Princeton
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#200
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#332
Pace68.0#232
Improvement+0.2#141

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#196
First Shot-3.1#268
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#54
Layup/Dunks-2.3#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#59
Freethrows-3.8#327
Improvement-1.2#314

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#217
First Shot-1.2#207
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#204
Layups/Dunks+3.2#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#243
Freethrows+0.8#150
Improvement+1.4#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 11.9% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.9 14.7
.500 or above 23.8% 50.9% 22.1%
.500 or above in Conference 44.3% 58.6% 43.3%
Conference Champion 6.9% 14.4% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 18.1% 12.8% 18.5%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round6.2% 11.4% 5.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 6.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 12
Quad 47 - 411 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 96   @ Duquesne L 67-94 17%     0 - 1 -19.0 +1.5 -21.6
  Nov 09, 2019 85   @ San Francisco L 72-82 15%     0 - 2 -0.9 -0.3 -0.5
  Nov 13, 2019 219   Lafayette L 65-72 65%     0 - 3 -13.1 -9.3 -4.4
  Nov 20, 2019 41   @ Indiana L 65-81 6%    
  Nov 26, 2019 52   Arizona St. L 72-81 21%    
  Nov 30, 2019 163   @ Bucknell L 71-76 33%    
  Dec 04, 2019 257   @ Drexel L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 10, 2019 269   Monmouth W 72-66 72%    
  Dec 14, 2019 272   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 17, 2019 198   Iona L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 19, 2019 192   Hofstra W 76-73 59%    
  Dec 29, 2019 236   Lehigh W 78-73 68%    
  Jan 04, 2020 132   @ Penn L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 10, 2020 132   Penn L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 31, 2020 205   Dartmouth W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 01, 2020 100   Harvard L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 07, 2020 271   @ Cornell W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 169   @ Columbia L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 14, 2020 121   Yale L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 227   Brown W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 21, 2020 100   @ Harvard L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 22, 2020 205   @ Dartmouth L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 28, 2020 227   @ Brown L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 29, 2020 121   @ Yale L 69-77 26%    
  Mar 06, 2020 169   Columbia W 69-68 54%    
  Mar 07, 2020 271   Cornell W 74-67 71%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.4 2.8 0.7 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 6.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 7.3 3.6 0.4 14.7 4th
5th 0.4 3.3 8.3 3.8 0.2 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 7.6 3.4 0.2 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.0 5.9 2.8 0.2 14.0 7th
8th 0.5 2.2 3.2 3.4 1.5 0.1 10.9 8th
Total 0.5 2.2 4.3 7.8 11.7 14.0 15.3 13.8 11.5 8.9 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 94.0% 1.3    1.1 0.2
11-3 75.3% 2.1    1.4 0.7 0.0
10-4 38.8% 2.0    0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0
9-5 9.1% 0.8    0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.5 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 53.2% 53.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 41.2% 41.2% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 1.4% 29.9% 29.9% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
11-3 2.8% 34.1% 34.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.9
10-4 5.3% 22.1% 22.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 4.1
9-5 8.9% 17.4% 17.4% 14.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 7.4
8-6 11.5% 12.2% 12.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 10.1
7-7 13.8% 4.5% 4.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 13.2
6-8 15.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.1
5-9 14.0% 14.0
4-10 11.7% 11.7
3-11 7.8% 7.8
2-12 4.3% 4.3
1-13 2.2% 2.2
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.1 1.6 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%