Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.1#348
Expected Predictive Rating-20.0#349
Pace74.5#82
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#343
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 3.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 7.2% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 7.3% 20.1% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 53.9% 30.9% 54.1%
First Four0.5% 1.5% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 3.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 45 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 295   Hartford L 59-74 34%     0 - 1 -25.7 -20.8 -4.2
  Nov 09, 2019 87   @ St. John's L 57-87 2%     0 - 2 -21.0 -20.4 +3.9
  Nov 14, 2019 69   @ Arizona St. L 65-90 1%    
  Nov 16, 2019 188   @ Massachusetts L 65-81 6%    
  Nov 19, 2019 326   New Hampshire L 68-69 44%    
  Nov 23, 2019 84   Vermont L 58-79 3%    
  Dec 01, 2019 244   @ Umass Lowell L 71-85 11%    
  Dec 07, 2019 307   Maine L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 15, 2019 80   @ Boston College L 60-85 2%    
  Dec 18, 2019 173   @ Dartmouth L 61-78 7%    
  Dec 20, 2019 25   @ Penn St. L 59-90 0.3%   
  Jan 02, 2020 291   Robert Morris L 66-71 35%    
  Jan 04, 2020 218   St. Francis (PA) L 71-80 22%    
  Jan 09, 2020 246   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-84 12%    
  Jan 11, 2020 292   Merrimack L 71-76 35%    
  Jan 15, 2020 285   @ Sacred Heart L 74-85 17%    
  Jan 18, 2020 269   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-77 14%    
  Jan 20, 2020 251   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 65-78 12%    
  Jan 23, 2020 285   Sacred Heart L 77-82 33%    
  Jan 25, 2020 333   Wagner L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 30, 2020 218   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-83 10%    
  Feb 01, 2020 291   @ Robert Morris L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 08, 2020 259   @ Bryant L 70-83 13%    
  Feb 13, 2020 246   LIU Brooklyn L 73-81 26%    
  Feb 15, 2020 259   Bryant L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 18, 2020 251   Fairleigh Dickinson L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 21, 2020 333   @ Wagner L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 27, 2020 292   @ Merrimack L 68-79 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 299   St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.0 3.2 0.9 0.1 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.4 4.6 1.5 0.1 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 4.6 7.7 5.7 1.9 0.2 21.9 10th
11th 3.7 9.1 12.1 10.3 5.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 42.6 11th
Total 3.7 9.2 13.8 15.2 15.3 12.8 10.2 7.6 4.9 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 72.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 51.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 9.6% 9.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.1 1.0
10-8 2.1% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.1 2.0
9-9 3.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.1
8-10 4.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.9
7-11 7.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.6
6-12 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 15.3% 15.3
3-15 15.2% 15.2
2-16 13.8% 13.8
1-17 9.2% 9.2
0-18 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%