Princeton
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#176
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#199
Pace65.9#271
Improvement+3.6#35

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#138
First Shot+1.6#121
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks+2.5#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#40
Freethrows-0.7#219
Improvement-1.4#251

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#231
First Shot-3.4#289
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#73
Layups/Dunks-2.2#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#44
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement+5.0#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 8.7% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 32.9% 40.0% 16.2%
.500 or above in Conference 80.8% 88.1% 63.7%
Conference Champion 11.1% 13.7% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.7% 4.4%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round7.5% 8.5% 5.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 45 - 11
Quad 48 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 90   @ Duquesne L 67-94 19%     0 - 1 -18.2 +2.3 -21.7
  Nov 09, 2019 103   @ San Francisco L 72-82 22%     0 - 2 -2.6 -1.1 -1.3
  Nov 13, 2019 194   Lafayette L 65-72 66%     0 - 3 -11.8 -7.1 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2019 40   @ Indiana L 54-79 10%     0 - 4 -11.2 -6.9 -6.2
  Nov 26, 2019 70   Arizona St. L 65-67 31%     0 - 5 +2.7 +1.1 +1.5
  Nov 30, 2019 219   @ Bucknell W 87-77 50%     1 - 5 +9.4 +15.4 -5.9
  Dec 04, 2019 199   @ Drexel L 76-82 47%     1 - 6 -5.8 +0.8 -6.4
  Dec 10, 2019 203   Monmouth L 66-67 69%     1 - 7 -6.5 -8.4 +1.9
  Dec 14, 2019 310   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-65 71%     2 - 7 +8.6 +7.1 +2.7
  Dec 17, 2019 241   Iona W 90-86 OT 65%     3 - 7 -0.4 +4.4 -5.3
  Dec 19, 2019 146   Hofstra L 72-87 54%     3 - 8 -16.5 -6.3 -9.8
  Dec 29, 2019 269   Lehigh W 71-62 79%     4 - 8 +0.1 -2.7 +3.4
  Jan 04, 2020 149   @ Penn W 78-64 34%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +17.9 +4.7 +12.9
  Jan 10, 2020 149   Penn W 63-58 55%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +3.2 -5.8 +9.5
  Jan 31, 2020 212   Dartmouth W 69-64 70%    
  Feb 01, 2020 94   Harvard L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 07, 2020 294   @ Cornell W 69-65 65%    
  Feb 08, 2020 246   @ Columbia W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 14, 2020 72   Yale L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 195   Brown W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 21, 2020 94   @ Harvard L 66-75 21%    
  Feb 22, 2020 212   @ Dartmouth L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 28, 2020 195   @ Brown L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 72   @ Yale L 60-71 16%    
  Mar 06, 2020 246   Columbia W 73-66 75%    
  Mar 07, 2020 294   Cornell W 72-62 82%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.2 2.6 0.7 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 7.8 8.6 3.1 0.3 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.9 12.4 9.7 2.6 0.1 30.1 3rd
4th 0.1 3.5 8.9 5.3 0.7 0.0 18.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.3 2.9 0.2 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.0 1.6 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.7 10.8 16.9 20.0 18.7 14.0 7.4 2.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
12-2 88.7% 2.6    1.9 0.7 0.0
11-3 57.1% 4.2    1.9 2.0 0.3 0.0
10-4 20.3% 2.9    0.6 1.4 0.8 0.1
9-5 3.0% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 5.2 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 39.5% 39.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.7% 24.6% 24.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-2 2.9% 21.6% 21.6% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.3
11-3 7.4% 16.2% 16.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 6.2
10-4 14.0% 12.7% 12.7% 14.7 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.1 12.2
9-5 18.7% 10.1% 10.1% 15.1 0.2 1.4 0.4 16.8
8-6 20.0% 7.0% 7.0% 15.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 18.6
7-7 16.9% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 16.4
6-8 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-9 5.7% 5.7
4-10 2.0% 2.0
3-11 0.5% 0.5
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.3 2.0 92.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.1 7.8 74.5 17.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%
Lose Out 0.1%