Charleston Southern
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#299
Expected Predictive Rating-15.1#336
Pace71.6#128
Improvement+0.0#180

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#318
First Shot-1.0#205
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#343
Layup/Dunks-2.3#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+10.8#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#225
Freethrows-8.0#353
Improvement+0.0#168

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#241
First Shot-2.0#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#194
Layups/Dunks-0.7#207
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#263
Freethrows+2.3#74
Improvement+0.0#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 7.6% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 14.7% 65.2% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 43.1% 83.3% 43.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 15.2% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 0.0% 8.8%
First Four1.3% 1.5% 1.3%
First Round1.6% 6.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 49 - 910 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 322   @ N.C. A&T L 49-63 48%     0 - 1 -21.5 -28.8 +8.2
  Nov 12, 2019 60   Furman L 47-91 10%     0 - 2 -38.2 -21.8 -17.6
  Nov 16, 2019 64   @ Dayton L 61-90 4%     0 - 3 -17.4 -8.8 -8.4
  Nov 18, 2019 1   @ Michigan St. L 55-87 0.1%   
  Nov 23, 2019 183   Southern Utah L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 03, 2019 47   @ Missouri L 58-79 2%    
  Dec 07, 2019 321   NC Central W 70-65 69%    
  Dec 16, 2019 240   @ James Madison L 73-80 27%    
  Dec 21, 2019 264   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 02, 2020 341   South Carolina Upstate W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 04, 2020 261   @ Hampton L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 08, 2020 238   Longwood L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 11, 2020 279   UNC Asheville W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 16, 2020 268   @ Campbell L 66-71 31%    
  Jan 18, 2020 326   @ High Point L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 23, 2020 333   Presbyterian W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 25, 2020 187   @ Gardner-Webb L 64-74 20%    
  Jan 30, 2020 145   Winthrop L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 01, 2020 130   @ Radford L 61-74 13%    
  Feb 06, 2020 238   @ Longwood L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 261   Hampton W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 10, 2020 341   @ South Carolina Upstate W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 13, 2020 326   High Point W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 15, 2020 279   @ UNC Asheville L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 20, 2020 268   Campbell W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 27, 2020 187   Gardner-Webb L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 29, 2020 333   @ Presbyterian W 71-70 51%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 2.2 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.0 1.5 0.2 9.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.5 4.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.0 5.1 1.6 0.1 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.1 5.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 5.2 4.6 1.4 0.1 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.3 3.5 1.0 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.1 11th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.3 6.0 8.7 11.1 12.4 12.7 12.1 10.1 8.2 5.9 3.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 87.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 59.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 30.4% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 38.0% 38.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 24.8% 24.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 14.1% 14.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 1.9% 12.7% 12.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
13-5 3.5% 10.2% 10.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.1
12-6 5.9% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.5
11-7 8.2% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.9
10-8 10.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.8
9-9 12.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 11.9
8-10 12.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.6
7-11 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-12 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
5-13 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%