 44.9% 27.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.2% 86.8% 76.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 82.7% 85.4% 74.4%
Average Seed 5.2 5.0 5.9
.500 or above 93.9% 96.1% 87.2%
.500 or above in Conference 65.2% 67.8% 57.0%
Conference Champion 9.2% 10.1% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 3.9% 6.5%
First Four3.7% 3.4% 4.5%
First Round82.5% 85.2% 74.0%
Second Round58.1% 61.3% 48.2%
Sweet Sixteen28.9% 31.2% 21.7%
Elite Eight12.1% 13.4% 8.3%
Final Four4.8% 5.3% 3.1%
Championship Game1.8% 2.0% 1.0%
National Champion0.6% 0.7% 0.3%

Next Game: USC (Neutral) - 75.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 222   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-76 89%     1 - 0 +14.5 +14.1 -0.8
  Nov 12, 2018 187   @ Texas San Antonio W 87-67 86%     2 - 0 +21.5 +5.5 +13.6
  Nov 18, 2018 67   Wofford W 75-64 79%     3 - 0 +15.2 +5.0 +10.5
  Nov 21, 2018 19   Florida W 65-60 48%     4 - 0 +18.4 +2.3 +16.2
  Nov 22, 2018 13   Wisconsin L 58-78 41%     4 - 1 -4.8 +0.8 -8.1
  Nov 23, 2018 70   Dayton W 65-54 71%     5 - 1 +18.0 +2.2 +17.0
  Nov 27, 2018 124   North Texas W 73-57 88%     6 - 1 +16.4 -8.6 +23.1
  Dec 04, 2018 56   Notre Dame W 85-80 65%     7 - 1 +13.9 +10.4 +3.1
  Dec 08, 2018 115   Wichita St. W 80-48 86%     8 - 1 +33.2 +4.6 +27.1
  Dec 15, 2018 94   USC W 82-75 75%    
  Dec 18, 2018 41   Creighton W 86-81 69%    
  Dec 21, 2018 48   @ Northwestern W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 02, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 73-82 21%    
  Jan 05, 2019 73   Oklahoma St. W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 08, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 12, 2019 29   TCU W 78-75 63%    
  Jan 16, 2019 26   Kansas St. W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 19, 2019 42   @ Texas L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 23, 2019 73   @ Oklahoma St. W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 79   Vanderbilt W 82-73 80%    
  Jan 28, 2019 84   Baylor W 76-66 81%    
  Feb 02, 2019 38   @ West Virginia L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 04, 2019 21   Iowa St. W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 09, 2019 12   Texas Tech W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 11, 2019 84   @ Baylor W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 16, 2019 29   @ TCU L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 42   Texas W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 25, 2019 21   @ Iowa St. L 76-79 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 38   West Virginia W 79-74 66%    
  Mar 05, 2019 4   Kansas L 76-79 40%    
  Mar 09, 2019 26   @ Kansas St. L 68-71 40%    
Projected Record 20.3 - 10.7 9.6 - 8.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.1 3.8 0.9 0.1 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.3 3.6 0.5 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.9 6.5 9.4 11.9 13.7 13.9 12.7 10.2 7.1 4.3 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.5% 0.8    0.8 0.1
15-3 86.3% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
14-4 63.9% 2.8    1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.0% 2.3    0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 9.9% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.1 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 41.0% 59.0% 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 31.5% 68.5% 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.1% 100.0% 28.1% 71.9% 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.3% 100.0% 22.4% 77.6% 2.0 1.1 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.1% 100.0% 18.8% 81.2% 2.5 0.5 3.4 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 10.2% 99.9% 14.6% 85.3% 3.2 0.1 2.6 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 12.7% 99.7% 10.7% 88.9% 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.7 4.2 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
10-8 13.9% 99.0% 8.0% 91.0% 4.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.0%
9-9 13.7% 97.7% 5.6% 92.1% 5.9 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.4 3.3 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 97.6%
8-10 11.9% 88.4% 3.4% 85.0% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.4 88.0%
7-11 9.4% 65.3% 2.3% 63.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3 64.5%
6-12 6.5% 36.0% 1.2% 34.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.2 35.2%
5-13 3.9% 11.5% 1.1% 10.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.4 10.6%
4-14 2.0% 2.6% 0.7% 2.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 2.0%
3-15 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.2%
2-16 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 14.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 84.2% 8.8% 75.4% 5.2 3.7 10.7 13.0 13.2 11.2 8.1 6.2 4.9 4.4 3.6 3.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 15.8 82.7%