IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#209
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#116
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#177

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.9	#255

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.0%	16.8%	8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.0	14.8

.500 or above	55.7%	85.0%	54.4%
.500 or above in Conference	58.2%	78.2%	57.3%
Conference Champion	9.9%	21.4%	9.4%
Last Place in Conference	8.2%	2.0%	8.5%

First Four	1.4%	0.6%	1.4%
First Round	8.3%	16.7%	7.9%
Second Round	0.5%	2.1%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 10
Quad 4	13 - 5	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	27	@ Marquette	L	68-86	4%
Nov 09, 2019	351	@ Chicago St.	W	83-72	85%
Nov 13, 2019	139	@ Old Dominion	L	63-70	26%
Nov 17, 2019	288	Fairfield	W	77-70	74%
Nov 19, 2019	151	@ George Mason	L	71-78	28%
Nov 25, 2019	253	IUPUI	W	77-75	57%
Dec 01, 2019	339	Binghamton	W	78-65	87%
Dec 04, 2019	349	@ Delaware St.	W	62-53	79%
Dec 07, 2019	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	74-73	54%
Dec 27, 2019	263	Umass Lowell	W	83-77	69%
Dec 29, 2019	28	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	64-82	6%
Jan 02, 2020	312	Holy Cross	W	73-64	78%
Jan 05, 2020	227	@ Lehigh	L	80-82	42%
Jan 08, 2020	127	@ Colgate	L	71-79	24%
Jan 11, 2020	261	Lafayette	W	80-75	67%
Jan 13, 2020	200	Boston University	W	75-73	58%
Jan 18, 2020	244	@ Army	L	75-76	46%
Jan 22, 2020	184	American	W	74-72	56%
Jan 25, 2020	159	@ Bucknell	L	74-80	31%
Jan 29, 2020	200	@ Boston University	L	72-76	39%
Feb 01, 2020	267	Navy	W	75-69	69%
Feb 05, 2020	312	@ Holy Cross	W	70-67	60%
Feb 08, 2020	159	Bucknell	L	77-78	49%
Feb 12, 2020	184	@ American	L	71-75	36%
Feb 16, 2020	127	Colgate	L	74-76	42%
Feb 19, 2020	244	Army	W	78-73	65%
Feb 22, 2020	261	@ Lafayette	L	77-78	48%
Feb 26, 2020	267	@ Navy	L	72-73	50%
Feb 29, 2020	227	Lehigh	W	83-79	62%
Projected Record						15 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.8	1.8	2.5	2.5	1.5	0.6	0.1		9.9	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.5	3.7	3.7	2.1	0.5	0.0				11.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	2.0	4.6	3.9	1.3	0.1	0.0					12.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.4	5.2	3.5	0.9	0.1	0.0						12.3	4th
5th								0.3	2.4	4.9	3.1	0.5	0.0								11.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.4	5.0	2.8	0.4	0.0									11.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	2.5	4.7	2.5	0.4	0.0										10.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.5	2.2	3.6	2.0	0.3	0.0											8.8	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.2	2.7	1.3	0.2	0.0												7.4	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.5	1.2	0.5	0.1														4.9	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.4	4.0	5.9	7.8	9.6	10.4	10.7	11.1	10.1	9.3	6.9	4.8	3.0	1.6	0.6	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
16-2	97.0%	1.5		1.4	0.2	0.0
15-3	83.1%	2.5		1.8	0.6	0.0
14-4	52.5%	2.5		1.4	0.9	0.2	0.0
13-5	26.4%	1.8		0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0
12-6	8.5%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0		0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.9%	9.9		6.1	2.8	0.8	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		82.0%	75.7%	6.3%	12.6				0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		25.9%
17-1	0.6%		58.3%	58.2%	0.1%	12.9						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2		0.2%
16-2	1.6%		37.3%	37.2%	0.0%	13.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.0		0.1%
15-3	3.0%		31.8%	31.8%		13.9													0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	2.0
14-4	4.8%		24.0%	24.0%		14.2													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	3.7
13-5	6.9%		19.3%	19.3%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	5.6
12-6	9.3%		16.9%	16.9%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	0.5	7.7
11-7	10.1%		12.6%	12.6%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	8.8
10-8	11.1%		5.8%	5.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	10.4
9-9	10.7%		5.2%	5.2%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	10.2
8-10	10.4%		2.5%	2.5%		15.9																0.0	0.2	10.2
7-11	9.6%		1.3%	1.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.5
6-12	7.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
5-13	5.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
4-14	4.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
3-15	2.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.0%	8.9%	0.0%	14.7				0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	1.0	1.9	2.9	2.8	91.0		0.0%