East Tennessee St.
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#65
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#52
Pace68.0#229
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#42
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#103
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.6% 3.0% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.7% 36.9% 23.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.7% 8.9% 2.4%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 12.1
.500 or above 97.2% 98.3% 91.2%
.500 or above in Conference 96.7% 97.4% 92.7%
Conference Champion 37.5% 39.8% 25.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.4% 3.8% 1.4%
First Round33.3% 35.2% 22.9%
Second Round12.1% 13.2% 6.0%
Sweet Sixteen4.4% 4.9% 1.7%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 84.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 37 - 29 - 7
Quad 413 - 122 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 277   @ Tennessee Martin W 92-75 85%     1 - 0 +14.0 +9.3 +3.9
  Nov 14, 2019 155   Winthrop W 82-71 84%    
  Nov 19, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 67-81 9%    
  Nov 23, 2019 349   Delaware St. W 72-45 99%    
  Nov 26, 2019 187   Appalachian St. W 83-71 87%    
  Nov 30, 2019 200   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 04, 2019 307   @ The Citadel W 90-76 89%    
  Dec 07, 2019 161   @ North Dakota St. W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 18, 2019 26   @ LSU L 76-84 25%    
  Dec 21, 2019 321   Cleveland St. W 84-63 97%    
  Jan 01, 2020 108   Wofford W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 04, 2020 56   @ Furman L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 08, 2020 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 11, 2020 319   VMI W 84-63 97%    
  Jan 15, 2020 192   Samford W 82-69 86%    
  Jan 18, 2020 182   @ Western Carolina W 80-74 71%    
  Jan 25, 2020 244   Chattanooga W 77-62 91%    
  Jan 29, 2020 234   Mercer W 85-70 90%    
  Feb 01, 2020 89   UNC Greensboro W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 05, 2020 244   @ Chattanooga W 74-65 79%    
  Feb 08, 2020 234   @ Mercer W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 12, 2020 307   The Citadel W 93-73 95%    
  Feb 15, 2020 319   @ VMI W 81-66 90%    
  Feb 19, 2020 56   Furman W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 22, 2020 192   @ Samford W 79-72 71%    
  Feb 26, 2020 108   @ Wofford W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 182   Western Carolina W 83-71 85%    
Projected Record 20 - 7 14 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.4 9.4 11.8 7.9 2.8 37.5 1st
2nd 0.4 2.3 6.7 9.3 5.8 1.5 26.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.6 6.1 5.4 2.1 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.0 0.9 0.1 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.3 5.4 8.0 11.2 13.7 15.8 15.4 13.3 7.9 2.8 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.8    2.8
17-1 100.0% 7.9    7.4 0.5
16-2 88.8% 11.8    9.2 2.6 0.0
15-3 61.5% 9.4    4.9 4.1 0.5
14-4 27.6% 4.4    1.4 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.8% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 37.5% 37.5 25.8 9.9 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.8% 90.5% 64.3% 26.1% 6.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 73.3%
17-1 7.9% 76.3% 55.2% 21.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.9 47.2%
16-2 13.3% 59.4% 46.2% 13.2% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 2.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 5.4 24.5%
15-3 15.4% 45.3% 38.9% 6.4% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.7 0.9 0.1 8.4 10.6%
14-4 15.8% 30.3% 28.5% 1.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.0 2.5%
13-5 13.7% 23.4% 23.0% 0.4% 12.6 0.2 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 10.5 0.6%
12-6 11.2% 15.3% 15.3% 13.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 9.4
11-7 8.0% 9.9% 9.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 7.2
10-8 5.4% 9.7% 9.7% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9
9-9 3.3% 6.7% 6.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.1
8-10 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
7-11 0.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.8
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 34.7% 29.3% 5.5% 11.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.0 7.2 12.2 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.1 65.3 7.7%