Charleston Southern
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#287
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#267
Pace68.6#202
Improvement+5.9#10

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#276
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#280
Layup/Dunks-8.9#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#92
Freethrows-2.7#332
Improvement+7.0#1

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#288
First Shot-3.0#271
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#248
Layups/Dunks-2.4#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
Freethrows+0.7#143
Improvement-1.1#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.5% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 28.5% 34.9% 12.8%
.500 or above in Conference 55.5% 64.4% 33.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.1% 4.8%
First Four2.1% 2.2% 1.9%
First Round2.1% 2.4% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 70.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 2
Quad 20 - 11 - 3
Quad 31 - 42 - 6
Quad 412 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 294   @ N.C. A&T L 49-63 40%     0 - 1 -18.8 -27.7 +9.9
  Nov 12, 2019 90   Furman L 47-91 17%     0 - 2 -41.0 -23.4 -18.8
  Nov 16, 2019 9   @ Dayton L 61-90 2%     0 - 3 -10.4 -5.4 -4.8
  Nov 18, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. L 46-94 1%     0 - 4 -27.0 -19.1 -6.3
  Nov 23, 2019 174   Southern Utah L 45-80 26%     0 - 5 -35.5 -26.0 -8.9
  Nov 24, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 71-61 83%     1 - 5 -7.5 -9.3 +1.3
  Dec 03, 2019 64   @ Missouri W 68-60 5%     2 - 5 +19.0 +9.9 +10.0
  Dec 07, 2019 295   NC Central W 58-53 63%     3 - 5 -5.6 -11.9 +6.8
  Dec 16, 2019 267   @ James Madison L 60-81 34%     3 - 6 -24.0 -14.9 -9.3
  Dec 21, 2019 323   @ Eastern Kentucky W 76-69 49%     4 - 6 -0.1 -2.5 +2.1
  Jan 02, 2020 310   South Carolina Upstate W 89-75 67%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +2.0 +6.9 -5.4
  Jan 04, 2020 325   @ Hampton L 85-92 49%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -14.2 -0.3 -13.5
  Jan 08, 2020 320   Longwood L 56-74 70%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -30.7 -25.7 -3.8
  Jan 11, 2020 279   UNC Asheville L 69-71 58%     5 - 9 1 - 3 -11.4 -9.4 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2020 256   @ Campbell W 77-62 32%     6 - 9 2 - 3 +12.4 +12.6 +1.4
  Jan 18, 2020 344   @ High Point W 79-60 65%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +7.7 +10.3 -0.1
  Jan 23, 2020 326   Presbyterian W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 25, 2020 229   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-72 27%    
  Jan 30, 2020 144   Winthrop L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 01, 2020 141   @ Radford L 62-74 13%    
  Feb 06, 2020 320   @ Longwood L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 325   Hampton W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 10, 2020 310   @ South Carolina Upstate L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 13, 2020 344   High Point W 73-63 82%    
  Feb 15, 2020 279   @ UNC Asheville L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 20, 2020 256   Campbell W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 27, 2020 229   Gardner-Webb L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 326   @ Presbyterian L 68-69 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.8 7.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 19.2 3rd
4th 0.7 6.6 8.5 2.5 0.3 18.6 4th
5th 0.1 4.7 9.1 2.5 0.1 16.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 8.4 3.3 0.2 13.8 6th
7th 0.5 5.6 4.5 0.4 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 4.8 0.7 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.7 1.3 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.9 7.9 13.8 19.0 20.4 17.0 10.7 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 26.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.4% 17.1% 17.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
12-6 5.2% 9.2% 9.2% 15.8 0.1 0.4 4.7
11-7 10.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.0
10-8 17.0% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 16.3
9-9 20.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 19.8
8-10 19.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 18.8
7-11 13.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.6
6-12 7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-14 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.9 96.8 0.0%