Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-19.0#350
Expected Predictive Rating-24.2#353
Pace71.4#123
Improvement+0.9#145

Offense
Total Offense-9.9#348
First Shot-6.9#336
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#329
Layup/Dunks-4.9#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#244
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+1.4#99

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#346
First Shot-7.5#345
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#308
Layups/Dunks-4.4#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#339
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement-0.5#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 97.9% 93.5% 98.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 41 - 182 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 282   Hartford L 59-74 19%     0 - 1 -24.7 -19.8 -4.3
  Nov 09, 2019 75   @ St. John's L 57-87 1%     0 - 2 -20.0 -17.6 +2.2
  Nov 14, 2019 71   @ Arizona St. L 49-90 1%     0 - 3 -30.6 -22.7 -3.1
  Nov 16, 2019 201   @ Massachusetts L 43-89 5%     0 - 4 -45.7 -30.2 -16.0
  Nov 19, 2019 298   New Hampshire L 63-77 22%     0 - 5 -24.7 -14.2 -9.9
  Nov 23, 2019 81   Vermont L 49-81 2%     0 - 6 -25.3 -17.6 -8.9
  Nov 24, 2019 244   Columbia L 52-82 10%     0 - 7 -34.7 -20.6 -15.1
  Dec 01, 2019 271   @ Umass Lowell L 71-73 8%     0 - 8 -5.3 -5.9 +0.6
  Dec 07, 2019 336   Maine L 64-66 34%     0 - 9 -16.7 -13.3 -3.5
  Dec 15, 2019 157   @ Boston College L 55-74 3%     0 - 10 -15.6 -16.2 +1.5
  Dec 18, 2019 202   @ Dartmouth L 60-76 5%     0 - 11 -15.8 -11.9 -3.6
  Dec 20, 2019 30   @ Penn St. L 58-87 0.5%    0 - 12 -13.8 -10.0 -2.7
  Jan 02, 2020 211   Robert Morris L 78-89 11%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -16.9 -3.1 -12.9
  Jan 04, 2020 196   St. Francis (PA) L 69-93 10%     0 - 14 0 - 2 -29.2 -17.9 -8.2
  Jan 09, 2020 239   @ LIU Brooklyn L 78-90 6%     0 - 15 0 - 3 -13.6 +4.2 -17.8
  Jan 11, 2020 251   Merrimack L 46-58 15%     0 - 16 0 - 4 -19.9 -20.6 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2020 220   @ Sacred Heart L 55-66 5%     0 - 17 0 - 5 -11.6 -15.6 +3.2
  Jan 18, 2020 269   @ Mount St. Mary's L 52-79 8%     0 - 18 0 - 6 -30.2 -13.6 -20.2
  Jan 20, 2020 309   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 60-83 12%     0 - 19 0 - 7 -29.1 -17.4 -12.5
  Jan 23, 2020 220   Sacred Heart L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 25, 2020 321   Wagner L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 30, 2020 196   @ St. Francis (PA) L 64-83 3%    
  Feb 01, 2020 211   @ Robert Morris L 59-78 4%    
  Feb 08, 2020 248   @ Bryant L 64-81 6%    
  Feb 13, 2020 239   LIU Brooklyn L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 15, 2020 248   Bryant L 67-78 15%    
  Feb 18, 2020 309   Fairleigh Dickinson L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 21, 2020 321   @ Wagner L 65-77 13%    
  Feb 27, 2020 251   @ Merrimack L 55-72 6%    
  Feb 29, 2020 311   St. Francis Brooklyn L 67-74 26%    
Projected Record 2 - 28 2 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.3 1.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 21.4 33.1 25.4 11.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 94.4 11th
Total 21.4 33.1 25.8 13.1 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 4.9% 4.9
3-15 13.1% 13.1
2-16 25.8% 25.8
1-17 33.1% 33.1
0-18 21.4% 21.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 21.4%