Central Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#125
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#112
Pace87.5#6
Improvement-0.5#257

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#69
First Shot+2.7#90
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#103
Layup/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#243
Freethrows+4.5#21
Improvement+0.1#164

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#225
First Shot+0.1#166
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#287
Layups/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows+1.2#132
Improvement-0.6#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 14.5% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Average Seed 12.1 11.5 12.4
.500 or above 60.7% 80.1% 55.0%
.500 or above in Conference 60.6% 73.3% 56.8%
Conference Champion 10.3% 16.3% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 3.3% 6.8%
First Four0.5% 1.3% 0.3%
First Round8.7% 13.9% 7.1%
Second Round1.7% 3.1% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 36 - 58 - 13
Quad 47 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 134-78 98%     1 - 0 +32.8 +13.1 +4.9
  Nov 16, 2019 185   Sam Houston St. W 84-77 74%     2 - 0 +2.6 -3.4 +4.9
  Nov 21, 2019 73   @ Minnesota L 77-85 23%    
  Nov 26, 2019 76   @ DePaul L 81-89 24%    
  Nov 30, 2019 241   Youngstown St. W 89-79 81%    
  Dec 06, 2019 285   Tennessee Martin W 97-85 86%    
  Dec 08, 2019 174   @ Valparaiso L 83-84 50%    
  Dec 14, 2019 22   @ Texas L 71-85 10%    
  Dec 17, 2019 283   @ Robert Morris W 80-74 71%    
  Dec 28, 2019 17   @ Purdue L 71-86 9%    
  Jan 04, 2020 160   Miami (OH) W 85-80 68%    
  Jan 07, 2020 155   Northern Illinois W 81-76 68%    
  Jan 11, 2020 110   @ Kent St. L 81-85 36%    
  Jan 14, 2020 84   @ Toledo L 80-87 27%    
  Jan 18, 2020 104   Buffalo W 93-92 55%    
  Jan 25, 2020 89   Ball St. L 81-82 50%    
  Jan 28, 2020 160   @ Miami (OH) L 82-83 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 244   @ Western Michigan W 87-83 63%    
  Feb 04, 2020 101   Bowling Green W 87-86 53%    
  Feb 08, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 90-95 34%    
  Feb 11, 2020 194   Eastern Michigan W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 15, 2020 131   Akron W 81-78 62%    
  Feb 18, 2020 154   @ Ohio L 82-83 48%    
  Feb 22, 2020 155   @ Northern Illinois L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 25, 2020 84   Toledo L 83-84 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 194   @ Eastern Michigan W 74-73 53%    
  Mar 03, 2020 89   @ Ball St. L 78-84 30%    
  Mar 06, 2020 244   Western Michigan W 90-80 79%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.9 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 10.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.3 1.9 0.4 0.1 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.2 1.6 0.3 10.7 3rd
4th 0.5 3.5 4.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 4.3 1.6 0.2 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.7 2.8 0.3 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.2 0.8 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.7 1.2 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.2 5.3 7.5 9.4 11.0 12.0 10.9 11.1 9.4 7.0 5.0 2.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 96.5% 1.7    1.5 0.2
15-3 87.5% 2.5    1.7 0.7 0.0
14-4 57.9% 2.9    1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 26.8% 1.9    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.0% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.3% 10.3 6.2 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 91.8% 41.0% 50.8% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.1%
17-1 0.6% 67.9% 43.3% 24.6% 8.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 43.3%
16-2 1.7% 49.8% 34.4% 15.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 23.4%
15-3 2.8% 41.7% 31.7% 10.0% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.6 14.7%
14-4 5.0% 25.6% 23.4% 2.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.7 2.9%
13-5 7.0% 17.2% 16.6% 0.6% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.8 0.7%
12-6 9.4% 15.0% 14.9% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 8.0 0.1%
11-7 11.1% 9.3% 9.3% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.0
10-8 10.9% 7.1% 7.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.2
9-9 12.0% 3.0% 3.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.6
8-10 11.0% 1.4% 1.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9
7-11 9.4% 0.7% 0.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 7.5% 0.9% 0.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
5-13 5.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 1.9
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.9% 8.0% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 91.1 1.0%