Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#145
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#112
Pace71.5#114
Improvement-2.2#269

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#222
First Shot-1.1#211
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#228
Layup/Dunks-0.5#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#238
Freethrows+0.0#166
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#92
First Shot+4.4#61
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#287
Layups/Dunks-0.8#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#40
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
Freethrows+2.1#49
Improvement-1.7#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.0 12.1
.500 or above 2.7% 10.0% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 2.4% 8.9% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.5% 10.9% 29.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Home) - 12.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 9
Quad 24 - 76 - 16
Quad 33 - 49 - 20
Quad 44 - 013 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 101   Wake Forest W 77-70 48%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +8.9 +0.1 +8.5
  Nov 10, 2019 117   @ South Florida W 74-60 33%     2 - 0 +20.1 -0.6 +19.1
  Nov 13, 2019 342   High Point W 59-33 94%     3 - 0 +9.6 -25.0 +33.9
  Nov 16, 2019 99   Belmont L 85-100 47%     3 - 1 -12.9 +7.4 -19.4
  Nov 20, 2019 171   Eastern Washington W 72-68 68%     4 - 1 +0.7 -7.8 +8.3
  Nov 23, 2019 78   DePaul L 67-72 40%     4 - 2 -1.1 -6.5 +5.7
  Nov 27, 2019 95   Saint Louis L 54-64 46%     4 - 3 -7.5 -17.0 +9.9
  Nov 30, 2019 75   @ Richmond L 44-64 21%     4 - 4 -10.1 -24.6 +14.2
  Dec 03, 2019 108   Northwestern L 64-82 50%     4 - 5 -16.6 -5.4 -11.8
  Dec 07, 2019 53   @ Notre Dame W 73-72 15%     5 - 5 2 - 0 +13.4 +3.1 +10.3
  Dec 10, 2019 229   Albany W 72-51 78%     6 - 5 +14.2 -1.5 +16.0
  Dec 15, 2019 350   Central Connecticut St. W 74-55 97%     7 - 5 -2.6 -13.3 +9.8
  Dec 21, 2019 168   California W 64-60 57%     8 - 5 +3.7 -3.8 +7.7
  Dec 31, 2019 2   @ Duke L 49-88 3%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -15.6 -14.9 +1.3
  Jan 07, 2020 46   Virginia W 60-53 28%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +14.3 +4.1 +11.0
  Jan 11, 2020 73   Georgia Tech L 52-71 39%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -14.6 -13.9 -1.3
  Jan 15, 2020 47   @ Syracuse L 50-76 14%     9 - 8 3 - 3 -13.0 -15.3 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2020 101   @ Wake Forest L 62-80 27%     9 - 9 3 - 4 -10.3 -8.3 -1.9
  Jan 22, 2020 72   @ Pittsburgh L 72-74 20%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +8.2 +11.0 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2020 66   Virginia Tech W 61-56 36%     10 - 10 4 - 5 +9.9 -4.4 +14.7
  Jan 29, 2020 7   Louisville L 61-73 13%    
  Feb 01, 2020 57   @ North Carolina L 66-77 15%    
  Feb 04, 2020 2   Duke L 64-80 7%    
  Feb 08, 2020 66   @ Virginia Tech L 60-69 19%    
  Feb 12, 2020 98   @ Miami (FL) L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 16, 2020 51   North Carolina St. L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 19, 2020 46   @ Virginia L 48-60 13%    
  Feb 22, 2020 74   Clemson L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 26, 2020 53   Notre Dame L 68-73 32%    
  Mar 03, 2020 47   Syracuse L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 07, 2020 18   @ Florida St. L 61-76 7%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 0.6 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 2.0 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 1.1 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 2.3 4.5 0.3 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 6.9 2.5 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.4 5.5 8.8 0.4 15.1 12th
13th 0.2 4.0 11.6 3.7 0.0 19.5 13th
14th 3.3 12.7 7.5 0.3 23.9 14th
15th 5.4 5.1 1.0 11.6 15th
Total 9.0 22.2 26.5 22.3 12.4 5.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.6% 4.3% 2.1% 2.1% 11.0 0.0 0.5 2.2%
10-10 1.8% 1.8
9-11 5.2% 5.2
8-12 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 12.4
7-13 22.3% 22.3
6-14 26.5% 26.5
5-15 22.2% 22.2
4-16 9.0% 9.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.3%