Central Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#181
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#153
Pace82.1#11
Improvement-0.9#219

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#149
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks-0.2#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
Freethrows+2.5#24
Improvement-2.7#306

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#225
First Shot-1.3#200
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#318
Freethrows+1.9#61
Improvement+1.8#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.4% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 45.8% 59.9% 34.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 83.6% 60.8%
Conference Champion 3.9% 6.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.1% 1.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.4% 4.3% 2.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 36 - 77 - 14
Quad 48 - 114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 134-78 97%     1 - 0 +32.2 +13.8 +3.6
  Nov 16, 2019 178   Sam Houston St. W 84-77 61%     2 - 0 +3.3 -3.4 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2019 34   @ Minnesota L 57-82 8%     2 - 1 -10.4 -12.5 +3.1
  Nov 26, 2019 77   @ DePaul L 75-88 16%     2 - 2 -3.2 -1.5 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2019 235   Youngstown St. W 88-72 73%     3 - 2 +8.9 +9.8 -1.0
  Dec 06, 2019 304   Tennessee Martin W 84-75 84%     4 - 2 -2.3 +4.7 -6.3
  Dec 08, 2019 160   @ Valparaiso L 55-77 35%     4 - 3 -18.9 -20.4 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2019 63   @ Texas L 76-87 14%     4 - 4 +0.0 -0.4 +2.0
  Dec 17, 2019 221   @ Robert Morris L 79-83 50%     4 - 5 -4.8 +2.8 -7.4
  Dec 28, 2019 19   @ Purdue L 62-97 6%     4 - 6 -18.6 -5.2 -11.0
  Jan 04, 2020 202   Miami (OH) W 93-82 68%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +5.5 +13.0 -7.7
  Jan 07, 2020 172   Northern Illinois W 68-67 60%     6 - 6 2 - 0 -2.4 -5.4 +2.9
  Jan 11, 2020 113   @ Kent St. L 73-79 24%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +0.6 -3.7 +4.8
  Jan 14, 2020 121   @ Toledo W 74-67 26%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +12.8 +5.7 +7.4
  Jan 18, 2020 135   Buffalo L 67-86 51%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -20.0 -18.0 +0.9
  Jan 25, 2020 111   Ball St. W 71-66 42%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +6.3 -5.3 +11.1
  Jan 28, 2020 202   @ Miami (OH) L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 233   @ Western Michigan W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 04, 2020 146   Bowling Green W 83-82 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 135   @ Buffalo L 83-89 30%    
  Feb 11, 2020 227   Eastern Michigan W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 15, 2020 81   Akron L 78-83 35%    
  Feb 18, 2020 207   @ Ohio L 80-81 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 172   @ Northern Illinois L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 25, 2020 121   Toledo L 79-80 48%    
  Feb 29, 2020 227   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-70 50%    
  Mar 03, 2020 111   @ Ball St. L 70-78 23%    
  Mar 06, 2020 233   Western Michigan W 79-73 72%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.7 4.3 0.7 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.6 5.7 6.1 0.7 13.1 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 7.7 1.9 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 8.3 3.5 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 1.0 6.1 5.7 0.6 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.3 4.0 5.5 1.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.5 1.0 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.7 9.2 14.7 19.6 18.7 15.2 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 88.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 68.7% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 31.7% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
12-6 4.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.4% 20.0% 20.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 2.0% 10.1% 10.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
13-5 5.4% 8.4% 8.4% 13.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 4.9
12-6 9.8% 7.7% 7.7% 14.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 9.1
11-7 15.2% 4.9% 4.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 14.5
10-8 18.7% 3.0% 3.0% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 18.2
9-9 19.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 19.2
8-10 14.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 14.6
7-11 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.1
6-12 3.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 3.7
5-13 1.1% 1.1
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.4 96.5 0.0%